The long awaited ..... Softli Mock!

[-X-]

By Tony Softli
Published: April 01, 2013 @ 4:22pm
<a class="postlink" href="http://tonysoftli.com/?nid=28&sid=15762913" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;">http://tonysoftli.com/?nid=28&sid=15762913</a>


The first step in the postseason talent evaluation process begins as soon as the teams are eliminated from playoff contention. After the postseason bowl games, combine and spring workouts are complete, all NFL clubs are allowed to host 30 draft prospects. While teams may not use the full allotment of 30 visits, this process helps them confirm any issues they may have with players’ mental capacity and provides updates on the injury/rehab front. It also offers a venue in which to showcase knowledge of X’s and O’s and the draft prospects’ ability to socialize with other players in another environment.

Teams are now focusing on private workouts and draft meetings with coaches and scouts, while front-office executives and head coaches make the final adjustments to their draft boards. With less than 30 days until the biggest offseason event, the NFL draft, the sense of urgency is high as all 32 teams work to figure out or anticipate which situational decisions they will be faced with while on the clock. It is all centered on team needs, hinging on who teams lost in free agency, who they signed and a compete roster analysis for each team. Within these meetings, scenarios are discussed over and over – which player will be available and, if that player is gone, what is our next move?

Most teams will sit and pick the best available player, staying true to their board. Others, however, will draft for need. Studying a team’s trade history is paramount, and it is impossible to figure out who will bail out (try to trade back) and who will bundle a few picks, i.e., jump up and draft their desired prospect.

Knowing a team’s philosophy is extremely important. Every draft is like a snowflake; there is not one the same, and they all have surprises. Prepare for countless twists and turns, highs and lows. Expecting the unexpected is generally the motto to which to adhere at this time of year.

The mock draft below is based teams’ cap causalities, needs, free agents signed (not including current players re-signed) and lost, and a prediction on what the teams will draft after a roster analysis.



1. Kansas City Luke Joeckl OT Texas A&M

Cap Casualties: TE Kevin Boss, WR Steve Breaston, QB Matt Cassel, OT Eric Winston

FA Lost: DT Glen Dorsey, DE Ropati Pitoitua

FA Signed: CB Dunta Robinson, TE Anthony Fasano, CB Sean Smith, WR Donnie Avery, DE Mike Devito, QB Chase Daniel, OG Geoff Schwartz

Trade: QB Alex Smith

Team Needs: DT, ILB, WR, CB, DE, RB

Prospect Options: DT Star Lotulelei, DT Sharrif Floyd, OT Eric Fisher



2. Jacksonville Dion Jordan OLB Oregon

Cap Casualties: DB Dawan Landry, WR Laurent Robinson, CB Aaron Ross, Guy Whimper

FA Lost: CB Derek Cox

FA Signed: OLB Geno Hayes, CB Alan Ball, DT Roy Miller, RB Justin Forsett

Team Needs: QB, DE, OLB, OT, RB, OG, WR, DC

Prospect Options: DT Sharrif Floyd, DT Star Lotulelei, QB Geno Smith



3. Oakland Sharrif Floyd DT Florida

Cap Casualties: DT Tommy Kelly, WR Darrius Heyward-Bey, DC Michael Huff, DE Dave Tollefson

FA Lost: DT Desmond Bryant, RB Mike Goodson, DB Mike Mitchell, OLB Phillip Wheeler, TE Brandon Myers, PT Shane Lechler, DE Matt Shaughnessy

FA Signed: NT Pat Sims, DE Jason Hunter, OLB Nick Roach, MLB Kaluka Maiava, DT Vance Walker

Team Needs: DT, RB, OLB, CB, QB, DE, OT

Prospect Options: QB Geno Smith, OT Eric Fisher, DT Star Lotulelei



4. Philadelphia Eric Fisher OT Central Michigan

Cap Casualties: CB Nnamdi Asomugha, OT Demetress Bell, DT Cullen Jenkins,

FA Lost: CB Dom Rodgers-Cromartie, OT King Dunlap

FA Signed: NT Isaac Sopoaga, OLB Connor Barwin, CB Bradley Fletcher, DB Patrick Chung, DB Kenny Phillips, CB Cary Williams, TE James Casey, WR Arrelious Benn, ILB Jason Phillips, PT Donnie Jones

