- Joined
- May 26, 2013
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- River
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- #62
Here's how I see it ...
Just as an example, take New England for instance : The Pats have a late 1'st round pick and a late 3'rd round pick, and they've identified the TE position as must upgrade to stay viable in the play-offs for 2020 with their current scheme, they've also determined that it's a weak draft at the TE position and really would prefer a vet over a developmental rookie. They have no 2'nd round pick. Rather than opt at a draft reach with their 1'st round pick, they take a look at what might be available in free agency or by trade. Their first interest might be in Hunter Henry, but San Diego re-signs him, then they notice the Rams are offering Everett for that late #3.
I'm not going to debate player valuation as every team has their own method of determining a players value for themselves, some are a hit and some are a miss, but the escalating costs suggest they aren't done inflating salaries while they try to find that magic bullet. Draft boards can be incredibly different from team to team. Teams have a tendency to overpay for players at need positions when they can't come by them by other means. If there is a mathematical formula for determining player value, i'm yet to see it, analytics can provide some guidance, but until its fine tuned enough to replace GM's, determining value continues to involve divergent processes, that and a bit of luck. And like teams in the past, I would talk to the player and his agent about future compensation when considering trading for a Franchise player, signing them as early as possible like was done with Frank Clark & Dee Ford.
jmo.
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