I think you misunderstand what I meant. In the present day where good backs are rarely taken in the first round I wouldn't take James in round 1. Was he good? Sure he was good but is he a great? Is he a name that comes to mind when anyone discusses great RBs? No. So if in the current era where good backs are commonly taken later in the draft, if I was going to choose a running back in round 1, then I would need to think he was an Adrian Peterson, Marshall Faulk, E.D. caliber back. What is Gurley? Is he Marshawn Lynch? or is he Edgerinn James? Can he carry a team or is just a really good player on a good team like James was with an elite QB and WRs?
I think people overestimate your odds in the first round. If you come away with Edgerrin James, you're not just doing well...you're doing amazingly.
Was Edgerrin James great? Yes. Is he a HOFer? Probably not. But he's close. 12,000+ rushing yards and 80 rushing TDs over his career. 15,000+ yards from scrimmage and 91 total TDs in his career. He put up 12,000+ yards from scrimmage and 75 TDs in his first 7 years in Indy.
Could Edgerrin James have carried a team in his prime? To the extent that any HB could carry a team, yes.
I'll go ahead and provide some data here. In the first round since the merger, there have been 197 players that were selected as a First Team All Pro(once or more). There have been a total of 1117 players selected in the first round.
That puts your chances of selecting an All Pro at 17.6%. Yea, I think you're doing AMAZING for yourself if you come away with an Edgerrin James in the first round.
So I couldn't disagree more with your assertions.
I would redraft Hutchinson and Ed Reed in round 1 first overall, ditto for Faulk, Dickerson, Polamalu. But when you see so many good runningbacks playing well in the NFL today why 'waste' a first round pick on any runningback that is not hall of fame caliber? When you compared Gurley to James he suddenly didn't seem as good as the rest of the thread indicates. Now if you think Gurley is a better version of James? That is different.
Guards are rarely taken in the first round. So I'm not sure how you can apply that logic here to HBs/James and not OGs/Hutchinson.
Are you really insinuating that you're wasting a pick on a player like James? I'm sure you remember guys like Jason Smith, Adam Carriker, Alex Barron, etc. right? Those are WASTED picks. You're not guaranteed a star in the first round.
When I compared Gurley to Edgerrin James he suddenly didn't seem as good? WHAT?
Edgerrin James's Average Season(Per 16) In Indianapolis(7 years)
365 carries
1538 yards
4.2 yards per carry
11 rushing TDs
59 receptions
473 yards
8.0 yards per reception
2 receiving TDs
That's an average of 2011 yards and 13 TDs a year.
Edgerrin James is not far off from being a HOFer. How could anyone be disappointed if Gurley ended up being a great HB like Edgerrin James? That's nuts. Prime Edge would be the best HB in the NFL if he were playing today(with Adrian Peterson on the bench right now).