Team Needs: QB, NT, OLB, OT, DE, CB, DB, WR

Prospect Options: CB Dee Milliner, QB Geno Smith, DT Star Lotulelei



5. Detroit Ezekiel Ansah DE BYU

Cap Casualties: OG Stephen Peterman, DE Kyle Vanden Bosch

FA Lost: DE Cliff Avril, OT Gosder Cherilus, CB Florence Drayton, DT Sammie Hill

FA Signed: DB Glover Quin, DE Jason Jones, RB Reggie Bush

Team Needs: DE, CB, OC, OLB, DB, OG, WR, RB

Prospect Options: CB Dee Milliner



6. Cleveland Dee Milliner CB Alabama

Cap Casualties: DE Frostee Rucker

FA Lost: PK Phil Dawson, QB Josh Johnson, TE Ben Watson, OLB Kaluka Maiava

FA Signed: CB Chris Owens, OLB Quentin Groves, OLB Paul Kruger, DE Desmond Bryant, QB Jason Campbell, TE Kellen Davis, TE Gary Barnidge

Team Needs: CB, TE, RB, DE, WR

Prospect Options: CB Xavier Rhodes



7. Arizona Matt Barkley QB Southern Cal

Cap Casualties: ILB Stewart Bradley, WR Early Doucet, CB William Gay, QB Kevin Kolb

FA Lost: DB Adrian Wilson, CB Greg Toler, OC Rich Ohrnberger, DB Quentin Glover, Rich Ohrnberger

FA Signed: QB Drew Stanton, RB Rashard Mendenhall, Matt Shaughnessy, DT Frostee Rucker, ILB Jasper Brinkley, ILB Lorenzo Alexander, DB Yeremiah Bell, CB Antoine Cason, CB Jerraud Powers

Team Needs: QB, OT, RB, OLB, ILB, OG

Prospect Options: QB Geno Smith, OT Lane Johnson, OG Chance Warmack



8. Buffalo Geno Smith QB West Virginia

Cap Casualties: OLB Nick Barnett, DC Terrence McGee, QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, DB George Wilson

FA Lost: OG Andy Levitre, OG Chad Rinehart

FA Signed: OLB Manny Lawson, QB Kevin Kolb

Team Needs: QB, DB, WR, DE

Prospect Options: CB Xaviar Rhodes



9. New York Jets Jarvis Jones OLB Georgia

Cap Casualties: DE Calvin Pace, NT Sione Pouha, ILB Bart Scott, DB Eric Smith, OT Jason Smith

FA Lost: CB Yeremiah Bell, DT Mike Devito, RB Shonn Greene, TE Dustin Keller, DB LaRon Landry

FA Signed: NT Antonio Garay, OLB Antwan Barnes, RB Mike Goodson, OG Willie Colon

Team Needs: ILB, QB, DB, OLB, RB, OT, WR, OG, DT

Prospect Options: OLB Barkevious Mingo, DT Star Loutulelei



10. Tennessee Chance Warmack OG Alabama

Cap Casualties: DB Jordan Babineaux, QB Matt Hasselbeck

FA Lost: TE Jared Cook

FA Signed: DB Bernard Pollard, DB George Wilson, MLB Moise Fokou, DE Ropati Pitoitua, DT Sammie Hill, RB Shonn Greene, TE Delanie Walker, OC/OG Robert Turner, OG Andy Levitre

Team Needs: OG, OC, CB, DE, RB

Prospect Options: OG Jonathan Cooper, DT Sheldon Richardson, CB Xavier Rhodes



11. San Diego Lane Johnson OT Oklahoma

Cap Casualties: DB Atari Bigby, DE Antonio Garay, Randy McMicheal, ILB Takeo Spikes,

FA Lost: OLB Antwan Barnes, CB Antoine Cason, NT Aubrayo Franklin, OG Louis Vasquez

FA Signed: OG Rich Ohrnberger, Chad Rinehart, OT King Dunlap, TE John Phillips, RB Danny Woodhead, CB Derek Cox

