This might be an over-simplification of sorts. But someone fill in some of the blanks for me....
Option 1: No New Deal/AD Holdout
2018 Salary: $8M
2019: RFA-Tagged at $18.5M
2020: RFA-Tagged at $22M
Three year total: $48.5M
All money guaranteed, but on a year to year basis.
Pros:
- He’s taking a stand for what he believes he’s worth.
Cons:
- Making less money than he would if he signed a new deal
- Anything can happen at any time to change his future. (see: Stedman Bailey, JPP, Malik McDowell...)
- Not being part of the team.
- Potentially, hurting his legacy.
- Could be traded to a worse franchise/city/market/etc.
Option 2: New Deal
4 year extension/$88M/$70M guaranteed ($78 if you count the guaranteed salary for this year)
2018: $8M
2019: $22M
2020: $22M
2021: $22M
2022: $22M
*Obviously those numbers can look different based on the structure/bonuses/etc.
Pros
- Highest paid DE/DT
- Damn near $80M guaranteed...to play a game! With no worry of getting injured, or dealing with the tag, or dealing with the drama every year. Safe and secured multi-millionaire, with LA endorsements to follow.
- Can still sign a second contract at 31 years old or so.
- Can join the team and his friends in a quest for a Lombardi.
- Gets to play ball with other guys that love football-McVay, Gurley, Cooks, Goff, Brockers, etc.
- Be part of a potentially all-time great DLine
- Happy fans (haha...just kidding...I know this part doesn’t matter)
Cons
- I suppose if he feels he’s worth $25M/year, he could see himself being out $12M. (But that’s assuming someone would pay that)
Seems pretty clear to me. But what do I know.