http://www.philly.com/philly/sports...ame-after-loss-seattle-seahawks-20171204.html
Why Rams game is now a must-win for Eagles
by Bob Ford
YONG KIM / STAFF PHOTOGRAPHER
The Eagles lost to Seattle on Sunday night, a loss in large part of their own making, and while the sky isn’t falling now, there are an awful lot more clouds in it than there were before.
Nothing about the quick building project that blossomed into a 10-1 start has been altered. The Eagles are still a very good team, and this group that is coming together will probably make it to a Super Bowl before it comes apart again. What has changed, however, is the previously growing expectation that the arrival would be
this season.
It still could be, but now the margin for error that separates them from three other teams fighting for postseason seeding in the NFC has been sliced to nearly nothing. The Eagles could win the championship without a first-round bye or home-field advantage for most or all of the conference playoffs, but Sunday’s game was a reminder that the road to the Super Bowl is usually not the road.
Here’s what has changed since the loss to the Seahawks: This coming Sunday’s game against the Los Angeles Rams is now a must-win.
Not a must-win for the long-term development of the team. Not a must-win for avoiding a total collapse or any nonsense like that. It is a must-win to give themselves a reasonable chance this season for their first title since the final month of the Eisenhower administration.
Their main rival for the top seed in the NFC and home field through the playoffs is the Minnesota Vikings, also at 10-2. The Vikings are seeded ahead of them now on the fourth tiebreaker, which is “strength of victory.” Minnesota will have a tough game Sunday at Carolina, but then close out the schedule with games against Cincinnati (5-6), Green Bay (6-6), and Chicago (3-9).
To finish ahead of the Vikings, the Eagles need to keep pace on conference record, which is their main tiebreaker (both teams are at 8-1 now), or take the lead with a Minnesota loss to the Panthers and a win over the Rams.
Beating Los Angeles, quite obviously, would also push the Rams down the line and put them two games behind the Eagles with three to play (three games behind effectively, since head-to-head would take precedence in a tie). Los Angeles then will finish at Seattle, at Tennessee, and at home against San Francisco. So, Sunday is must-win for the Rams, too, and they know it.
As for the Saints, the Eagles can’t do much about them but hope their two games against the Falcons yield at least one loss. New Orleans also has the Jets and Bucs and a current 7-2 conference record that is behind only the Vikings and Eagles, so one unexpected stumble by the top teams could vault the Saints.
It isn’t as if the Eagles will be bulletproof after the Rams game. They will go on the road against the Giants, which seems like cake, but finish at home against Oakland and Dallas. Should they win those games based on what we’ve seen this season? Sure. Will they? Not if they continue to turn over the ball and commit crucial penalties.
So, yes, Sunday’s game in the ancient Los Angeles Coliseum is a must-win for the Eagles against a hot team whose offense matches theirs stride for stride. They are tied for most points per game at 30.1, and the Rams are in the top five in the NFL for yards per game, yards per play, and yards per pass play. They are in the top 10 for rushing yards per game, net passing yards per game, and fewest interceptions and sacks per pass play.
If the Eagles don’t find a way to beat the Rams, and if New Orleans wins in Atlanta, the Eagles will have gone from the top seed in the conference to fourth in the span of eight days, and not only will home field through the playoffs be a deep long shot, but even getting a first-round bye will be a coin flip.
The matchup with the Rams would be intriguing, regardless. Los Angeles chose Jared Goff over Carson Wentz in the 2016 draft, and that decision looks a lot better this season under head coach Sean McVay than it did last year under Jeff Fisher.
Goff doesn’t have as many touchdown passes as Wentz this year (no one else does, either), but 20 touchdowns and six interceptions aren’t bad in 392 attempts (Wentz has 29 and six in 399 attempts). Goff’s completion percentage is better than Wentz’s (62.2 to 60.7), as is his yards per attempt (8.1 to 7.5), and he has taken fewer sacks (20 to 27).
It’s a really interesting showdown, all other things aside. But there is no putting aside the overall importance of the game. This is the first meeting between the quarterbacks in what might be a decade-long rivalry, but it is also the game that could decide the eventual postseason fate of both their teams.
If the Eagles want to win the Super Bowl this season, or have the best chance to do so, they have to win this game first. Losing isn’t an option.
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There are 4 NFC teams vying for top dog, all within a game or two of each other. And one week can change the standings. Really. LA is a big game. The Eagles want to avoid the momentum shift. The bright side is that we are getting to enjoy meaningful December football games.
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The focus shouldn't be on the #1 seed, it should be on a top 2 seed. The reason this game is a must win is because a loss would likely put us in the 3rd or 4th spot in the playoff seeding. #1 over #2 is a nice bonus, but not critical in playoff path
The difference between 2 and 3 could be
2 - Bye, Home against Rams, Away against Vikes
3 - Home against Seattle, Away against Saints, Away against Vikes
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I wish we could play Minny down the stretch in the regular season. They are a complete team. But not a dominant team. I think we could take them.
