Peter King: Football morning in America

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Florida_Ram

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ATLANTA — It should be obvious now, as the Los Angeles Rams feel the slings and arrows from around the league for gorging on the present at the expense of the future, what the identity of this franchise is.

They completed three trades in an afternoon last week, for goodness sake, two involving Pro Bowl players. It’s not about the PSLs or filling the new stadium next year or knee-jerking a response to a three-game losing streak.

It’s about the personality of the people who lead the team.

And in a larger sense it’s about a sea change in how the new wave of GMs and team architects are approaching the sport.

Last Tuesday, when GM Les Snead had completed two deals from his California office—acquiring offensive lineman Austin Corbett from Cleveland and trading cornerback Marcus Peters to Baltimore—he was working on a third.

Snead and GM Dave Caldwell of Jacksonville were close to doing a mega-trade for dissatisfied cornerback Jalen Ramsey of the Jaguars.

In a Ritz Carlton ballroom in Fort Lauderdale, during the NFL’s fall meeting, Rams owner Stan Kroenke and Rams Chief Operating Officer Kevin Demoff awaited word on the deals.

Around 4:30 p.m. ET, Snead and football VP Tony Pastoors both pinged Demoff with details of the first two trades. Demoff showed Kroenke the news. Not a bad afternoon’s work for Snead and his staff.

Not enough.

Kroenke didn’t pump a fist; it’s not his way anyway. Instead, he asked Demoff about the unhappy Jaguar.

He wondered, Is the Ramsey deal still in play?

It was, and within an hour, that was done too—Ramsey for the Rams’ first-round pick in 2020 and first and fourth-round picks in 2021, even though L.A. is buying Ramsey for only the remaining 1.5 seasons of his rookie contract.

The Rams are optimistic about signing him long-term, but have no guarantee of employing Ramsey beyond the expiration of his contract in 14 months.

Three trades in five hours. Now it was Saturday, in the bar of the team’s Buckhead hotel, the day before Rams-Falcons, and Demoff and Snead dissected what the team had done, and what it meant.

“This is who we are,” Demoff said. “This is what we do. This is our belief as an organization. Stan isn’t fearful, Les isn’t fearful, and [coach] Sean [McVay] isn’t fearful. This league is so fast-moving.

It hasn’t been this way forever for us, but now, we’re going to value the great player over the potential of a draft choice.”

The Lead: Jalen Ramsey

For a guy who’d been on the team for four days, Ramsey didn’t seem like much of a newcomer in the 37-10 rout of the pathetic Falcons.

He didn’t give the full Jalen, but it was close. He didn’t start. He came in early in dime packages only, where he could match up against Julio Jones, mostly in bump coverage in the left slot or wide left or right.

He did play in the regular scheme later, and it appeared he played six or seven snaps in the Rams’ zone coverage. In all, after two practices, he played 36 of the Rams’ 53 defensive snaps.

Ramsey was not a shutdown corner Sunday. In coverage snaps against Jones, he allowed four catches for 69 yards. He used a jarring hit on Devonta Freeman to force a fumble that the Rams should have recovered but lost in a scrum.

Ramsey also demonstrated why he’s a cornerback so many receivers love to hate.

On six different occasions, he yapped full-throated at Jones; it’s a wonder with the blizzard of flags in the league now why Ramsey didn’t get one for taunting/berating.

Ramsey’s the classic case of a guy you hate when your team plays him, but you like his results when he’s on your team.

“I talk sh– every game,” said Ramsey, matter-of-factly and unapologetically, in a short madhouse locker-room scrum after the game.

In the upset of the week, his back seemed just fine.

When this was still a game in the second quarter, in an eight-play sequence, Jones beat Ramsey twice for significant plays.

First, a quick slant from right to left for 17 yards, when Jones got inside Ramsey and sprinted toward the middle with a full stride on him.

Then, a simple go route down the right sideline. Gain of 39. Jones simply out-raced Ramsey. So Jones didn’t torch Ramsey; overall, he got the better of him, but it was a good contest.

“If I was really in my groove, like on my sh–, it would really be scary out there,” he said.

Good for Ramsey in not bragging about his game, because it was a decent performance.

That’s it. But maybe that’s to be expected after three weeks off with an injury no one in Jacksonville believed was an injury.

