Raheem Morris is an affable fellow and is beloved by coaches & players alike. However, I don't want him as my Head Coach because he reminds me of past assistants that had no success as Head Coaches. The list is plentiful of Assistants who took over for winners and were good coordinators or Assistants and it was an epic fail.
Teams are better off going outside the organization with another high profile assistant or hiring a proven winner, if one is available.
- Marion Campbell (Eagles)...He was a brilliant DC, even worked for the Rams under George Allen 66-70, however, had a record of 6-19 when he was HC of the Falcons, he was Vermeil choice to take over the Eagles and the Eagles followed that recommendation, it was a disaster.
- Harland Svare (Chargers)...He took over for Sid Gillman who was a winner in San Diego, Svare had a record of 14-31-3 with the Los Angeles Rams the Chargers were doomed from the outset.
- Dennis Allen (Saints)...Allen had an 8-28 record with the Raiders and now as HC of the Saints finished the year at 7-10.
- Todd Bowles (Jets)...22-40 as HC of the New York Jets, first year in Tampa 8-9.
I'm truly hoping the Rams don't follow this Trend.
There is a lot of truth in what you say, Den. Hiring a head coach with a losing record isn't a good proposition. But it's not written in stone they will lose. There's a theory that when you draft a young stud QB, his success depends on what head coach he gets. Chances are good he's going to a shitty franchise picking high in the draft.
There's another theory a head coach needs a good QB to be successful. That also holds true. The problem for first time head coaches in the NFL is they usually don't get more than 3 years to turn things around. Exponentially, more times than not, they're taking over a franchise that hasn't been very successful or there wouldn't be a head coaching position open. They inherit players who the previous head coach couldn't win with and are expected to be successful by year 3 or they're gone.
Hell Morris was successful in his 2nd year. And he was handed a team without a QB so they drafted Josh Freeman. Morris went 10-6 in Tampa with Josh Freeman under center in year 2. Don't the Rams have a legit, talented, successful QB in Stafford? He'd be inheriting a team with a load of talent who had an off year because of an overwhelming number of injuries. This actually sounds like the perfect situation for a guy with experience, who's had limited success with much less to work with. On the other hand, it's also a great situation for a first time head coach.
And conversely, hiring a head coach with a winning record doesn't guarantee success either. Jimmy Johnson was a winner, got hired by the Dolphins and missed the playoffs all 4 years. Dick Vermeil was a winner in Philly, making the PS 3 times in 7 years there. In 8 years in St. Louis and KC he made the postseason twice. Sure he won the SB but was that Vermeil or hiring Martz and stumbling onto Warner? Jeff Fisher was a winner in Tennessee. John Fox was 119-89 in Carolina and Denver. In Chicago? 14-34. Dennis Green. Jim Mora. There's a long list of coaches who won, sometimes a lot and didn't do squat with another team.
If they end up needing a head coach, I don't pretend to know what they're going to do. Morris? Brown? Harbaugh? Payton? How about Quinn? Or Reich? Defense or offense?