Why didn't Kurt Warner HOFer not go 1st or second day (or anywhere)
Because Warner coming out of college wasn't the same QB that he was in 1999. It took him 5 years to reach that level. And Warner was one in a million. You want to wait for the next Warner? Have at it. I'm not pinning my hopes on finding the next Warner...because QBs like Kurt Warner are extremely rare. We hit the jackpot three times in 4 years with Warner, Green, and Bulger. The amount of luck we had to grab those three guys without having to use any picks is incredible.
That type of miracle is not going to happen again under Jeff Fisher.
I am not waiting on a miracle. Case Keenum isn't the next Kurt Warner. What did Kurt Warner do when he finally got to start? He certainly didn't look like a mediocre backup in 1999.
I agree that Foles isn't the answer... I'd like to think it's his surrounding cast, but his mechanics are bad.
I also don't think Keenum is anything more than a good back-up. He's bounced around for a reason (yes, there are exceptions but I just don't think he's one of them).
Mannion? Who knows... clearly not enough to go on.. certainly not as a starter in the NFL.
Daniel
Started 2 games in the NFL.
Completed 50 passes on 77 attempts for 464 yards
Career rating of 80.2
Keenum
Started 13 games
222/395 for 2,689 (12 yards per completion)
Career rating of 79.6 - pretty close to Daniel.
Isn't Daniel also an unknown?
Daniel is an unknown. That's the difference. Which is why I took the time to watch him and evaluate his game. Keenum isn't an unknown. Have seen plenty of him. He's not a starting caliber QB.
Suit yourself. I'll give him more time on this team and in this offense though. I haven't seen enough yet. And his stats against Bradford's first 13 starts? I can't look them up right now because I'm in the field and on my phone.
Had this same song and dance with people last year with Austin Davis. And then the Rams cut him. And then the Browns gave him a shot and quickly benched him. A 4th year UDFA isn't going to get 3 years of starting to prove he isn't a quality QB.
Bradford's first 13 starts: 60% completion %, 6.1 YPA, 17 TDs to 12 Ints, and a QB Rating between 79 and 80. Bradford was a rookie #1 overall pick that didn't have Andre Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins to throw to in the majority of his starts.
And Bradford looked FAAAAAAAAR better than Keenum.
You can give him more time he doesn't deserve. But I'm not wasting more time on guys like Keith Null, Austin Davis, Case Keenum, etc. You don't get years and years of time and patience when you're a QB drafted in the late rounds or signed in UDFA. You shit or you get off the toilet. Is it fair? Nope. But the truth is that 13 games is more than enough time to see that Keenum isn't the guy.
Is there a chance I'm wrong? Sure. You have former late round picks/UDFAs like Ryan Fitzpatrick that took years but did develop into a starting QB. But they're few and far between. We don't have years to waste on a low percentage proposition.