“I feel like I played okay,” he said. “I’ve got to get in my groove a little bit more. There’s maybe one, maybe two plays I wanted to have back or play a little bit different.”

For a game at least, all was right with the Rams. After losing three straight, this was a good week for a star-jolt, and for a soft underbelly of the schedule.

The Rams stay in Atlanta to practice this week before over-nighting to London on Thursday evening, then playing the Bengals at Wembley Stadium on Sunday. Combined Falcons/Bengals record: 1-13.

There’s enough in what the Rams are doing for a book about how modern football is changing. I don’t have time for a book, so let’s do Cliff’s Notes.

The Rams are not alone in bulking up on trades. Cleveland, Baltimore, Oakland, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh (!) are dipping their toes in the pool more than they used to, or more than their predecessors.

This could be an outlier season regarding trades, but I doubt it. With eight days to go before the trading deadline, see how times have changed in 10 years:

2009: 39 trades in the calendar year, involving 50 players. Seven traded players were Pro Bowlers at least once.

2019: 54 trades (with eight days left in the period), involving 69 players. Thirteen have been to at least one Pro Bowl.

That’s a snapshot, not a long-term study.

But it just feels like trading has picked up, and though the Rams may be at the head of the pack, they’re not alone.

One GM told me over the weekend when I relayed those trading stats: “I bet that numbers ends up at 65.”

“I’ve been thinking about it,” said Hall of Fame GM Bill Polian, “and I want to withhold final judgment, but there are a few factors. Miami’s getting rid of players.

The Rams are aggressive. And I think for players with leverage, they see this as being the NBA. I’ll go where I want to go. Ramsey, Antonio Brown—trade me, and the hell with the consequences.

But there’s also a little bit of the old [Dodgers GM] Branch Rickey in some of the newer GMs. Rickey said, ‘The only title you can win is the title you can win this year.’ “

Polian then made a fascinating point: He said he didn’t want to be a “curbstone psychologist.” But he said, “I think this generation of GMs might be a little more transactional. It used to be not many GMs thought about taking risks.

They were from a generation where their parents might have grown up in the Depression, or remembered the Depression. Life was hard enough without taking risks.

Today, the idea that you can make these decisions and change your team quickly is inculcated in this generation. I’m not sure of that, but it seems to be true.”

I love that theory. I think it is dead-on. Why wait to fix a problem when you might get fired after two years? When I told Demoff and Snead, they were fascinated.

“Bill makes a great point about our league now, and your trade data backs up the fact it’s not just us.

Bill Belichick is great at it too. When they have a hole, he doesn’t wait. He attacks. He trades. He takes chances too.”

Demoff pounced next: “The NBA is coming to the NFL. This [the Ramsey trade] is a similar case to those NBA deals.

“Prior team-building formulas, where you basically had guys for their careers, is pretty much over,” he said.

“Think of the guys who’ve moved in the past year. Khalil Mack. Marcus Peters. Jalen Ramsey. Jarvis Landry. Laremy Tunsil—”

“Odell!” Snead interjected.

“Beckham too—forgot him,” Demoff said. “But I think there’s one other important factor here.

Today, it’s easier to find ways to measure performance. There’s a rise of analytics, there’s better technology, better and more accurate data.

What we’ve found is you can find undervalued players easier than before. So I think football people are getting better at synthesizing data to find players.”

I had one more question: “All indications are that Ramsey pulled a power play to force his way out of Jacksonville.

They weren’t going to trade him until he basically just stopped playing. Do you have any fear that’ll happen here?”

“No,” Snead said. “I can honestly say I do not fear that. He’s coming to L.A., which is where players love to play. He’s got Sean, who is great at creating a culture players thrive in.”

The Rams are a destination place now. But in trading two first-rounders for Ramsey, they’ve basically gone all-in on paying him for the long term.

And already they are paying four players top-of-market deals: quarterback Jared Goff, running back Todd Gurley, wideout Brandin Cooks and defensive tackle Aaron Donald.

Peters was jettisoned to Baltimore in part because L.A. knew it didn’t want to pay him in the $15-million-a-year range long-term after this season; Baltimore may not either, but they needed a playmaking cornerback for this season.

