http://www.101sports.com/2015/06/15/six-reasons-to-believe-the-rams-will-stay-in-st-louis/
Six Reasons to Believe the Rams Will Stay in St. Louis
Posted by:
Randy Karraker in
National Football League,
Uncategorized June 15, 2015
The past week was a notable one in the NFL-to-Los-Angeles saga.
The league’s Los Angeles relocation committee heard from the Rams, Raiders, and Chargers about their L.A. stadium plans and progress, and about any progress on stadiums in their current cities.
Missouri Attorney General Chris Koster filed a motion to have Governor Jay Nixon removed from a suit filed by six legislators that claims Nixon overstepped his legal bounds.
Koster maintains the suit doesn’t hold any water because they can’t “allege any actions taken by the Governor at all, much less any action taken in excess of his authority.”
Then the City of St. Louis joined the legal fray, claiming city law says a new stadium must be adjacent to an existing convention facility, and Nixon’s task force’s riverfront stadium plans are not adjacent.
Rams owner Stan Kroenke’s approach in his desire to move the Rams to L.A. has been intriguing to say the least. He hasn’t participated in any pursuit of a new stadium in St. Louis, and has failed to communicate with Nixon or his stadium task force. All the while, he’s been planning a new stadium in L.A..
Many Rams fans in Los Angeles believe it’s fate that the franchise will relocate. I admit, I don’t know what’s going to happen. But, I don’t think it’s going to be as easy as those fans do.
Here’s why:
1) Stan Kroenke may not have the votes he needs. Kroenke, more than buying a franchise, signed on to join an exclusive club when the NFL approved him to be an owner in August, 2010. As in any club, there are rules. If you join an exclusive golf club, you can’t wear jorts and a t-shirt. If you do, you don’t get to enjoy the privileges accorded other members.
To move, Kroenke would require votes from 24 other owners. If he tries to do so without approval, as former Raiders president Amy Trask told Jim Thomas of the Post-Dispatch in January, there are “safeguards (that) are really draconian. They involve financial penalties and other penalties that really should deter teams from doing things like that without (league approval).”
2) The NFL’s relocation guidelines have changed. There’s a belief that this race to Los Angeles between the Rams, Raiders, and Chargers can be compared to the franchise free agency of the 1990’s, but there is no comparison. The only real guidelines in place back then were to go to the league and tell them you were moving. The NFL was afraid of the costs of anti-trust suits from the teams the league feared it would lose. After the Colts, Cardinals, Rams, Raiders, Browns, and Oilers switched cities, the NFL implemented their current guidelines. Those measures that Trask spoke of weren’t in place, not to mention all the hoops a franchise must jump through now.
The last thing the NFL wants is to set a precedent and open the door to more franchise moves simply because an owner wants to make more money for himself. Some think those guidelines won’t apply, but I believe longtime owners want to avoid the chaos of the late 90’s.
3) Stan Kroenke still isn’t following NFL ownership rules. Kroenke has until the end of this month to meet the league’s guidelines on cross-ownership. League rules say that he can’t own an NFL team in one market, and franchises from other leagues in which an NFL team resides.
Kroenke owns the Colorado Avalanche and Denver Nuggets, but the Denver Broncos reside in that city, as well.
When Kroenke finalized the Rams purchase in August, 2010, the league gave him until December of last year to financially divest himself of the Avalanche and Nuggets. He didn’t, and last October Kroenke received an extension until the end of this month to comply.
As of June 15, both team’s websites list Kroenke as their owner.
Is the NFL going to give Kroenke another extension?
And do they really want to play ball on relocation with a man who so openly ignores league rules?
4) The Chargers and Raiders have put forth a viable plan in Carson, California. As Vincent Bonsignore of the Los Angeles Daily News reported, that plan is offering something the NFL has desired for quite some time…land for a west coast wing of the Hall of Fame and acreage for NFL Network studios.
As Carson project point man Carmen Policy told Bonsignore of his message to the committee, “Don’t put yourself in an enclosed mall. Don’t put yourself in an arena setting. This is the kind of atmosphere and fan experience the fans in Southern California would want.”
Policy also noted that two co-tenants moving to L.A. at one time makes sense so there isn’t a landlord-tenant relationship, like there was for so many years with the Jets and Giants at Giants stadium.
5) The Rams can’t be counted on to get it right in Los Angeles. Also according to Bonsignore, the Rams (who didn’t comment on their presentation) had a message to the committee that “The NFL has one shot to get it right in L.A. and that’s the Rams in Inglewood.” With due respect to our local franchise, how can they be expected to get it right?
