http://walterfootball.com/nflpowerrankings.php
So apparently according to walter, The Ravens get annihilated by the Bengals over 3/4 quarters of play, Lose to Hue Jackson in OT, Get humiliated by Cam Newton, Stand at 4-4 and 3RD in the AFC North AND YET THEY ARE RANKED HIGHER THAN 4 DIVISION LEADING TEAMS AND THE OTHER TEAMS IN ITS DIVISION IN SPITE OF OWNING A 1-2 RECORD IN THEIR OWN DIVISION??????
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Makes fun of the Rams and Jared Goff all of 2016. Calls them overrated in 2018 because they proved how useless the experts on this site are . Garbage as usual
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http://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2018_09late.php
Los Angeles Rams (8-0) at New Orleans Saints (6-1)
Line: Rams by 1. Total: 59.5.
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Pick.
Walt's Calculated Line: Saints -3.
Sunday, Nov 4, 4:25 PM
Edge: Saints.
NEW ORLEANS OFFENSE: The Rams made some noise at the trade deadline, acquiring Dante Fowler for two draft picks. You can read more about it on my
NFL Trade Grades page. Specifically for this game, I don't see Fowler doing much. Fowler will make the Rams' edge rush better, but the Saints protect Drew Brees extremely well on the outside with their two prolific tackles. If they're going to pressure Brees, it'll be in the interior with Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh.
Brees, however, releases the ball quicker than any quarterback in the NFL, and he'll be able to attack the weak points of the Rams' defense. Los Angeles can't cover. Not on the outside, and not in the middle of the field. Their cornerback situation is a mess, as Aqib Talib is out, while Marcus Peters is playing on one leg. Aaron Rodgers torched them last week, and Brees will have even more success in his dome.
Meanwhile, defending the middle of the field has been a huge problem for the Rams all year, dating back to Week 1 when Jared Cook had a monster game against them. The Saints don't have a dynamic tight end like Cook, but they possess Alvin Kamara. He'll have a big day as a receiver out of the backfield, and I also expect him and Mark Ingram to run well, given that the Rams have surrendered some big rushing performances this year.
LOS ANGELES OFFENSE: The Rams will obviously score as well. The Saints defend the middle of the field better than the Rams do, but they have some of the same coverage issues. Their top cornerback, Marshon Lattimore, is a good one, but the rest of their cornerbacks are liabilities.
I imagine Sean McVay will create a great game plan for Jared Goff. He'll attack Eli Apple and P.J. Williams, and this strategy will be successful if Cooper Kupp returns from injury. Kupp missed the past two games, and it's unclear if he'll be 100 percent upon his return, but I imagine that his presence will help.
Then, of course, there's Todd Gurley. The Saints defend the run well, but so do the Packers, and Gurley still made some big plays. Gurley wasn't as dominant as he usually is last week, so expect a similar performance here.
RECAP: This spread isn't correct. These teams are close to even. It could be argued that the Rams are slightly better, and even if that's the case, New Orleans should still be at -3, as the Saints should get 3.5 points for being at home.
With that in mind, we're getting 1.5 points of value with a team that will be playing with very high energy in front of crazy fans. The Rams don't have a road win over a quality opponent this year, and their best victory period is over the Chargers at home, so this is obviously a huge step up.
On top of that, the Rams' defense doesn't match up well with the Saints, who should be able to score at will in their dome. I'll be betting New Orleans in this contest for three units.
THURSDAY THOUGHTS: What's this? The Rams are now favored? I don't understand why, but perhaps the sharps are betting Los Angeles because they've heard some injury news. I haven't seen anything yet outside of Cooper Kupp potentially being able to play.
- The Psychology. Edge: Saints.
The Saints will be playing with greater energy in their home stadium.
The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.
- Percentage of money on Los Angeles: 55% (6,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: Saints.
- Saints are 42-32 ATS as a home favorite since 2007.
- Drew Brees is 48-30 ATS off back-to-back wins.
- Weather: Dome.
Week 9 NFL Pick: Saints 38, Rams 34
Saints +1 (3 Units)
Over 59.5 (0 Units)
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Your ads are the worst. Have you ever tried to browse your own site?
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Again, Walt, you keep deleting these comments. Enjoy losing more money, you chump. Your analysis is about on par with your atrocious web design