- Joined
- Jan 15, 2014
- Messages
- 1,235
I only mentioned the What if stuff to say why I wouldn't guarantee the playoffs this year had the trade not happened.Well first I don’t like the what if game. I could just as easily say what if our offense improved from last year and our defense didn’t drop to middle of the pack. It doesn’t really get us anywhere
I agree with you it’s impossible to quantify directly. Funny story I’m actually going to school for this kinda stuff and I spend a lot of time doing data analytics. Well long story short I recently completed a project regarding how impossible it is to compare teams from different years because there is essentially no baseline for comparison. Things like difficulty of competition, rule changes, health, etc make it all irrelevant year to to year.
I also agree that is unfair to put Super Bowl expectations on a single player as we see every year the NFL playoffs are a crapshoot. However I don’t think it was the fan base that put these expectations on Stafford it was the FO. Goff’s limitations aside how often do you see a former #1 overall pick at the ripe age of 26 who has been to 2 pro bowls a Super Bowl etc traded the year after leading his team to the second round of the playoffs? I don’t recall an even similar situation tbh. Now I get it those achievements didn’t happen all because of Goff just like Stafford can’t singlehandedly win us a Super Bowl. During certain years of Goff’s tenure the offense led the team and others like last year the defense bailed him out. Still it’s pretty unprecedented for a QB who has had this much relative success with no real injury history to be dealt at such a young age. Therefore I don’t think it’s unreasonable that the expectations for his replacement are also pretty unprecedented.
You can have lost faith in Goff all you want but you can’t justify a belief that we couldn’t continue to make the playoffs with him under the helm. Therefore I want his upgrade to take us further.
FO Stuff is all coach speak to me. It is the stuff they have to say.
NFL DCs are great at exploiting an Offense's weakness. I believe that once they figured out that Goff wilts in the face of pressure, they used that to great effect, which is why Goff regressed the last couple years (I personally think the Detroit game prior to the Chicago game was where we saw the beginnings of what made Goff struggle). I think it truly limited what McVay could do. Goff rarely made defenses pay for pressuring up the middle. I truly believe that McVay/Goff took the NFL by storm, and had great success before the Defensive Coordinators figured Goff's weakness. DCs always do that, they take away what you do best, and if you don't or can't adjust, they keep coming with it. I just never saw Goff adjust. I saw McVay try to adjust, but never saw Goff overcome it. He may in time we will see.
Stafford will make DCs pay for sending pressure, and has throughout his career. I think you will see our offense open up and do a lot of things McVay was hesitant to do. I think we will see far fewer screens on 3rd and long (at least I hope so). I think we will see more of an attacking offense, and less of a 'minimize the risk' type offense.
I supported Goff while he was our QB, but the last 2 years, I saw him not adjust to what was happening to him, and that is a recipe for disaster for an NFL QB.