Bernie: Can Rams exploit 49ers' turmoil?
• By Bernie Miklasz
http://www.stltoday.com/sports/colu...cle_76eed67e-002f-5145-a873-bf22922b7d66.html
Do the Rams have a chance to move up in the NFC West?
Apparently so.
That's because of the big changes that keep coming with the San Francisco 49ers. A roiling offseason began with the resignation/firing of successful head coach Jim Harbaugh, who didn't get along with his bosses — team owner Jed York and GM Trent Baalke.
The 49ers hired their new coach, Jim Tomsula, by promoting from within. At least from the outside Tomsula was panned as an uninspired choice — a dutiful company man who won't stand up to Baalke — but time will tell.
And now the 49ers' roster is about to get rocked by multiple retirements and free-agent losses.
It's been reported that LB Patrick Willis and defensive lineman Justin Smith plan to announce their retirements, and enduring running back Frank Gore is said to be on the way to Philadelphia as a free agent.
Willis and Smith were the undisputed leaders of the 49ers defense. The 49ers will miss them on the field and in the locker room. The relentless Gore was also a team leader. The three veterans all served as San Francisco captains in recent seasons, setting the standard for the toughness that defined the 49ers' team personality.
That's only the beginning.
The outstanding free-agent guard Mike Iupati will be coveted by multiple teams and will command a huge price on the open market. If the 49ers keep him it would be a surprise.
Wide receiver Michael Crabtree is a free agent and will likely leave. After a big 2012 he's had a couple of down seasons, but it's not as if the 49ers have a surplus of terrific wideouts.
There have been reports of the 49ers are shopping QB Colin Kaepernick ... which Baalke denies.
Also: LB NaVarro Bowman will be trying to return after missing all of last season with an injury ... WR Anquan Boldin turns 35 in October and this will likely be his final season with the 49ers ... pass rusher Aldon Smith's future is never secure because of his history of personal issues and disturbing off-field conduct... tight end Vernon Davis caught only 26 passes for an average of 9.4 yards last season and could be in decline.
If you judge it by the record, Harbaugh did a very good job of leading the 49ers' collection of volatile, colorful and wild personalities. Harbaugh led the team to a 44-19-1 regular-season record and one NFC Championship after taking over in 2011.
Rams owner Stan Kroenke hired head coach Jeff Fisher and GM Les Snead a year later, and the franchise is still trying to close the division gap with Seattle, San Francisco and Arizona.
Here are the NFC West records in the first three seasons of the Fisher-Snead regime, including the NFL ranking for winning percentage:
• Seattle, 36-12 ... .750 ... ranked tied for 2nd.
• San Francisco, 31-16-1 ... .656 ... tied for 5th.
• Arizona, 26-22 ... .542 ... ranked 12th.
• St. Louis, 20-27-1 ... .427 ... ranked 25th among 32 teams.
The Rams may finally see some daylight in the NFC West. The 49ers are in a major transition. The 2013 Seahawks won the Super Bowl and came within a yard (and one play) of winning it again this past season. But the two-time defending NFC Champions will find it increasingly difficult to retain all of their best players. The Cardinals got dramatically better (21-11) in coach Bruce Arians' first two seasons. But the Cardinals can't keep QB Carson Palmer healthy, and that puts them at risk.
So the Rams, in theory, have an opportunity to get out of last place. They've finished last in the NFC West six times over the last eight seasons.
And while the Rams' roster still has too many average or below-average players, the overall personnel has gotten better under Snead and Fisher. I'd like to think that this incremental roster improvement would continue in 2015, but I'm not sure if the Rams can successfully retool their offensive line. And obviously it's rather naive to count on QB Sam Bradford to remain healthy for 16 games.
With the 49ers struggling on offense and the Cardinals slowed by quarterback injuries, the Rams actually outscored the 'Niners and Cards in 2014. (Points on offense; this doesn't include points scored by the defense or special teams.)
Perhaps that can be interpreted as another positive sign for the Rams, but let's not get carried away. The Rams scored 289 points on offense, which was nearly 100 points under the 385-point average scored by the 12 playoff teams last season.
But the NFC West should be less imposing in 2015, and it's up to Snead and Fisher to take advantage of it. Last season the Rams disappointed by falling to their worst record (6-10) under Fisher. Not that Fisher is in any danger of losing his job, but that can't happen again.
Thanks for reading ...
— Bernie