One Round to go in the Championship.
21
Birmingham -20 50
20
Nottingham Forest -13 48
22
Blackburn -14 48
Birmingham @ Bristol City.
Blackburn @ Brentford.
Ipswich Town @ Nottingham Forest.
Brentford have won their last four home games by a combined total of 11 goals to 1.
Forest have 2 wins, 1 loss (to Blackburn) and 1 draw from their last four home games.
A Forest win?
Three points will see Forest to safety if Birmingham fail to beat Bristol City. Victory for the Reds would put them above Birmingham if the Blues lose or draw. But if Harry Redknapp's side win, it will come down to Forest and Blackburn.
In that situation, Forest will be safe if they win and Blackburn lose or draw. If both Forest and Blackburn win, it could go two ways.
The Reds would be safe by virtue of their superior goal difference if they equal Rovers' margin of victory, but if Blackburn win by two or more goals than Forest then Forest would be relegated to League One.
If Forest and Blackburn finish the season with wins that put them level on points and goal difference, it will come down to goals scored – and the Reds currently hold the advantage on that score, having netted 59 goals compared to Blackburn's 50.
A Forest draw?
If the Reds earn a point against Ipswich, it will not be enough to lift them above Birmingham even if the Blues lose their final match, so they would be relying on Blackburn failing to beat Brentford to stay in the Championship.
A Forest loss?
If the Reds suffer defeat to Ipswich, they will need Blackburn to endure the same fate – and by an equal or greater margin – at Brentford in order to survive.
Good luck to all three clubs.