Team Needs: OT, OG, CB, ILB, OLB, WR, QB, RB

Prospect Options: OG Jonathan Cooper



12. Miami Xavier Rhodes CB Florida State

Cap Casualties: OLB Kevin Burnett, OLB Karlos Dansby

FA Lost: RB Reggie Bush, TE Anthony Fasano, OT Jake Long, CB Sean Smith

FA Signed: TE Dustin Keller, WR Mike Wallace, WR Brandon Gibson, ILB Dannell Ellerbe, OLB Phillip Wheeler, CB Brent Grimes

Team Needs: OT, RB, DT, CB , TE, OG

Prospect Options: OG Jonathan Cooper, RB Eddie Lacy



13. Tampa Bay Star Loutulelei DT Utah

Cap Casualties: OLB Quincy Black

FA Lost: DE Michael Bennett, CB EJ Biggers, DT Roy Miller, WR Arrelious Benn, OT Jeremy Trueblood

FA Signed: WR Kevin Ogletree, OLB Jonathan Casillas, DB Dashon Goldson

Team Needs: CB, DE, DT, TE, QB, OLB

Prospect Options: DE Bjoern Werner, QB Ryan Nassib, TE Tyler Eifert



14. Carolina Sheldon Richardson DT Missouri

Cap Casualties: OLB James Anderson, NT Ron Edwards, CB Chris Gamble

FA Lost: TE Gary Barnidge, WR Louis Murphy, MLB Jason Phillips

FA Signed: WR/RS Ted Ginn, CB DJ Moore, DB Mike Mitchell, CB Drayton Florence, MLB Chase Blackburn

Team Needs: DT, RT, WR, OG, OLB, PT

Prospect Options: OT DJ Fluker, DT Sylvester Williams, WR Cordarelle Patterson



15. New Orleans Barkvious Mingo OLB LSU

Cap Casualties: TE David Thomas

FA Lost: OT Jermon Bushrod, OLB Jonathan Casillas, QB Chase Daniel, DE Turk McBride

FA Signed: CB Keenan Lewis, TE Ben Watson

Team Needs: OT, WR, OLB, NT, ILB, DB, WR

Prospect Options: DB Kenny Vaccaro, Cordarelle Patterson, WR Tavon Austin



[hil]16. St. Louis Tavon Austin WR West Virginia[/hil]

Cap Casualties: OT Wayne Hunter, DB Quintin Mikell, TE Matthew Mulligan

FA Lost: RB Steven Jackson, WR Danny Amendola, OG Robert Turner, DB Craig Dahl, CB Bradley Fletcher, WR Brandon Gibson

FA Signed: TE Jared Cook, OT Jake Long

Team Needs: DB, WR, OLB, OG, OT, DT

Prospect Options: OG Jonathan Cooper, Cordarelle Patterson, DB Kenny Vaccaro, DB Matt Elam



17. Pittsburgh Cordarelle Patterson WR Tennessee

Cap Casualties: OG Willie Colon, OLB James Harrison

FA Lost: CB Keenan Lewis, WR Mike Wallace, RB Rashard Mendenhall, DB Ryan Mundy

FA Signed: CB William Gay, TE Matt Spaeth, QB Bruce Gradkowski

Team Needs: OLB, TE, WR , DB, DE, OT

Prospect Options: DB Matt Elam, OLB Alec Ogletree, DB Kenny Vaccaro, WR Justin Hunter



18. Dallas Jonathan Cooper OG North Carolina

Cap Casualties: OLB Dan Connor, DE Marcus Spears

FA Lost: WR Kevin Ogletree, TE John Phillips

FA Signed: OLB Justin Durant

Team Needs: DB, DE, OG, DT, OLB, OT

Prospect Options: DE Bjoern Werner, OLB



19. New York Giants Bjoern Werner DE Florida State

Cap Casualties: OLB Michael Boley, RB Ahmad Bradshaw, DT Chris Canty

FA Lost: TE Martellus Bennett, DE Osi Umenyiora

FA Signed: PK Josh Brown, CB Aaron Ross, DB Ryan Mundy, MLB Dan Connor, DT Cullen Jenkins, TE Brandon Myers, WR Louis Murphy

Team Needs: DE, TE, RB, LB, OT, OG

Prospect Options: OLB Alec Ogletree, TE Tyler Eifert, DE Datone Jones



20. Chicago Tyler Eifert TE Notre Dame

Cap Casualties: TE Kellen Davis, TE Matt Spaeth

FA Lost: QB Jason Campbell, OLB Geno Hayes, CB DJ Moore, OLB Nick Roach

FA Signed: DB Tom Zbikowski, MLB DJ Williams, OLB James Anderson, DE Turk McBride, TE Martellus Bennett, OT Jermon Bushrod