In Kroenke’s 20 seasons of part-ownership or ownership, the team has had four winning seasons. They’ve gone through eight head coaches. Their personnel department has drafted three players in the last fifteen years that have made a Pro Bowl.
An iconic franchise like the Lakers, with sixteen World Championships, had to slash ticket prices this season, cutting $400 tickets down to $119, to get people to come to games. The Lakers won back-to-back titles in 2009 and 2010, capped three straight finals appearances, and still fans turned their backs.
How will the L.A. populous react to a team that hasn’t had a winning season in eleven years and had the worst five year stretch in history? Can you really trust them to get it right?
6) The Chargers are due. Chargers owner Dean Spanos, as has been mentioned by his front man Mark Fabiani many times, has tried for fifteen years to get a new stadium in San Diego. His family has worked hard with the NFL to get a deal there. San Diego is a great Super Bowl city and would practically be guaranteed a Super Bowl per decade if they built a stadium.
Yet, the powers that be in San Diego, through seven different mayors, have yet to provide a representative offer for the Chargers, who have been involved in ten different stadium plans. Spanos has voiced this issue with owners for years, and there’s much belief among people that cover the league and the Chargers that he has the votes to block a Rams move to Los Angeles.
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Of course, any success for St. Louis depends on the success of the Peacock-Blitz task force. If San Diego or Oakland are able to get a stadium plan together, that changes the situation. There are questions, but at the moment, momentum for a stadium in St. Louis is still strong, and there’s little belief that San Diego or Oakland can get something done.
If momentum stays strong for St. Louis, it makes much more sense for the NFL to fix their California problems in California, and block Kroenke from moving the Rams.
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http://www.insidestl.com/insideSTLc...Gray-5-Topics-on-Rams-Future-in-St-Louis.aspx
Gray: 5 Topics on Rams' Future in St. Louis
The drama continues to unfold regarding the NFL in Los Angeles, the St. Louis Rams' future and the related outlooks of the San Diego Chargers and Oakland Raiders, respectively.
With that, here's a look at five topics relevant to the NFL in St. Louis.
Rams Revving Up For Relocation?
Last week, Vincent Bonsignore of the L.A. Daily News
updated the prospective relocation possibilities of the Rams, Raiders and Chargers after each of the three clubs met with the NFL's Committee on L.A. Opportunties. Specifically, Bonsignore asserted that the Rams are building a case for relocation based upon the following:
"The Rams declined comment, but their thinking seems clear: They are selling their site and their long history in Los Angeles as the keys to insure a successful return to Los Angeles, while also being willing participants in helping the Chargers and Raiders secure financially beneficial new stadiums and futures.
With a ready-made fan base in L.A., the financial might of a multi-billionaire owner and an extravagant stadium on a site Los Angeles fans are familiar with, the Rams are pushing their plan as NFL’s best bet for a successful re-entry into the second-biggest market in the country after a 20-year absence.
The message: The NFL has one shot to get it right in L.A. and that’s the Rams in Inglewood.
Meanwhile, by working together with the Chargers and Raiders, and with room to add another team, perhaps one team comes on as a partner and the other gets a helping hand building a new stadium in their current market.
In doing so, all teams objectives will be met."
Regardless of how you may feel about Bonsignore's report, let me share a few comments and pressing questions related to the aforementioned information:
-The Rams reportedly feel that Inglewood and the Rams is the best bet for Los Angeles. Obviously, however, that does not necessarily make it true. If you ask Carmen Policy, after all, he would insist that a Carson site for the in-state Raiders and Chargers is a better option for the league and the market. This reported assertion from the Rams proves nothing in and of itself.
-If the Rams long history in L.A. equates to a guarantee of success there, then why did they move in the first place? Obviously, if the Rams being in L.A. automatically corresponds to prosperity for the franchise, then the Rams would have never left.
The notion that the Rams franchise is the only one of the three clubs that could be sure to get it right in L.A. is laughable, especially when considering that they have produced just four winning seasons in the last twenty five years -- a quarter century -- and had more time than either of the other two franchises to get it right in L.A. -- five decades -- and still eventually fought to move from the market. If anything, the fact that they were there the longest and still couldn't figure it out should be a strike against them, not for them.
-Kroenke is a multi-billionaire and significantly wealthier than Chargers owner Dean Spanos or Raiders owner Mark Davis. True. But Goldman Sachs is backing the Carson project and their assets dwarf those of Kroenke. So, in relation to the NFL in L.A., this supposed Kroenke edge is not necessarily as significant of an advantage that some would deem it to be.
