I am unabashedly a St. Louis homer. I moved here 22 years ago. I work here. I raise my family here. This place has become "home" - and for a transplant into the region, who can't get the 'where did you go to high school?' question immediately, that is saying a lot, it took a long time to feel "at home" here because St. Louis is different than other regions. Not going to say 'better' or 'worse', its just unique and until that really sinks in, its not possible to explain to an outsider. But I simply see this differently than 'conventional wisdom'.
If the Riverfront Stadium proposal continues on to become the Riverfront Stadium project, then the Rams franchise is going to stay put right where it is - in St. Louis. The opinions of the venue may vary, but the most important aspects - entry points and concourses, egress, traffic, parking, viewing angles to the field and capacity for the market in both seating and luxury/corporate boxes - are all up to the NFL standards for 21st century stadiums and deemed acceptable. Retractable roofs, suspended huge video boards, flashy exteriors or down right weird looking things like the Atlanta boondoggle are not requirements. The current owner may very well be moving on sooner rather than later; but the Rams are not going anywhere.
Mark Davis is hardly the "model" NFL owner - poor (by league standards), eccentric (not in a charming way either) and ensconced in a stadium situation he has no hope of solving on his own. The Raiders are one piece of the larger puzzle, but they are the one with the most edges and the hardest to remedy without Stan Kroenke's direct help. Back in January, before Carson was publicly an option, the Rams to L.A. would have been the best solution for the L.A. problem at that time only. But, as the Oakland and San Diego situations for stadiums deteriorate further, and the Raiders financial position remains 'soft' at best, then Inglewood is just 'an option' and no longer 'the option'. Stan wants to maximize his potential revenue no matter where he lands, but he needs more leverage with the league to make Inglewood "THE OPTION" once more.
IF Stan really 'wants' L.A. as his home base (and why any billionaire would 'want' any city over another is kind of laughable, he can live whether ever he chooses and in a town like LA, he won't exactly be 'known' - the guy is not Nicholson or Jerry Buss...he is a recluse and kind of odd looking man truth be told, inserting yourself into a place WITH cool people does not transform you INTO a cool person), it would only be because the $$$ in one spot is vastly better than another - its not like the guy is living in a condo built into the Edward Jones dome now...he is not exactly living in a neighborhood either, worrying about the home owner's association. Kroenke wants to garner the best deal he can for himself, full stop. Right now that could involve a ton of options - moving the Rams unilaterally and daring the league to stop him, moving the Rams after seeking approval from the league and not getting it, selling the Rams to buy the Raiders and move THEM to L.A. since that path would have far less league roadblocks, doing nothing but retaining the Rams and accepting a new stadium deal in St. Louis, etc. etc. etc.
The thing virtually everyone agrees on is that the one thing that won't happen is status quo beyond 2015.
This situation is resolved by December one way or another.
I just think regardless of intention, desire or actions to date, if there is continued progress in St. Louis towards the new stadium, the only way Kroenke ends up in L.A. is as the owner of the Raiders. I just see that as solving more league problems and being the option that ends up winning approval. Maybe the Raiders do share Carson with the Chargers and Spanos and Kroenke figure out a way to coexist - or maybe its Kroenke convincing Spanos to underwrite a portion of Inglewood. I just see new St. Louis ownership and a Spanos-Kroenke / Chargers-Raiders conclusion as the most likely and viable outcome.
In these clashes of billionaires and egos, the thing that usually loses is the guy with the least amount of money and leverage...Spanos has the backing of the other owners and some viable financing options with Goldman rumored, Kroenke has the money, a viable alternative project and the land and financial clout, Davis has neither - in fact, he really has nothing. Oakland and San Diego won't build, St. Louis will. Who is the ultimate loser? The guy with the least power...Mark Davis and the fans in Oakland. Thepotentially Stan Kroenke owned (and Kevin Demoff led) Los Angeles Raiders won't lose and neither will Kroenke himself.
Come to think of it...Jeff Fisher might look pretty good in Silver and Black in L.A....maybe the Rams can get some draft picks for him, but if the Rams fail to make the playoffs again in 2015, he might just be a free-agent!