https://www.theringer.com/nfl/2017/12/26/16818892/week-16-recap-playoff-picture-questions
By Robert Mays
Who’s in the mix for the NFC’s second wild-card spot?
The Falcons and Seahawks are the only teams left in the race for the sixth and final NFC playoff spot. Carolina’s closer-than-expected 22–19 win over a feisty Buccaneers team earned the Panthers a postseason bid, while bad losses by both Dallas (21–12 to Seattle) and Detroit (26–17 to Cincinnati) ensured that those teams will watch wild-card weekend from the comfort of their own homes.
As it turns out, maybe Ezekiel Elliott’s six-game suspension
wasn’t the lone reason for the Cowboys’ offensive struggles this season. The running back returned to the field this week, and Dallas mustered only 12 points, allowed four sacks, and turned the ball over three times against a defense that was recently embarrassed by the
Rams.
The Cowboys missed left tackle Tyron Smith (who exited during the opening series after reaggravating his knee injury), and Dez Bryant had about as bad a day as an NFL receiver can have. Bryant caught half of his six targets, coughed up a fumble late in the second quarter that led directly to a Seahawks touchdown, and tipped a pass that became an interception. The Cowboys have plenty of questions to address in the offseason, and Bryant’s future role in the offense is among them.
For the Falcons, the path to a playoff berth is simple: Beat Carolina next Sunday and they’re in. The Panthers still have plenty to play for in Week 17 with an NFC South title and a home game in the wild-card round at stake if the Saints lose to Tampa Bay.
Still, this is a matchup that Atlanta can win. It’ll take place in Mercedes-Benz Stadium, the Panthers’ passing game looked erratic once again against the Bucs, and the Falcons’ paltry showing against the Saints was fueled at least in part by a pair of fluky and ill-timed turnovers.
If the Panthers
do knock off the Falcons, though, a Seahawks win over the Cardinals in Week 17 would send Seattle into the playoffs. In some ways, its showing in Dallas is the recipe for it to piece together a playoff upset. With a great game plan constructed around well-timed blitzes, the Seahawks pestered Dak Prescott and created enough turnovers to be successful despite gaining only 136 yards of offense.
An Atlanta group featuring Julio Jones and a wave of game-changing defensive playmakers is the more dangerous of the two possible NFC postseason options, but Seattle could keep the rest of the NFC up at night given the respect it has accrued — and the potential for Russell Wilson sorcery.
What could Week 17 mean for the NFC’s wild-card matchups?
As mentioned earlier, there’s a good chance that Minnesota will end up with the NFC’s no. 2 seed and Carolina will get the no. 5 seed based on the matchups and stakes in play during Week 17. Assuming that happens, there’s still plenty to be decided in the final week of the regular season, and that goes beyond the uncertainty surrounding the second wild-card spot. The
Rams host the suddenly formidable 49ers on Sunday, while the Saints take on the Bucs in Tampa. If Los Angeles loses, it could create some fascinating wild-card pairings.
If the Niners beat the
Rams, a Falcons win or Seahawks loss would mean that Atlanta would travel to the Superdome to face the Saints for the third time this season. Lucking into a rivalry clash on wild-card weekend is the sort of bonus we all deserve after enduring a brutal 2017 campaign.
The more plausible outcome, though, is the Saints facing another NFC South opponent (Carolina) as the no. 4 seed after New Orleans takes down Tampa Bay and the Rams defeat San Francisco. In that event, the Falcons would play the
Rams in the first round — unless Atlanta loses to the Panthers and Seattle travels to face the Rams three weeks after getting embarrassed by L.A. in Week 15. I, for one, am here for the intradivisional playoff intrigue.
At this point, there’s probably an argument to be made that the no. 4 seed in the NFC is more appealing than the no. 3 seed, and that mainly has to do with the divisional round. If both higher seeds in the NFC win in the first round, the no. 4 seed would travel to Philadelphia while the no. 3 would go to Minnesota.
Given the way the Eagles have played of late, a trip to take on Foles and friends doesn’t sound nearly as daunting as facing the Vikings in a venue where they’ve lost once all year.