But our paths don't cross unless it happens in the playoffs. So you're right. Would be OK to get the 1st round bye and face them later in Minny. Would not be OK to play the extra game and then also have to face them in Minny.
But a couple of the old veteran NFC teams are looking dangerous now for these young upstarts in Minny, Philly and LA. I'm talking about the Hawks
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Whether it is a must win or not, for the first time all year, I actually feel 100% confident that this Eagles team is going to win and win big. I haven't felt this way since Labor Day.
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Both the coach and the QB were overwhelmed. Pederson was awestruck, intimidated by the stage, the situation and the competency gap between him and the HC on the on other sideline. He turtled up in that first half, clearly playing not to lose. He should recover enough that his shortcomings aren't an insurmountable hurdle for his team to overcome.
Wentz has also been prematurely anointed. I've said from preseason that he has a tendency to sail his mid range passes and that would rear it's ugly head in an important game and be costly. He missed Agholor down the right sideline 8 feet over his head and probably changed the game. Stop the MVP talk.
Stop the Super Bowl talk. Stop the nonsensical choreography. This week should be about getting serious. Go to work, play angry and win this Ram's game on Sunday. There should also be a lot of Philly fans in the house out there.
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I look at the Eagles and I see a team that is great when they can build up a 31-3 lead, but they still have trouble when faced with a similar 17-3 deficit like in Seattle. Granted Russell Wilson is miles better than Jacoby Brissett, Brett Hundley or even Andy Dalton, but the fact is, the Steelers this season always...find...a way to win when the odds are stacked against them.
When the Eagles start showing they can overcome some adversity down by 10 or more points, I will feel more confident about their ability to go far in the postseason. I'm sure regularly overcoming deficits are Maalox moments for Steelers fans, but I think it reveals a team's character more than half a dozen blowout wins can like we've seen with the Eagles this season.
If they somehow fall behind the Rams on the road by say...10 to 13 points on Sunday, I am curious to see if this Eagles team has it in their gut to pull off the victory. If they can, then I like their chances to go far a lot better.
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Originally I was coming here to tell off all of you over hyped Eagles fans who have the added benefit of the east coast bias press to shower your team with overblown complements.
Before sunday night I was actually starting to believe that maybe the press were right and there was a team that could actual beat the Patriots. Believe it or not I actually don't hate your team and was hoping that the eagles would actually be able to beat the Patriots.
However after watching the entire game live, recording it and re-watching it. it's become apparent that despite all of adoration the press are giving the Eagles, much of what the though the Eagles were is unfounded.
The Eagles defense is not as good as I was led to believe nor is there offense as unstoppable and that is a major problem. Let me be clear, I am not here to crow about the Seahawks or declare they are all mighty and going to the super bowl or anything like that.
I am a realist and figure they will get bounced in the first two rounds of the playoffs if they make it at all. Instead I only want one thing.
Somebody, anybody but the Patriots to win the super bowl. For that to happen the very best team in the NFC has to go to have even a chance to win.
Alot of what works in the regular season does not work in the super bowl trust me, the hawks have been there and seen first hand as Brady gets away with plays you would not think is possible!
The Falcons tried to out offense the Patriots last year and you saw what happened! So the key really is defense, you have to have the best defense to have a chance against them and right now the Vikings look like they may have that but they have to have a leader and I am not sure if Case Keenum is ready to take that next step?
That's why the Eagles have a chance with Carson Wentz but is he really ready to go toe to toe with Belichick's golden boy with that defense that just gave up 24 points two days ago I'm not sure?
Lets see the Eagles shut down the Rams like the Seahawks already did. Your close Eagles fans, your good, but you need to be great to have a chance against the Patriots.
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We did not even have our top two secondary players *(Sherman, Chancellor) and one of our pro bowl defensive tackles (Avril) and we still beat your sorry team into the ground for the fourth straight time! Sounds like your the guys who need to hold 50 times to win.
You don't deserve the super bowl when you don't even know how to play sound defense, the last touchdown we got on you made your sorry bunch of windbags look stupid on national TV. Hope you lose two more games so we can run over you again in the playoffs!
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The secret is to win the super bowl before the QB's rookie contract expires, if you can use that money to get the best defense possible and build around the quarterback then the eagles could win the super bowl, but the eagles need to be smart with their personnel and get the most bang for there buck before the star quarterbacks contract is up.
Afterwards you will have to pay your QB big bucks and that will hurt you in trying to keep your talent and team together, So if the eagles are going to win it they have to do it before the eagles have to pay Wentz top dollar.
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