Team Needs: OT, OG, DT, TE

Prospect Options: OLB Alec Ogletree, MLB Manti Te’o, OLB Arthur Brown



21. Cincinnati Kenny Vaccaro DB Texas

Cap Casualties: 0

FA Lost: PK Josh Brown, OLB Manny Lawson, MLB Dan Skuta, QB Bruce Gradkowski

FA Signed: QB Josh Johnson

Team Needs: DB, WR, DE, OC, CB, OLB, OT, RB

Prospect Options: WR Justin Hunter, DB Matt Elam, OT DJ Fluker



[hil]22. St. Louis from Washington Matt Elam DB Florida[/hil]

Cap Casualties: OT Wayne Hunter, DB Quintin Mikell, TE Matthew Mulligan

FA Lost: RB Steven Jackson, WR Danny Amendola, OG Robert Turner, DB Craig Dahl, CB Bradley Fletcher, WR Brandon Gibson

FA Signed: TE Jared Cook, OT Jake Long

Team Needs: DB, WR, OLB, OG, DT

Prospect Options: OT DJ Fluker, OLB Alec Ogeltree



23. Minnesota Keenan Allen WR California

Cap Casualties: WR Michael Jenkins, CB Antoine Winfield

FA Lost: MLB Jasper Brinkley, WR/RS Percy Harvin, OG Geoff Schwartz

FA Signed: QB Matt Cassel, WR Greg Jennings

Team Needs: WR, OLB, CB, DB, DT, OT, TE, MLB

Prospect Options: OLB Alec Ogeltree, MLB Manti Te’o, CB Desmond Trufant, CB Jonathan Banks



24. Indianapolis Datone Jones DE UCLA

Cap Casualties: DB Tom Zbikowski

FA Lost: WR Donnie Avery, ILB Moise Fokou, Jerraud Powers, QB Drew Stanton

FA Signed: CB Greg Toler, DB LaRon Landry, DT Ricky Jean-Francois, NT Aubrayo Franklin, OLB Erik Walden, OLB Lawrence Sidbury, QB Matt Hasselback, OT Gosder Cherilus, OG Donald Thomas

Team Needs: OT, OG, CB, WR

Prospect Options: OT Menelik Watson, OT DJ Fluker, WR Robert Woods



25. Minnesota from Seattle Sylvester Williams DT North Carolina

Cap Casualties: WR Michael Jenkins, CB Antoine Winfield

FA Lost: MLB Jasper Brinkley, WR/RS Percy Harvin, OG Geoff Schwartz

FA Signed: QB Matt Cassel, WR Greg Jennings

Team Needs: TE, DT, MLB, RB, OLB, DB, OT

Prospect Options: OLB Arthur Brown, MLB Manti Te’o



26. Green Bay Eddie Lacy RB Alabama

Cap Casualties: DB Charles Woodson

FA Lost: WR Greg Jennings, OLB Erik Walden

FA Signed: 0

Team Needs: RB, OC, OLB, OT, DE, DT, DB

Prospect Options: OC Barrett Jones, OLB Alec Ogeltree, OLB Arthur Brown, OT Menelik Watson



27. Houston Justin Hunter WR Tennessee

Cap Casualties: WR Kevin Walter

FA Lost: CB Alan Ball, OLB Connor Barwin, RB Justin Forsett, PT Donnie Jones, MTE/FB James Casey

FA Signed: PT Shane Lechler, DB Ed Reed

Team Needs: WR, NT, ILB, DB, OT, OG, OLB

Prospect Options: DT Jonathan Hankins, WR Robert Woods, WR DeAndre Hopkins



28. Denver Jonathan Franklin RB UCLA

Cap Casualties: DE Elvis Dumervil, OLB DJ Williams

FA Lost: DE Jason Hunter

FA Signed: CB Dom Rodgers-Cromartie, OLB Stewart Bradley, NT Terrance Knighton, WR Wes Welker, OG Louis Vasquez