And though Ramsey could make more than Peters, that’s coming in 2021, not 2020. Getting Ramsey now gives the Rams two seasons—and, as importantly, two postseasons—to maximize their window.

One thing worries me, even with the cap rising $10/12 million a year. When players get quite good, will the Rams, as the Ravens have done regularly, be willing to let them go to get the compensatory third/fourth-round pick?

I present the case of wide receiver Cooper Kupp. He has become Jared Goff’s favorite target. (Targets in 2019: Kupp 78, Robert Woods 58, Brandin Cooks 44.) At $1.05 million and $1.2 million through the end of 2020, Kupp is incredible value.

You can’t pay ‘em all, and Kupp could be a casualty of Ramsey’s arrival—if the Rams pay to keep him. That’s an issue for 2021, but the Rams must have angst about it now.

“The Rams way is just not sustainable,” one veteran front-office man (not a GM) told me Friday. “You cannot pay all those guys in a cap era.” Maybe. But I’d have two rejoinders, neither of which is, It’s going to be a lot of fun to watch.

One: The Rams have found some pretty good low-cost players in the process.

Two: It probably depends on the development of Jared Goff more than anything else, because no one wins everything without very good play out of the quarterback.

The Ramsey deal went over big in the locker room, as you’d figure it would. Don’t discount the importance of that.

“Players loved it,” Goff said. “Going out and seeing him at practice the other day—wow. That’s something players really like.”

“When your team is built for the now,” safety Eric Weddle told me in the locker room Sunday, “and you have a chance in the future to have two of the best players in this league to build around, Jalen and Aaron Donald, you can get role players to build around them.

In all honesty, a draft pick around 25 or 30 you’re probably going to trade anyway. When you have a chance to get one of the best players in the league for two ones, I mean, why not do it?”

The only reason is Ramsey might not be around forever.

But the Rams are comfortable with what I call The Newbie Risk/Reward Factor. Which means: When in doubt, go get the stud, and worry about everything else later.

Three little details in the trade discussions last week, down in the weeds, that I liked:

• The Rams, who’d been talking on and off to the Jags about Ramsey for a month, were worried that the Eagles might increase their offer if the defense continued to struggle.

(Adam Schefter reported Sunday that Philadelphia had offered first- and a second-round picks.)

Philly might have been wise to offer the two ones. In the last week, two offenses led by Kirk Cousins and Dak Prescott have put up 38 and 37 points on the Eagles.

• The teams in trade discussions with Jacksonville were convinced the problem for Ramsey was with Tom Coughlin and no one else.

• The Rams would have done the Peters deal even if they couldn’t get Ramsey.

The rush on Peters came because Baltimore wanted a corner to play in Seattle on Sunday, and if they hadn’t gotten Peters on Tuesday, they’d have pivoted to one of two other prospective deals. Thus the Rams’ haste in dealing Peters.
 

kurtfaulk

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there's no way the rams let kupp walk. he is just as important as donald and ramsey.

i don't know who they will ship out but kupp stays.

.
 

Classic Rams

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For those who don't like reading King (sometimes I find his around the NFL "non-Pats" stuff fascinating), here's a few more Rams-related paragraphs in the think I think lower section. All to the very bottom pasted from King's section:


e. Why the Rams aren’t particularly discouraged by Greg Zuerlein missing makeable field goals (he shtoinked a 40-yarder off the left upright Sunday in Atlanta): his 55-yard field goal late in the first quarter would have been good from 68. Maybe 70. Just an amazing leg.

3. I think the Falcons are dreadful, which you know. Totally toothless performance against the Rams at home, allowing 37 points to a team that had been struggling mightily. I don’t see how Dan Quinn lasts much longer. Arthur Blank doesn’t seem quite ready to make a change, but as he goes through this week, his emotions could change.

