NFC West division tiebreakers thread

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I'm sure the Rams realize that the Thursday night game against Seattle is the most important game left in their regular season. That being said, I'm sure Stafford wants a win against the Lions at home in a really big way.
 
I'm sure the Rams realize that the Thursday night game against Seattle is the most important game left in their regular season. That being said, I'm sure Stafford wants a win against the Lions at home in a really big way.
Goff might think like that, but Stafford could care less. Stafford focuses on execution, where Goff might be still wrapped up on how he can get back at McVay.

I think Stafford was more than happy to pack his bags and come to LA.
 
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Problem is if the Rams lose and Seahawks lose to the Niners, and the Niners win out, the Niners win the division. We cant win a tiebreaker over the Niners. They only have 2 NFC losses, we have 3. If we lose another game we would have 4. So we can't get a better conference record than them. And in this scenario we would have the same division record or worse if we lose to Seattle.

So in the scenario where we lose to Detroit but beat Seattle, and the Niners win out, we would win the division due to common opponents because:

Our losses would be to the Niners, Eagles, Lions and Panthers

The Niners losses would be to the Rams, Jaguars, Texans and Bucs

All three of their losses outside of us are to teams we beat, whereas only one would be to a team they beat. Even if we swap the Lions out with an upset against the Falcons, it would be the same thing.

The only way the Niners can win a tiebreaker over us if we lose a division game and they win out.

For the division, they go to common opponents before conference record which works out in our favor because they lost to AFC teams we beat.
 
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Because the Colts are likely now an easy win for both the Seahawks and Niners, a loss to Seattle would almost kill our division hopes.

Our best path to division with a loss to Seattle would be:

Win the rest of our games - finish 13-4 with a 4-2 division record.

The Seahawks win their next three, are 13-3 heading to SF.

The Niners lose to either the Bears or Colts (Bears more likely), are 11-5 heading into the last game of the regular season. The Niners hopefully need a win for seeding, or just to get in.........

And then we're all Niner fans against Seattle so that we can win the division
 
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So in the scenario where we lose to Detroit but beat Seattle, and the Niners win out, we would win the division due to common opponents because:

Our losses would be to the Niners, Eagles, Lions and Panthers

The Niners losses would be to the Rams, Jaguars, Texans and Bucs

All three of their losses outside of us are to teams we beat, whereas only one would be to a team they beat. Even if we swap the Lions out with an upset against the Falcons, it would be the same thing.

The only way the Niners can win a tiebreaker over us if we lose a division game and they win out.

For the division, they go to common opponents before conference record which works out in our favor because they lost to AFC teams we beat.
Isn't conference record first tiebreaker or is that only for Wildcard? My point was we will not have a better conference record because all of our losses are NFC losses.

EDIT: I went back to the first post and see conference record is 3rd tie breaker, so that hekps
 
Isn't conference record first tiebreaker or is that only for Wildcard? My point was we will not have a better conference record because all of our losses are NFC losses.

Yes, but all of our remaining games are NFC. Losing to the panthers really hurt though. What I'm not clear about is how 3 way ties work and that is very possible this season.
 
Weird stat.

Over the last 10 years only 30% of teams with the No 1 seed have won the SB

Over the entirety of the NFL since the inception of the Superbowl it's 53%
Wonder what the Stats is for just getting to play in the Superbowl since there are two #1 seeds, both can't win.
 
Wonder what the Stats is for just getting to play in the Superbowl since there are two #1 seeds, both can't win.
The issue is a WC team has not gotten to a SB since this new format started. So for the Rams it's likley division winner & 1 seed or you are a WC.

And I think in the last 15 yrs only GB and 1 other team got to the SB as a WC. Maybe the last Eli team.
 
I don’t feel comfortable with the #1 seed as much as I should.

Over the years I’ve felt that the Rams always play better as the underdog.

I know keeping home field from other teams like Packers is important, I just feel off about the #1 seed.

Maybe I’m just being a scared baby!

I get the concern, but having the bye is just as important as home field advantage. On any given Sunday, any team can lose so playing one less game to get to the SB is huge.

That advantage offsets everything else.

I posted this before, but the #1 seed gives you a buy, to heal injuries and get fresh, Then you play at home against the lowest remaining seed in the playoffs. Win that and you host the NFCCG. The fact that Rodgers and the packers had that 3 years in a row and didn't make the super bowl is a head scratcher.
I get all of the positives for being the #1 seed, but I get the trepidation as well.

It all comes down to playing for something in week 18. If the Rams are playing for the #1 seed, or any other seed, I get it. I want the Rams to be the #1 seed and get the bye the following week.

If the Rams are resting players in week 18, being the #1 seed essentially becomes 2bye weeks. I don’t want to see the Rams come out rusty in their first playoff game vs a team who has already played some winning playoff football.

Still, being #1 should be the goal.