Team Needs: RB, ILB, DB, OT, OG

Prospect Options: CB Desmond Trufant, MLB Manti Te’o



29. New England Robert Woods WR USC

Cap Casualties: FB Spencer Larsen, WR Brandon Lloyd

FA Lost: WR Wes Welker, RB Danny Woodhead, DB Patrick Chung, OG Donald Thomas

FA Signed: DB Adrian Wilson, RB/RS Leon Washington, OT Will Svitek, WR Danny Amendola

Team Needs: WR, CB, DT, DE, ILB, OLB, QB

Prospect Options: QB Ryan Nassib, CB Jonathan Banks, DT/NT Kawan Short



30. Atlanta Desmond Trufant CB Washington

Cap Casualties: DE John Abraham, CB Dunta Robinson, RB Michael Turner

FA Lost: DE Lawrence Sidbury, OT Will Svitek, CB Chris Owens, DT Vance Walker, CB Brent Grimes

FA Signed: RB Steven Jackson, DE Osi Umenyiora

Team Needs: CB, TE, OLB, DT, OG

Prospect Options: CB Jonathan Banks, TE Zach Ertz, OT Menelik Watson



31. San Francisco Vance McDonald TE Rice

Cap Casualties: PK David Akers

FA Lost: WR/RS Ted Ginn, DT Ricky Jean-Francois, DB Deshon Goldson, NT Issac Sapoaga

FA Signed: PK Phil Dawson, DB Craig Dahl, ILB Dan Skuta, DT Glenn Dorsey, WR Anquan Boldin

Team Needs: NT, DB, DE, OLB

Prospect Options: DT Jonathan Hankins, DB Eric Reid, CB Jonathan Banks, TE Zach Ertz



32. Baltimore Manti Te’o MLB Notre Dame

Cap Casualties: DB Bernard Pollard, OG Bobbie Williams

FA Lost: OLB Paul Kruger, WR Anquan Boldin, DB Ed Reed, ILB Dannell Ellerbe, DC Cary Williams

FA Signed: CB Michael Huff, OLB Elvis Dumervil, DT Chris Canty, DE Marcus Spears

Team Needs: LB, WR, DB, DE, CB

Prospect Options: ILB Kevin Minter, CB Jonathan Banks, WR DeAndre Hopkins



Position Key: QB = Quarterback, RB = Running Back, FB = Fullback, TE = Tight End, MTE = Move Tight End, WR = Wide Receiver, OC = Center, OG = Guard, OT = Offensive Tackle, CB = Corner Back, DB = Safeties, OLB = Outside Linebacker, ILB = Inside Linebacker, MLB = Middle Linebacker, DT = Defensive Tackle, DE = Defensive End, DPR = Designated Pass Rusher, PT = Punter, PK = Place Kicker, SNP = Snapper, RS = Return Specialist, ATH = Athlete

 

[DR RAM]

I'd be OK with this draft. I'd rather have an outside guy in this scenario, especially since we signed Cook to a big deal. Elam is talented, but there is better value later on.

 

[-X-]

I'd be OK with this draft. I'd rather have an outside guy in this scenario, especially since we signed Cook to a big deal. Elam is talented, but there is better value later on.

You dare question the Great and Powerful T-Soft?

 

[libertadrocks]

I see this as a very realistic draft. Every pick, except maybe SF's, makes sense to me. Softli's 2 for 2 today in my book. Good radio segment and a good mock.

 

[DR RAM]

I'd be OK with this draft. I'd rather have an outside guy in this scenario, especially since we signed Cook to a big deal. Elam is talented, but there is better value later on.

You dare question the Great and Powerful T-Soft?

Hahaha. I wouldn't hate the great Tony for this draft. I'd just do it slightly different.

 

[Stranger]

If we get Austin I will Pee myself in excitement

 

[A55VA6]

I have a strong feeling Rams are going to draft Eddie Lacy at 22. Idk why, but I feel it.

 

[Barrison]

I have a strong feeling Rams are going to draft Eddie Lacy at 22. Idk why, but I feel it.

Talk about a new offense if what you say happens, austin and lacy plus all our 2nd year guys would be fun to watch I have to admit. Lots of potential!

 

[duckhunter]

Softli put some effort into this mock and, with each team's FA transactions documented for us, it's actual very good reference material. That's high praise in my book.