6. I think it’s easy to fine players, as the NFL did to the Rams’ Clay Matthews and Detroit’s Tracy Walker, for criticizing officiating. Walker called the officiating “awful.” The offensive Matthews tweet:
The storyline for the 2019 season continues to be the refs inability to make the accurate and correct calls week in and week out. Al Riveron continues to blindly side with his refs and the current status quo. Something must change! Zero accountability. …#throughthewire
— Clay Matthews III (@ClayMatthews52) October 15, 2019
Regarding Matthews: It is the storyline; more people are writing and talking about officiating than the league celebrating pro football’s 100th season. Regarding Walker: Several calls were awful. Each got fined $12,500 for telling the truth. It’s a travesty.
 

tomas

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It would be an immense mistake to not resign Kupp. Demoff-Snead can't be that stupid. Unless there's a medical separation-injury Kupp will get his contract extension.
 

LesBaker

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Demoff pounced next: “The NBA is coming to the NFL. This [the Ramsey trade] is a similar case to those NBA deals.

I hope the NFL gleans from the NBA in other ways too. Especially the leadership at the top, Silver and before him David Stern.

there's no way the rams let kupp walk. he is just as important as donald and ramsey.

i don't know who they will ship out but kupp stays.

.


My bet is it will be Cooks.
 

thirteen28

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there's no way the rams let kupp walk. he is just as important as donald and ramsey.

i don't know who they will ship out but kupp stays.

.

Agreed. There is a reason he's seen the most targets from Goff, and it's not just because he's Jared's guy. He's open. Damn near always.

My bet is it will be Cooks.

That's who I would bet on.
 

LesBaker

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Agreed. There is a reason he's seen the most targets from Goff, and it's not just because he's Jared's guy. He's open. Damn near always.

They have a great connection for sure, a high level of trust.

Kupp is a phenomenal route runner which is how he gets open. He cuts on a dime and manages to get a step on defenders because of that.

And this isn't a case of him getting the 3rd or 4th DB. He's getting the top defender.

Woods and Kupp are a top WR duo in this league. It was noted during the game yesterday that they are great blockers too.
 

Merlin

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And already they are paying four players top-of-market deals: quarterback Jared Goff, running back Todd Gurley, wideout Brandin Cooks and defensive tackle Aaron Donald.
Rams are basically hitting .500 with the big deals IMO. Goff is going to pay off, and Aaron Donald plays like he's in a contract year on every snap. They got bit with Gurley's deal, and Cooks has been a disappointment for what they paid (Patriots were right). But that said there's another thing that is important here which is the players know the Rams lock up the guys who earn it.

Gurley earned it. He might not earn what he's being paid now, which sucks, but the Rams rewarded him. Same with Cooks, who at some point will probably be dealt because there will be other teams that value what he brings as these contracts continue to rise under the new agreement.

“When your team is built for the now,” safety Eric Weddle told me in the locker room Sunday, “and you have a chance in the future to have two of the best players in this league to build around, Jalen and Aaron Donald, you can get role players to build around them.
This is how I see it. Lock up the cornerstone guys and figure it out around them. The only negative here for the Rams is that they have to try to hold onto their remaining picks for the next couple seasons to help ensure there's enough young/cheap talent coming in. That is a concern but I'll take those concerns when I have cornerstone players.
 

LARams_1963

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I agree with a lot of King's points. Go for the now, go for the jugular!
 

Ramlock

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Gurley earned it. He might not earn what he's being paid now, which sucks, but the Rams rewarded him.

every bitch post about Gurley and his contract should be answered with the above^^^

And I’m not sure it’s Gurley that’s not earning it now!
 

LARams_1963

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every bitch post about Gurley and his contract should be answered with the above^^^

And I’m not sure it’s Gurley that’s not earning it now!
It wasn't that long ago that we saw TG rushing behind that shit 2016 run blocking line. This years line looks eerily similar.
 

max

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Here’s one positive resulting from the Gurley extension.

Players know the Rams reward excellence and don’t just milk them at low cost and dump them.

That helps in dealing with players looking to get paid their worth. They know the Rams track record.

Ramsey and his agent will be more patient with Rams. If Rams tell them they’ll pay him, Rams have built that trust.
 

Mackeyser

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every bitch post about Gurley and his contract should be answered with the above^^^

And I’m not sure it’s Gurley that’s not earning it now!

Gurley's issues have MUCH, MUCH, MUCH more to do with OL scheme and the poor execution up front than anything he's doing.

Outside of Barry Sanders, who is gonna gain yards when being swarmed by 2-3 DL 4 yards behind the LOS???
 

