https://www.theringer.com/nfl/2017/...luke-meter-andy-dalton-jared-goff-leveon-bell
Which Week 1 NFL Performances Were Flukes?
BY RODGER SHERMAN
After months of waiting, we finally got our first glimpse of what the NFL will look like in 2017. But Week 1 games can be fickle; for example, you might have noticed that the 49ers did not go on to win last season’s Super Bowl after whipping the
Rams 28-0 on
Monday Night Football in September.
And who could forget
Nick Foles’s 2015 debut with the
Rams, when he led his team to a season-opening win over the defending NFC champion Seahawks with 297 passing yards and two touchdowns (one passing, one rushing). He finished that campaign with more picks than touchdowns and never came anywhere near the 300-yard mark again.
Some performances from Week 1 will prove to be the first signs of breakout years; others will go down as total flukes. We looked at seven of the most surprising Week 1 outings—some good, some terrible—and tried to divine whether they’re atypical or harbingers of the season to come.
Jared Goff Becoming an Unstoppable Passing Force
It’s hard to overstate how bad Goff was last season. His rookie campaign was so nightmarish that it prompted even reasonable football analysts to question whether the former no. 1 overall pick was a bust. And it’s hard to overstate how much better Goff looked in Sunday’s 46-9 rout of the Colts.
He finished 21-of-29 passing for 306 yards with a touchdown,
went 5-of-5 on passes of 15 yards or more in the first half, and completed as many deep balls in one game as he did all of last season. And the Rams won, the first time they’ve ever done so with Goff starting under center.
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nm0lRIuxpYo&feature=player_embedded
Goff benefited from the Rams’ acquisition of receiver Sammy Watkins, who had five catches on five targets against Indianapolis. But the biggest factor for his improvement seemed to be the play-calling tactics of first-year head coach Sean McVay.
Los Angeles ran plays that seemed logical from a strategic perspective, like play-action passes. Using the threat of Todd Gurley running the ball to buy time for a young quarterback—imagine that!
Part of Goff’s Week 1 success is also attributable to the incredible awfulness of Indianapolis. More NFL teams should play the Colts Week 1. This game felt similar to the instances in college football when Big State U pays West Fartville State $800,000 to schedule a home opener. Indy was abysmal in virtually every aspect in Week 1, and Goff was helped by having some open targets to hit.
The Verdict: I’m going to go out on a limb and predict that Goff won’t consistently be one of the highest-ranked quarterbacks in the league. But pencil me in as a believer that he’ll show marked improvement in McVay’s system. Then again … he still might be bad at throwing footballs.
View: https://twitter.com/rodger_sherman/status/907961183134556161?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theringer.com%2Fnfl%2F2017%2F9%2F13%2F16303468%2Fweek-1-fluke-meter-andy-dalton-jared-goff-leveon-bell