Huh?! Are you serious? So you're saying that if the rams have a losing record this season while not having one in 4 seasons as long as Stafford puts up numbers you'll think the trade was a success?
LMAO Wow. That's all I can say to that logic.
I'm only at page 14, so I don't know if this has been addressed already or if this argument played out or whatever, but I think there's two things being rolled into one as people address the thread topic.
There's a difference between "was the trade a good idea at the time it was made" and "did the end goal of the trade get accomplished". Those two things aren't always related.
For example, if I told you I was going to pick a numbered ball out of a jar that contained the numbers 1 through 100. You win one million dollars if you choose correctly. You can either choose 1 or all of 2-99. The correct choice in the moment is to pick 2-99. Given the available data, 2-99 is the only smart choice. If I pull out the number 1 ball, 2-99 was still the best choice at the time that you made the choice, even though it didn't accomplish the goal. You can disagree, but what if I offer you the same deal again? Are you going to pick 1, just because it hit last time? 2-99 is always the statistically superior choice, regardless of what actually happens.
I think people are confusing these two things when taking about this trade. Is trading for Stafford the right choice right now given all the information we have? That's up for debate, but a lot of people would say yes. It doesn't matter if he gets hurt or completely fails it decides to retire the day before game 1. Trading for him was probably the statistically best decision we could make at the time with the info we had.
In 4 years we can ask if the trade was worth it. Hopefully we can answer that after this year if we win the super bowl.
I don't know if I would say the trade is a success no matter what because it's an on paper upgrade, but I would say it was the right decision no matter what because it's an on paper upgrade.