LA Rams hiring former South Carolina RB coach Thomas Brown is welcome news for their plans to turn-around the team's running game. That's Brown's specialty
ramblinfan.com
That's a major reach. Thomas Brown had nothing to do with the offensive systems in place. Wisconsin has always run that style of offense. And he coached under Mark Richt at UGA and Miami, who also used an old school pro style system. As for South Carolina, they demoted their 2019 OC and replaced him with Mike Bobo, who spent the vast majority of his career working as Mark Richt's OC. Basically, they're transitioning from more of a spread to more of a pro style offense. The mistake the author of the article makes is assuming correlation equals causation. Brown wasn't the reason for those offenses having FBs.
The Rams usage of the 11 formation in terms of how often they use it is on the high side in the league. in 2018 we used it more than any time in the league at 89% (2nd was Green bay at 77% which is interesting because much of Rodgers problem with McCarthy was the predictability). 2019 we got it down to 73% of the time, but that was still in the top 3 in the league. I couldn't disagree more about McVay's predictability. In 2017 we seemed far more diverse in our sets and play calling, but got locked into the 11 formation in 2018.
First, I'm not trying to be a jerk in nitpicking here, but 11 personnel describes the players on the field, not the formation. You can use 11 personnel with a number of different formations. 11 personnel means that we're using 1 RB, 1 TE, and 3 WRs. Second, we used 11 personnel on 80% of our plays in 2017. In 2017 and 2018, we finished #1 and #2 in the NFL in scoring, respectively. Predictability in personnel packages doesn't really matter to me. Even predictability in formation doesn't matter. The question is if teams are able to figure out tendencies based on the players on the field and pre-snap alignment/movement/tells.
What McVay is tremendous at is disguising his plays pre- and post-snap to prevent defenses from being able to know what's coming. That's why they've struggled to stop us despite our offense not being overly complex. They can't look at how our players are aligned and who is on the field and know that it's a run or a certain type of pass. It leaves them guessing after the snap.
We were super successful that season, but when it really counted our predictability lined up perfectly for Belichek's game planning in the super bowl. McVay himself has pretty much copped to the fact that as a staff we need to be making more adjustments and that seems to be a guiding principle in the assistant coaching changes.
McVay is right that he needs more perspectives. He'll have to continue to adjust as teams adjust to him. But what Belichick exploited was McVay's hubris. Football is very much a chess match. You try to key into the opponent's tendencies. That allows you to beat them before the ball is even snapped. The one thing some of us kept reiterating during the two weeks leading up to the Super Bowl was that McVay needed to abandon his tendencies and come out with a novel gameplan that Belichick hadn't seen before. McVay didn't do that. He thought he could win strength versus strength.
His problem is that Belichick came out there and thew something completely new at him. He abandoned all his tendencies and used the two weeks to implement a style of defense they had rarely played. It confused the hell out of Goff and McVay, and they never recovered. That was where Belichick's experience allowed him to school the confident kid. But that was anomalous because teams don't typically have the sort of time to do that from week to week.
Also I think we need to remember that McVay's success in his brief period of time as a head coach shouldn't hide the fact that he's still an inexperienced solo play caller. IF he was the primary play caller in his last season at Washington (which is up for debate), but even of he was, it was under the supervision of Jay Gruden, who is known to be a more controlling offense coach. That would give McVay, the youngest head coach in NFL history at the time of his hire, his 3 years with us as the only primary play calling experience he's had in his young life. Thus we shouldn't take the trends during this young coach's 3 years experience as some established norm that needs no adjustments. Although his track record is successful, its brevity should provide us some context. It should also provide us some hope that this young successful coach is evolving and developing which is a very good thing.
Nobody is saying don't adjust. What I'm saying is that you don't waste a roster spot on a FB you're barely going to use. It's not McVay's style of offense. You can adapt and evolve without completely changing styles. Andy Reid has done that throughout his career. To the extent we need a FB, our 3rd TE can handle the job.
CJ Anderson's downhill running provided and needed change up from what we were doing in 2018 prior to him joining the team. CJ Anderson wasn't effective for us (coming off of his couch after getting cut by 2 teams) because using the 11 formation almost 90% of our plays played to his strengths. He was effective for us because he provided a CHANGE of style from a team that used the 11 formation so much.... ie, we were far less PREDICTABLE. Than we had been.
I disagree. He was effective because our system and blocking were effective. Gurley was an absolute monster that year before his injury. We would have been better off with a healthy Gurley, but C.J. did an admirable job.