Check out these punt return stats, Roman.
http://www.footballdb.com/stats/stats.html?mode=PR
Tavon was ranked 13th last year.
Sometimes perception is very different from reality. Tavon is such a case.
Thanks for attaching the data "43". Here is what I think: the idea of the punt return ITSELF, for the most part, is overrated. Setting aside the couple outliers, each of those players averaged 7-12 yards a return. A FIVE yard difference.
Now, "every yard counts" certainly in football, but if our guy catches a punt on the 16-yard line and returns it to the 24, as is Tavons average for returned punts, or returns it to the 28, per the average of return "champion" Darren Sproles, it is hardly a huge momentum shift.
Look at the data you submitted, 43. Really study it. First of all, the rankings are based on TOTAL return yards. That gives a leg up to the guys who's defenses force a lot of punts. Certainly no credit to them. I also disagree with ranking punters based on total yards punted, for similar reasons. When did they start ranking like that, anyway?
I disagree with that merit system. Just like some of the modern QBR ranking systems, and the baseball emphasis on OBS, etc. the punt, and punt return should measure the true value to the team: movement of field position. In the case of the returner, I propose a merit matrix that considers:
- Total "punt decisions." Removing any punts that sail out of bounds, award the punt returner for decisions, such as:
- "proper fair catches", made when tacklers are surrounding the returner, as the punted ball arrives, and letting the ball bounce would result in significant negative yardage to his team.
- "Wise declines," when the returner lets the ball go, usually because it has a good chance to roll into the end zone for a touchback.
- "Ball security". Does the returner make solid choices, calling for clear fair catches when appropriate, and tucking the ball away?
- "Big plays" Obviously, taking one to the house is the ultimate big play for a punt returner. But a 20+ yard return can really ignite a team. Where was the list of those plays?
- For example: consider two prospective punt return stat lines, which would you rather have: Player A: 12, 9,10,8,10,11,13,10,8,9. Or Player B: 3,7,-2,5, 34,9,5,7,2,26. Player A average 10.0. Player B average 8.6. But I will take player B all day long because his two "big runs" were huge plays for his team in the field position game. None of the other returns for either player significantly helped, or hurt their team.- I propose a "big play" emphasis in the rankings. Perhaps the Big Play stat can be similar to Fantasy League stats, but with the intention or really registering true value. A momentum boosting run of over 20 yards can receive 1 point, over 40 yards 2 points and a touchdown 6.
- Yardage can be calculated proportionally to account for about 1/3 of the total matrix.
- If A "hero" punt returner fields a punt on the 2 yard line rather than let it go into the end zone, and returns it 14 yards to the 16. Pretty good average, huh? Where is that statistic registered? -it should be a -4 net field position statistical penalty. Perhaps even a -1 equivalent from the big play statistic.
Just some random thoughts in regard to punt returns. Tavon returned one of only twelve TDs last year, according to the stats posted. His decision making is generally solid. He is an asset to the Rams in punt returns, and has (5?) That have been called back over the years.
I can't think of anyone I would rather have back there than Tavon Austin.