https://www.musiccitymiracles.com/2017/12/22/16807786/titans-rams-preview
Breaking Down Titans vs. Rams
What to Expect from LA on Sunday
By Tim Leighton
Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports
Reminder: Each week, I’ll go ahead and watch the five most recent games our opponent has played, in order to get a feel for their strengths/weaknesses, tendencies, and how well they’ve been playing leading up to their game against the Titans.
I’ll break my findings down into four sections: When the Titans Run, When the Titans Pass, When the Opponents Run, and When the Opponents Pass. I’ll also list 4 players (2 offense, 2 defense) from each team that I believe could swing the final outcome based on their play.
Los Angeles Rams
The Rams’ second year in LA has gone
much better than their first, thanks in large part to first-year head coach Sean McVay’s offensive approach, which has sparked the energy of the entire team. Their five most recent contests have come against quality competition—the Vikings (loss), Saints (win), Cardinals (win), Eagles (close loss), and Seahawks (dominating win)—and they sit at 10-4 on the year.
You’d be hard-pressed to find two more different teams than the 2017 Titans and Rams. The Titans’ offense has been slow, deliberate, and plenty of times, contrived, while the Rams’ has been fast, multiple, and free-wheeling. On defense, the Titans have generally bent but not broken, while the Rams have been aggressive (tied for fifth in takeaways) and somewhat boom or bust.
This is a game Mike Mularkey, Terry Robiskie, and Dick LeBeau should care
a lot about, if they truly buy in to what they “sell” to the media and fans. They are the old guard, confident their schooled approach is still the right way to go about winning football games.
If that theory holds any water, this is a game their team needs to be, at bare minimum, competitive in. If the Titans get embarrassed in Nissan Stadium, it should serve as a clear sign to ownership and GM Jon Robinson that the “new” NFL isn’t going away and they had best get on board.
When the Titans Run
Rams’ DC Wade Phillips’ defensive front design maintains some constants from week to week, but he likes to tailor his personnel usage to specific opponents. Though technically a 4-3 base defense, LA usually sets up in what could just as easily be labeled a 5-2 (or 4-3 Over, 4-3 Under, depending on interpretation) on running downs.
One of the constants is three athletic, space eating, interior down linemen (out of a rotation of about six), including two-time All-Pro DT
Aaron Donald, PFF’s top-ranked interior defender for three years running. Depending on the opponent, the rest of the defensive first level can vary quite a bit.
On the edges, Robert Quinn and
Connor Barwin, two halfway-converted DEs, often serve as de facto outside linebackers, sometimes down, sometimes standing up. The smaller, quicker
Cory Littleton also comes down on the line when brute force is less of a need.
ILB
Alec Ogletree is another constant. While he doesn’t necessarily stand out on box scores, and is only ranked 84th overall amongst LBs by PFF, to me, he “pops” on tape despite being up and down.
Mark Barron (if he plays this week) and Littleton rotate in and out next to Ogletree, depending on what Wade Phillips has dialed up.
The good news for the Titans when they handoff: the Rams have been inconsistent against the run so far this year. The bad news: our interior OL’s run blocking has probably been even more inconsistent. Individually, the Titans should win on the edges with
Taylor Lewan and
Jack Conklin, but I expect
mucho struggles for the rest of the group.
Aggressive running backs, especially, have had decent success this year creating extra space to work against LA, but I’d have a hard time portraying
DeMarco Murray or
Derrick Henry as
that. A theme you’ll notice throughout the rest of this preview: if you want to beat the Rams, you have to
beat them, straight up. It will be on the Titans’ maligned guards and center to show up in this one, accompanied by two focused running backs.
When the Titans Pass
The Rams’ secondary is athletic and aggressive, and attempts to bully opponents who aren’t ready for their style of play. Outside CB
Trumaine Johnson, slot CB Nickell Robey-Coleman, FS
Lamarcus Joyner, and rookie SS
John Johnson III form a fearless foursome, all of whom are unafraid to gamble on changing a game (11 combined INTs and FFs on the year).
However, they’ll occasionally get themselves out of position by being too predictive or reactive. One key to beating LA’s secondary is spreading the ball around to the open man (as opposed to force-feeding a primary target). The other is being willing to take risks as a quarterback;
Marcus Mariota will need to trust his receivers to come down with the ball in traffic.
Former starting outside CB Kayvon Webster, who fit in aptly with the rest of LA’s secondary, is now on IR with a ruptured Achilles tendon. His replacement has been
Troy Hill, but he is currently listed as questionable on the Rams’ injury report. Whoever gets the start, The Titans may be able to find a weak spot opposite Trumaine Johnson.
In terms of pass rushers, Wade Phillips typically oscillates between sending four and five per down. Football Outsiders has the Rams’ ranked
third in adjusted sack rate on the year (they’re actually second in total sacks, behind only Sacksonville).
Aaron Donald is a serious handful, even for double teams, and creates chaos in the pocket that the rest of LA’s rushers take advantage of.
Carson Wentz avoided the Rams’ pressure better than any of the other five quarterbacks I watched by forcefully stepping up in the pocket in order to buy himself extra split seconds.
Mariota must be decisive with his footwork, but in order for that to be an option, the Titans’ interior OL will have to
not get curb stomped. We’ll see how that goes.
No matter what Terry Robiskie thinks or says, this
is a week for heavy no-huddle usage. The Titans’ best bet on offense is going to be keeping the Rams’ aggressive secondary on its heels, and tiring out their pass rush by preventing it from rotating in fresh legs.
I’m highlighting
Corey Davis as an X-factor this week. He’s been the Titans’ primary receiver for drag routes and, along with
Eric Decker, outside hitches, two routes that have produced success against the Rams’ coverage.
