Some think that Sammy Watkins' lack of production was systemic. It wasn't.
Much of the reason Watkins wasn't focused nearly as much as he should have been is that he didn't know the playbook and it didn't get all that much better throughout the season.
I appreciate McVay's patience and I'm thrilled that Goff was so versed in the playbook that he was the one to correct Sammy and let him know if he was in the wrong position. That can't have instilled confidence that Sammy would be on time with the right route.
Here are the positives about OBJ (I'll get to the negatives in a moment):
1) Superlative talent. I think he's easily a top 3 receiver in the league and when targeted, he simply doesn't disappear. Moreover, if you look at exactly how much he improves an offense, it's undeniable. He truly saved Eli's career and I think one year without OBJ will have Eli retire. OBJ would put Goff close to 5k yards and 40TDs and that doesn't include all the damage opened up for Gurley... /shudder.
2) His behavior got out of control when two things happened a) he started feeling himself a little too much (please enjoy all the masturbation jokes offline) and b) the stunning lack of leadership including from ownership let him get away with untenable behaviors. I look at Peters in a similar vein. Instead of getting that mega second deal, he got traded. That's a correction. I think he's in a BETTER situation and he's blessed for that, but you know his agent let him know the reality. Screw this up and there's not only no way to get paid, but once labeled a "problem child", he restricts his options to earn in a very limited space. Moreover, he's acknowledged how important mentorship is. The reason this is a positive is that he's not someone who's bringing his gang past with him or severe emotional problems. He has some growing up to do, but we have the locker room to handle that. In a close game, if he's going to try and throw a tantrum, we have folks from Big Whit and AD to new vets like Talib and Suh who won't stand for that because all of them are about having fun, but business first.
3) With our D almost certain to give our O more snaps, I can't see OBJ taking issue with our offense. Heck, even while learning it and having our X receiver not fully know the playbook, we were averaging 32 points a game for most of the season. OBJ was objectively worth at least 5pts on average per game. I see no reason why that shouldn't continue. I mean, we KNOW OBJ has the best hands in the NFL and with Goff's progression, I get giddy thinking about how many drives continue because our receiving corps of OBJ, Woods and Kupp just aren't dropping hardly any balls.
4) OBJ can run the full route tree as well as anyone, perhaps better. Antonio Brown may be better after the catch, but OBJ has embarrassed some of the top CBs in the game. And that's with Eli at QB who isn't nearly as accurate as Goff and Goff's only getting better.
5) McVay could scheme this offense with OBJ to be a 40pt per game offense. That's the patterns talking. And that's not taking into account the improvement of our very young TEs. Rewatching some of last season in my head, Woods would absolutely be the #2. Considering that Woods was targeted by the #1 CB 3rd most of any WR in the league last year... that definitely opens things up for both Woods and Kupp who's getting the #3 CB most of the time. Kupp on the #3? It won't just be our defense feasting...
Here are the negatives about OBJ:
1) His prima donna behavior got out of control. You really have to wear out your welcome with the Maras in order for this to even be an option. Now, I cut the New York Football Giants NO SLACK in this, but OBJ has to take ownership of his behavior (like Talib, Peters and Suh have done).
2) He hasn't put team first. That's probably the biggest knock. Again, I dunno if the infrastructure wasn't there to develop that or even simply to prevent his careening behavior from going off the rails or what. But I know Snead and McVay won't bring him in if they aren't certain that he's a fit in that regard. We not Me is NOT an option. And no one can say he's been a team first guy up to this point.
3) He may simply be too expensive. Now, I dunno what he will do. He may come to LA, ball out and get broke off bigger than Watkins next season in the FA market. He may not have many other options because he knows his situation isn't going to be great and I have SERIOUS doubts that Pat Shurmer is going to relate any better to him than anyone has before. THIS RIGHT HERE is the genius of McVay. He's not just a super football genius, but he's fit, he's young and he relates to these players in a generationally different way even if the net isn't all that different. He's got that aura that super special people have. But if OBJ is insistent that he HAS to have a mega deal prior to playing, then we won't do it because the VIP line outside our club is already growing and the biggest VIP still has to get in.
Wrapup:
From a schematic and production point of view, with OBJ, I think we have the potential to average nearly 40pts per game and limit teams to less than 17. That's a 20+ point winning margin. I think we could be that good with a shutout or three and a few 50 burgers in the mix. McVay with that level of talent would be historic and it's awful hard to say no to that.
From a potential standpoint, this is the first group that I think could, even if for a season, be more dynamic and more devastating than the GSOT. That level of domination only happens with transcendent talent. OBJ and Woods gives us the Bruce and Holt with Kupp being a conflation of Az Hakim and Ricky Proehl. And the defense has the potential to be substantially better than the GSOT defense.
From a reality standpoint, none of it matters if OBJ was so freaked out by the injury that he simply won't move forward without guaranteed money, irrespective of his behavioral issues. Moreover, if he isn't willing to buy into the team mentality that McVay insists on (it seems like he is if that tweet about him "wanting in" is true"), then all of this is moot.
I think it not only could work out, but be historically good. That's my opinion based BOTH on my recognition of patterns AND this new spidey-sense thing which I don't understand at all to be honest.
We'll see how it goes.