-The Rams are not the only franchise with some portion of a ready-made fan base in Los Angeles. All three teams could make that claim to one degree or another. Many indicators suggest that the Raiders are still the market's favored team,
including this one. Either way, each of the three teams have respectable backing in the city/region and would undoubtedly pick up masses of additional fans within the market upon moving there.
-Kroenke originally bought 30 percent of the Rams on the explicit precondition that the organization be allowed to move to St. Louis and away from the L.A. area.
If Kroenke and the Rams are the best bet to get it right in L.A., then why did Kroenke purchase a large minority interest in the organization based upon a strict agreement that they be allowed to exit the L.A. market in 1995? Why are the Rams the best bet to get it right this time when they obviously did not accomplish that end when they were there before?
-Of the three owners involved, Kroenke is the only one who worked to ensure his franchise move away from L.A. when the franchise was located there. With that understood, why then should he get first crack at getting L.A. back, particularly with the market he moved to working hard to provide him with another new stadium?
-Common sense would indicate that Kroenke would not be willing to offer to assist two other teams in finding stadium solutions if he were confident that Inglewood could or would prevail over Carson on even terms. It clearly speaks to the vast progress that has been made of late by Carson.
In my estimation, this reported tactic by Kroenke was not a move made from a position of power, but rather, a reactionary counter made from a compromised position in an effort to gain an upper hand that he does not feel he currently has.
If Kroenke did not feel that extreme measures were needed to gain support for a prospective Rams move to Inglewood, then clearly the aforementioned plan of attack would not be one being considered for utilization.
-If Kroenke is truly willing to help the Chargers and Raiders gain successful stadium resolutions in some way, shape or form -- with one of those team being a possible addition in Inglewood while working with another to somehow assist them in their current market -- how is Kroenke remotely acting in good faith towards St. Louis when doing nothing whatsoever to work with the Task Force here?
Simply put, he is not -- as should be obvious.
How would him offering to help anywhere and everywhere but in his current market possibly be acting in good faith and in a manner that the other NFL owners could justify voting for? How could they support him ahead of two owners who have worked much longer to find stadium solutions at home while playing in the league's two most antiquated venues all while having an alternative plan that would keep them in-state if they move?
It was already evident that Kroenke was not working with St. Louis and the Task Force when Governor Nixon said recently that he has not spoken to Kroenke regarding stadium efforts in the last 18 months. You can bet that the Governor has shared this information with Commissioner Roger Goodell, too.
If Bonsignore has this pegged, then Silent Stan is working diligently to get out of his current market, instead of working diligently to find a solution within it -- as required by the same relocation rules that he agreed to when signing on to become majority owner of the St. Louis Rams.
Using the assumption that Kroenke is simultaneously working to (a) move the Rams to L.A., (b) considering helping two other franchises attain new facilities and (c) doing nothing to work towards or consider what may eventually be a fully approved stadium plan in St. Louis, one can conclude that Kroenke is not
remotely working within the confines of the NFL's relocation guidelines and bylaws.
-Even if Kroenke is indeed willing to go to these extreme measures, there are no guarantees that Spanos and/or Davis will choose to work with Kroenke under his terms rather than work in Carson or at home under their own. For that matter, there is no certainly that the NFL would fall in line to back a complete shunning of a local market and Task Force that will likely have a stadium plan ready to go by the fall that has worked in lock-step with the league throughout the entirety of the process.
Is Dean the Don Regarding Relocation?
San Diego Chargers owner Dean Spanos may have as much control over what eventually does or does not occur regarding the NFL in Los Angeles as anyone.
Why?
Specifically, Spanos is highly respected, influential and well regarded by the consensus of NFL owners. Additionally, some assert --
such as Kevin Acee of UT San Diego -- that Spanos currently has the votes secured to block St. Louis Rams owner Stan Kroenke from moving to L.A. if he ultimately attempts to do so. It doesn't hurt Spanos' cause that he has been seeking a facility resolution for nearly 15 years.
Thus, this could go one of two ways -- barring unforeseen progress in the Chargers home market of San Diego:
On on hand, Spanos could theoretically strike a deal with Kroenke on a joint venture into the City of Angels. If that were to occur, he would call off the dogs, per se, and ask owners to allow Silent Stan to leave St. Louis. Relocation guidelines or not, if Spanos gives the Committee on L.A. Opportunities a thumbs up towards an attempted Kroenke move, it would seemingly increase Kroenke's chances of gaining approval to do so.
On the other hand, if Spanos -- who apparently isn't a fan of Kroenke -- continues to line up support to block Kroenke and/or gains approval to move to Carson, it will be a no-go for Stan in regard to attaining the votes necessary for relocation. The league is not going to approve both Carson and Inglewood.