When the Rams Run
Todd Gurley should be an MVP contender, if you ask me. He’s 3rd in rushing yardage, 1st in rushing TDs (and total rushing and receiving TDs), 2nd in yards per reception amongst RBs, 3rd in receiving TDs amongst RBs, and 1st in total yards from scrimmage. His career revitalization has happened in part thanks to a vastly improved OL, but he himself is showing renewed vision and purpose when toting the rock.
His primary “move” is a jump cut, so as a defense, your goal is to get him jumping
backwards, with reinforcements closing in. It’s also critical each defender remain in their run fit, as Gurley is excellent at pressing the hole, then bouncing outside once an edge defender overcommits.
When you watch the Rams’ OL have success, they remind you almost of synchronized swimmers. All five guys start moving in the same direction, with the intent to push their man as far off the ball as possible. You’ll see very little pulling or chipping; little wasted movement. This mindset matches up with their typical run calls: dives and powers. With such a “simple” approach, the only way to “win” against them is to have enough individual defenders beat their blocker and get to the ballcarrier.
Jurrell Casey will be a major factor in this matchup, but the Titans will also need
Austin Johnson,
Avery Williamson,
Wesley Woodyard, and (hopefully)
Derrick Morgan to make plays in order to contain Gurley. While, overall, I think our secondary tackles well, if he makes to their level, something bad is happening and it’s likely to get worse.
I should note that former first-round WR
Tavon Austin actually functions as a gadget RB now, at times lining up in place of Gurley. He’ll likely get around five touches on Sunday. It will be important for the Titans defense to get to the edge quickly, but prevent full-field cutback opportunities.
When the Rams Pass
To spare us all fits of jealousy, I’m not going to belabor the narrative of Sean McVay’s offense completely transforming
Jared Goff. Goff has arm talent, no doubt, but the Rams’ offense is ultimately succeeding because of Gurley, and a reliable bevy of receivers who give Goff a chance on almost every throw.
Each of their receivers has a highly defined role within the offense. Former Bills’ first-round pick, Sammy Watkins, is the “X” and gets targeted on ten-yard outs as well as intermediate-to-deep fly and post routes. Rookie Cooper Kupp attacks the intermediate middle with extended crossers, and is also given plenty of chances to catch and run in space on shallow, quick outs and ins; he’s been stellar.
Robert Woods, the speed demon of the group, runs quick slants designed to get him the ball in stride and is a weapon on WR screens. Todd Gurley serves as a dual-threat, well-used on HB screens and a variety of LB-pressuring routes out of the backfield. They are all capable of doing damage with the ball in their hands if the defense doesn’t tackle well or take proper pursuit angles.
Especially given
LeShaun Sims’ and Logan Ryan’s injuries, I’m not going to even pretend the Titans’ secondary and coverage linebackers have a tangible chance at slowing down the Rams’ passing attack. The only way any team has consistently slowed it down has been by putting pressure on Goff, consequently forcing sacks, off-target throws, and throwaways.
Football Outsiders ranks the Rams’ OL
9th in pass blocking, so it’s not a cakewalk getting “home”, but from what I’ve watched, Goff is able to be flustered and doesn’t always show great awareness of his surroundings in the pocket. With the Titans’ season somewhat on the line, I say we let em’ have it, Dick!
8 Players to Watch
Titans
WR Corey Davis, WR Eric Decker, DL Jurrell Casey, S
Kevin Byard
Rams
RB Todd Gurley, WR Robert Woods, DT Aaron Donald, S Lamarcus Joyner
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Hate to be negative but
I see no way we win this game. It would take a Christmas miracle
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I see it the other way.
The Rams are coming off a big division game and might sleep on the Titans. It’s a long road trip to make the week after having to go up to Seattle.
Also, Mularkey reminds me a lot of Jeff Fisher and Fisher always found a way to win when his back was against the wall.
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This is definitely a game where the defensive front needs to take care of business
Casey and Karl Klug saacks all day long
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Throw in Austin Johnson
He has to show up and get interior pressure
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There is basically no reason we should win this game
Which is more of a reason we could be in for a surprise, I want to see us get some damn turn overs just a couple INT’s with a chance to return them.
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I have little hope for this one...
but I’ll still be rooting for them to win.
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Guess we are going to see how stubborn this coaching staff really is on Sunday
Up until recently, Mularkey & Co. hadn’t lost virtually everyone’s belief that they could take this team to the next level. But now, even the players are voicing their displeasure & calling for Marcus to take over play calling/no huddle style of play.
If Mularkey & Co. truly want to keep coaching the Titans, they should show the ability to adapt & listen to their players. Play to the strengths of the personnel and let Marcus lead us to the playoffs. Unleash them.
Another reason why I believe this is a good idea is when Marcus was running the no huddle against the 49ers, he was able to control the clock for a very long time keeping Garoppolo off the field for an extended period of time. If they are able to keep the Rams offense on the sideline the same way, we can limit how effective Gurley & the passing attack can be while the defense wears down.
Sunday will answer the question of how Mularkey handles more scrutiny than he has ever received as the Titans coach. IMO, if he comes out with the same old plan he’s had up to this point, it shows he is unwilling to change & is signing his death warrant. If he wants to stay, or have a chance to stay, he he needs to take a step back and let our franchise QB do work!!!
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Robert Woods will score at least one 90-yard+ touchdown
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Yeah I wonder how much success we will have running up the middle with our guards. But I’d love to see more no huddle, more Henry and more play calling in the hands of MM.
It’s odd because the Rams almost seems like a team like we were last year- centered around a dynamic running back. Hopefully our D will be familiar with containing that.