I'm a bit surprised that he put Austin at 16 since I thought he was anti-Austin that high. But I recognize the dilemma after 15 there are few elite special guys. There are a bunch of solid players and a bunch of high potential athletes making the 2nd and 3rd rounds where the value and strength of the draft are. A WR or FS drafted in the 2nd or 3rd could be a much better player than someone drafted in the 1st. There's not a lot separating the WR and FS classes at the top in my opinion.

If one of the elite DTs or Olinemen fall into our lap at 16, I'm all for pulling the trigger on him.

 

[nighttrain]

Softli put some effort into this mock and, with each team's FA transactions documented for us, it's actual very good reference material. That's high praise in my book.

I'm a bit surprised that he put Austin at 16 since I thought he was anti-Austin that high. But I recognize the dilemma after 15 there are few elite special guys. There are a bunch of solid players and a bunch of high potential athletes making the 2nd and 3rd rounds where the value and strength of the draft are. A WR or FS drafted in the 2nd or 3rd could be a much better player than someone drafted in the 1st. There's not a lot separating the WR and FS classes at the top in my opinion.

If one of the elite DTs or Olinemen fall into our lap at 16, I'm all for pulling the trigger on him.

Sam needs more weapons, Snead said so and will make it happen
train

 

[duckhunter]

Softli put some effort into this mock and, with each team's FA transactions documented for us, it's actual very good reference material. That's high praise in my book.

I'm a bit surprised that he put Austin at 16 since I thought he was anti-Austin that high. But I recognize the dilemma after 15 there are few elite special guys. There are a bunch of solid players and a bunch of high potential athletes making the 2nd and 3rd rounds where the value and strength of the draft are. A WR or FS drafted in the 2nd or 3rd could be a much better player than someone drafted in the 1st. There's not a lot separating the WR and FS classes at the top in my opinion.

If one of the elite DTs or Olinemen fall into our lap at 16, I'm all for pulling the trigger on him.

Sam needs more weapons, Snead said so and will make it happen
train

They only have 3 WRs on the roster from last year so it's fairly obvious that they will add 1 or 2 WRs prior to preseason depending on your viewpoint of Cook's classification. Snead has also said that he has a big flanker WR, in fact 2, but people ignore that and tout flankers continuously.

My point was Sofli has been very vocal against Austin and very high on Hunter and I believe he's mentioned Patterson, so you can say he's had a change of heart in the 'type' of weapons.

I thought someone else might have observed that. Someone who listens to him often could fill in the blanks if he's said such. Maybe a little birdie whispered something in his ear?

 

[DR RAM]

Softli put some effort into this mock and, with each team's FA transactions documented for us, it's actual very good reference material. That's high praise in my book.

I'm a bit surprised that he put Austin at 16 since I thought he was anti-Austin that high. But I recognize the dilemma after 15 there are few elite special guys. There are a bunch of solid players and a bunch of high potential athletes making the 2nd and 3rd rounds where the value and strength of the draft are. A WR or FS drafted in the 2nd or 3rd could be a much better player than someone drafted in the 1st. There's not a lot separating the WR and FS classes at the top in my opinion.

If one of the elite DTs or Olinemen fall into our lap at 16, I'm all for pulling the trigger on him.

Sam needs more weapons, Snead said so and will make it happen
train

They only have 3 WRs on the roster from last year so it's fairly obvious that they will add 1 or 2 WRs prior to preseason depending on your viewpoint of Cook's classification. Snead has also said that he has a big flanker WR, in fact 2, but people ignore that and tout flankers continuously.

My point was Sofli has been very vocal against Austin and very high on Hunter and I believe he's mentioned Patterson, so you can say he's had a change of heart in the 'type' of weapons.

I thought someone else might have observed that. Someone who listens to him often could fill in the blanks if he's said such. Maybe a little birdie whispered something in his ear?

Or maybe he's drafting who he thinks the Rams and other teams might draft, and not who he would draft. That is always the dilemma for me when I do a mock.

 

[CGI_Ram]

I'd take that draft.

But...

Softli has a lot of WR going in the first round. Do you guys see that many going top 32? I don't.

 

[Rabid Ram]

I'd take that draft.

But...

Softli has a lot of WR going in the first round. Do you guys see that many going top 32? I don't.

With everything fully transitioning to a passing league i could see it happening