Merlin

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Gurley's issues have MUCH, MUCH, MUCH more to do with OL scheme and the poor execution up front than anything he's doing.

Outside of Barry Sanders, who is gonna gain yards when being swarmed by 2-3 DL 4 yards behind the LOS???
I do think his issues are mainly this year's line and the way defenses bite on anything he does. But he's also been a bit out of whack IMO in his vision, where he's not always going where the blocking is. He tends to flow towards the sideline much more than breaking it up and in, and it has cost him some big plays.

There was a play early in the game where he did this, I'll put it up when the coach film comes out. IMO he needs to adjust to the lower carries, he's a guy who gets better and better as he gets into the flow of the game so this count thing they have is something he's struggling with.
 

Mackeyser

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I do think his issues are mainly this year's line and the way defenses bite on anything he does. But he's also been a bit out of whack IMO in his vision, where he's not always going where the blocking is. He tends to flow towards the sideline much more than breaking it up and in, and it has cost him some big plays.

There was a play early in the game where he did this, I'll put it up when the coach film comes out. IMO he needs to adjust to the lower carries, he's a guy who gets better and better as he gets into the flow of the game so this count thing they have is something he's struggling with.

Gurley struggling to get into the flow when he's been a bell cow since his time at Georgia is real.

I definitely agree with that.
 

XXXIVwin

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Cooks has been a disappointment for what they paid (Patriots were right).

Merlin, I enjoy your posts, not coincidentally because I tend to agree with you about 95% of the time. The above sentence (might) fall into that 5% category, though.

Correct me if I’m wrong, but— I think the Rams see Cooks as a “game changer.” Or, more accurately, as a “game plan changer.” IMHO, not only is Cooks an extremely talented player, he also fundamentally changes HOW the Rams play on offfense. I’ll never forget the video of the first time Goff hit Cooks on a long bomb in practice— McVay was going absolutely nuts on the sideline, saying something like, “THAT is why we traded for this guy!”

IMHO Cooks is far and away the best deep threat on the Rams. Kupp is an elite receiver but not a burner... same with Woods, to a certain extent. IMHO Cooks can impact a game even when he doesn’t make a catch— just the THREAT of what Cooks can do significantly expands the Rams’ scheme options.

For the above reason, I think McVay probably sees a Cooks as virtually ‘untouchable.’ I really can’t see McVay trading Cooks... he’s just too integral.

Has Cooks not performed up to his contract? Maybe. Probably.

Is he indispensable to this offense?
Maybe. Probably.

Would b glad to hear your thoughts on this, Merlin, cuz I’m sure you’ve put ten times more thought into this than I have. Cheers.
 

oldnotdead

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Guys like King know he's talking BS but doing it anyway. Giving 3 picks for a single player!!! WOW how unthinkable!!! Only thing is he doesn't say what he really knows...that all three of those picks probably wouldn't get them into the top ten in next year's draft. So getting a PROVEN elite player for less than a top ten pick is an ABSOLUTE STEAL and Peter knows that. I used to like King. But the last couple of years he's become a pot stirrer more than an advocate or analyst.

Also he hasn't bothered to look at the team's cap structure. If he had he would see that Fowler's increase to make him among the top OLBs would only be about $4M/yr increase over what he's being paid now. With Jalen it's about the same. Whitworth is not going to be re-signed and that clears over $16M in cap. That's what I've been saying all along. Whit is being paid so much that when he's off the books it more than clears enough cap to extend both Ramsey and Fowler. The other players that won't be returning clear more than enough to extend the others. Also, in 2021 when they will have several others to extend that Weddle and Mathews will likely be gone and that will clear about another $10M off the cap. That is when Jalen's extension will happen so again you can see the money will be there.

This is a lot of worrying about nothing. You don't think Snead understands capology? Of course he and Demoff know what they are doing. King is intentionally sensationalizing something that makes perfect sense.

Anyone looking at this roster can see that almost all the starting position are filled or will be filled by developmental guys already on the team (Long, Edwards, Noteboom, Rapp etc). So who are they drafting? They don't need starters now they draft for depth and perhaps future starters. You don't need 1st round picks for that.

The Rams are actually following the model of the Patriots. That's how you maintain a championship roster without high draft picks. I for one love what they are doing.