In short, if Spanos continues to pursue Carson, he is building a strong case -- with the help of former NFL executive Carmen Policy -- to triumph over Inglewood. However, if Stan can convince Spanos to work on a joint project in Inglewood, then Kroenke would have a much easier time securing relocation approval.
Meanwhile, let us not forget that the St. Louis Task Force will ultimately have a say on how things play out. After all, if St. Louis is the only local market to secure an approved new stadium plan, it will be tough for the league to justify a Kroenke move -- if ultimately attempted -- irregardless of the stance that Spanos eventually settles upon.
Task Force Entrenched
The St. Louis Task Force remains optimistic that they will successfully navigate through a variety of challenges to ultimately keep the NFL in St. Louis.
But what about the Rams?
To be clear, the folks working steadfastly to secure a new downtown riverfront stadium development remain focused first upon retaining the city's current franchise.
Once again, that has not changed.
Could that approach eventually be adjusted? Sure. But it will not be altered unless the time comes that it becomes necessary to do so, and that stage has not yet been reached.
Looming Lawsuits
On a related note, sources close to the situation continue to express confidence in the likelihood of positive resolutions being obtained regarding city and state level stadium lawsuits and the ultimate realization of the necessary funding required for a new downtown NFL-centered development.
With an important NFL league meeting coming quickly in August, it is obvious that the sooner these things can be put to bed, the better it is for pro-stadium efforts.
Silent Stan
After extensively studying Kroenke's history in recent years, one thing has become clear: he is a world-class poker player capable of hiding his true intentions even from those closest to him.
In addition, nothing gets out of Kroenke's camp that isn't intended to get out of Kroenke's camp.
Furthermore, anyone thinking they have Kroenke's specific intentions figured out are almost always guessing several moves behind his ultimate end game.
What am I getting at here?
While things appear to be clear in some regards as to what Kroenke does or does not want in relation to the Rams, there are indications from his past that what we think we see may not be what we are seeing.
Yes, he has made it appear clear that he is strongly interested in Los Angeles. If he were not doing so, he would not be (a) in position to potentially gain that market, (b) watching St. Louis move at a very rapid pace to secure funding for a new stadium designed to keep the Rams and/or (c) also setting himself up for other lucrative potential end games.
What does he truly desire in the end?
Please keep in mind that Kroenke has no reason not to pursue Inglewood vigorously at this time.
Why?
At this moment, there are no cemented, absolute guarantees that the local Task Force is going to close on securing public funding for a new riverfront stadium development.
With that understood, why would Kroenke not move forward aggressively in L.A. -- even if considering St. Louis -- when knowing that there is at least some possibility that local stadium efforts somehow falter in the end?
With Carson moving quickly, a sit-back-and-wait approach from Kroenke would put him in position to be blocked from L.A. and possibly miss out on public funding in St. Louis.
That, of course, would be a lose-lose proposition.
Right now, Kroenke is moving towards a win-win.
In the end, he is going to win with his land in Inglewood regardless of whether an NFL stadium is ever built there. That is irrefutable.
If the nation's eight largest landowner ends up doing nothing more in Ingelwood than what he still does as his day job -- develop real estate -- he will still generate a terrific economic gain via his purchase there.
If St. Louis comes through and he (a) decides to stay or (b) attempts to move but does not prevail, then he ultimately will obtain a new state of the art venue at home and garner a myriad of new revenue streams while increasing his franchise value significantly -- all without paying any relocation fees or other related moving costs.
Thus, like it or not, Kroenke is playing it smart in many ways. He's moving towards victory, regardless of whether he winds up in L.A. with the Rams, in L.A. with another team,
in L.A. with an expansion franchise, in Denver with the Broncos or in St. Louis with the Rams.
It may be an ugly way to do business and it may be hated in St. Louis, but Kroenke is likely going to come out ahead in one way or another, regardless of how it all plays out.
That is, unless he is already pushing things too far both in regard to his reported aggressive approach towards L.A. and his lack of communication with St. Louis.
What if his complete shunning of St. Louis backfires at the league level and his obvious disregard for the league's relocation rules comes back to bite him? And what if he ultimately poisons the Gateway City well to the point that the fan and corporate base will not fully support the Rams with him at the helm?
Kroenke is walking a bit of a tightrope with his ultra-aggressive play. These types of plays usually either win out big or flame out badly. One gets the feeling that both outcomes are real possibilities at the moment.
Denver, anyone? An Inglewood retail center?
Who knows. An array of end games remain possible. The Rams to L.A. is obviously a very viable possibility depending on how a variety of things play out. In turn, the Rams remaining in place is a real option as well, again, depending on how certain factors come together over the next few months.
Stay tuned...