One Game At a Time, but...

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BriansRams

BriansRams

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Check out this graph showing % of chance to make the playoffs since 1995 till now.

IF we can beat the fairy-niners tomorrow, then according to 23 years of statistics, we're 100% in the playoffs.

I know, I know, one game at a time.
I know, I know, any given Sunday and "anything can happen" but ... it's cool to look at that graphic and see where we currently are!

:)

Look where the Seahawks currently are at 3-3.


Playoff Chances.jpg
 
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BriansRams said:
Check out this graph showing % of chance to make the playoffs since 1995 till now.

IF we can beat the fairy-niners tomorrow, then according to 23 years of statistics, we're 100% in the playoffs.

I know, I know, one game at a time.
I know, I know, any given Sunday and "anything can happen" but ... it's cool to look at that graphic and see where we currently are!

:)

Look where the Seahawks currently are at 3-3.


View attachment 26741
Click to expand...
Where did you get that? I feel like that chart is sketchy at best.

According to the chart, no team has ever been 11-4 and lost the last game. 11-4 teams have 100% made the playoffs, but 11-5 teams have only been 98% of the time.

So every 11-4 team has won their last game and everyone who has ever been 11-5 was 10-5 the week before. Seems weird to me.
 
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1maGoh said:
Where did you get that? I feel like that chart is sketchy at best.

According to the chart, no team has ever been 11-4 and lost the last game. 11-4 teams have 100% made the playoffs, but 11-5 teams have only been 98% of the time.

So every 11-4 team has won their last game and everyone who has ever been 11-5 was 10-5 the week before. Seems weird to me.
Click to expand...
I think the chart works like this. Any team that's been 11-4 has made the playoffs with a record of 12-4 or 11-5 at the end.

But, then you have a team that was 10-5, that wins game 16 and ends at 11-5, but they were never 11-4. Like an end around on this chart to get to 11-5.

If you look at 10-5, it's not 100%. It's just shy at 96%.

So this chart shows that 2% of the time, an 11-5 team didn't make the playoffs. I think the 11-5 Pats in 2008 or so were the one team. This reduces the 11-5 percentage to 98%.

So, instead of reading the chart right to left, you have to kind of zig zag at times. Again, picture a team at 10-5 that wins their last game to reach 11-5, but doesn't win the division and loses out on the wild card. This only happened once too.
 
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Yeah, what he said. I think the chart is correct even though it can seem weird.
I think the strongest and easiest to understand part for me is the unbeaten column. It's interesting what percentage is as a team goes from 5-0, 6-0, 7-0, 8-0 etc.

SF Fairy-Niners are going down.
 
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Karate61 said:
I think the chart works like this. Any team that's been 11-4 has made the playoffs with a record of 12-4 or 11-5 at the end.

But, then you have a team that was 10-5, that wins game 16 and ends at 11-5, but they were never 11-4. Like an end around on this chart to get to 11-5.

If you look at 10-5, it's not 100%. It's just shy at 96%.

So this chart shows that 2% of the time, an 11-5 team didn't make the playoffs. I think the 11-5 Pats in 2008 or so were the one team. This reduces the 11-5 percentage to 98%.

So, instead of reading the chart right to left, you have to kind of zig zag at times. Again, picture a team at 10-5 that wins their last game to reach 11-5, but doesn't win the division and loses out on the wild card. This only happened once too.
Click to expand...
*drinks beer...blinks.
 
Starting 7-0 statistically gives you 100% chance of making the playoffs.
Just sayin.
 
If there's anyone here that sees a scenario where the Rams don't win this division i'm all ears.
Aside from Armageddon-like injuries of course....
 
Mojo Ram said:
If there's anyone here that sees a scenario where the Rams don't win this division i'm all ears.
Aside from Armageddon-like injuries of course....
Click to expand...

Even then they only need to win 3 more games after today to win the division..........maybe 3 including today.
 
That chart makes perfect sense. I mean we can lose half our games the rest of the way after a 6-0 start and still finish 11-5. With a 7-0 start it's almost assured, barring an epic falloff.

So from this point forward everything's about injuries (avoiding them and gettin Talib back) and continued development of our young QB. Goff had a bit of the deer in the headlights thing going on last year in his first playoff game, think he's going to be ready to go this time around.
 
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LoyalRam said:
Keeping it one game at a time....
Green Bay
New Orleans
Seattle
Kansas City

Better have another beer...
Click to expand...

starting to sound like me


we're on to..ummm...LA
 
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