Well, I have a number of issues with this mock. Since the OP was so straight forward with mine, i'll attempt to be equally fair with his. There are some things to like here and others, ... not so much. Many of the QB hungry crowd will swoon at the thought of drafting Mariota, although I believe you may have shortchanged his cost to the Rams for such a trade, especially in a QB needy draft. Also, I have little confidence yet to suggest that Mariota/Winston won't go 1 & 2. Mettenberger doesn't especially grab me as the permanent starter for Tennessee. While other trade partners have been mentioned, I wouldn't be surprised to see Chicago make a bid along with others who are in a closer drafting position to the top.
I think the best thing to keep in mind is the philosophy of the coaches. Tennessee has Whisenhunt. Whisenhunt does not like rookie QBs. I wouldn't be shocked if they inquired about Bradford if we were to take Mariota. Ultimately, I think Tennessee signs a guy like Matt Moore or another veteran to compete with Mettenberger and focuses on building up their roster. I don't think Whisenhunt will like Mariota. He's an old school guy. While I think he'd like Winston's skill-set, one of my buddies who is a very knowledgeable Cardinals fan thinks that their personalities wouldn't mesh. Either ways, I'm not seeing Tennessee going QB at #2.
I doubt Chicago trades up for many of the same reasons. I don't see John Fox moving on from Cutler for a guy like Mariota. And even if they entertain it, I don't think they're going to be willing to outbid us.
I think, ultimately, our competition is the Jets. And I think New York isn't going to be willing to go all in this off-season.
Before getting ahead of myself with the draft, perhaps we should address what comes first, free agency. The one pick I really like seems quite improbable as Cincinnati looks to be in a very solid CAP situation going forward into 2015. I actually prefer Boling over Iupati at LG and have mocked him myself in the past, but unlike Iupati, I have more serious doubts he ever hits the market. I also see his CAP cost as higher than you have him projected.
He may not hit the market. But Cincy won't franchise him so that means getting a deal done before FA. As far as his cap cost goes, it's right in line with the contracts signed within the past year by Jon Asamoah, Geoff Schwartz, and Brandon Fusco. Guards tend to be underpaid and Boling isn't an elite player. Just a solid starter. But his cost could be higher. FA is difficult to project for the mid level guys.
As Douzable would be strictly rotational and at a more reasonable cost, I still see him as a step backwards from Langford. We could make up for this somewhat by increasing snap percentage for Brockers/Donald, but i'm not sure that is in our best interests. There is another issue rapidly approaching our D-Line, that Brockers will be entering his 'contract' season in 2015, and Chris Long's explosive CAP hit will need addressing sooner rather than later. With these two contracts and a rotational DT who is probably not promotable, 2016 could get a little too interesting.
As for FB, has Fisher ever drafted or chosen a free agent FB before ? I'm not sure on this. Personally, I don't know enough about John Conner, or if he will be as flexible as Kendricks or Harkey in the line-up. He doesn't seem to be as highly regarded as some other free agent FB's currently listed. The OP has kept potential free agent CAP costs down in a year we have a little extra to spend, but while addressing depth somewhat, i'm not sure this helps Fisher get his team to the next level.
Douzable was one of the league's better run stoppers the past couple years for NYJ. Plus, I brought in J.T. Surratt in the draft who is known for his run stuffing ability. I think they can get the job done.
As you said before, we have the cap to cover Brockers next year. Long will have to be addressed...but that will likely be next year.
Fisher always had a FB in Tennessee. Conner doesn't offer the versatility on offense but I don't think that's particularly important. Harkey takes Kendricks's role as the blocking TE and Conner is the true FB. Conner is also a very capable of special teams player. And he's a quality lead blocker.
I guess where you and I mainly disagree is what is needed to get this team to the next level. I don't think free agency is it. I think the draft is it. We're very close to that next level. We just have a couple spots to fill. I think FA is useful for us to improve depth and add a guy like Boling to help our OL out. But ultimately, spending a lot isn't necessary and it hasn't been beneficial in the past. I'm very big on conserving our money, focusing on solid value signings in FA, and then building this team through the draft.
While i'm in complete agreement with the OP's release segment of presently contracted players, I guess i'm in a minority on the re-sign segment where Barksdale gets another 4 years at $6.mil per. This would make me ill. Hopefully Saffold back at RG partially helps Barksdale get back on track, but I have seen nothing out of the guy, other than his health, that would permit me to invest another 4 years in him, especially at such a high CAP cost.
It wouldn't be heavy on guarantees. But that's the going rate for a solid RT.
OK, lets get back to the draft. Besides what I have already spoken to in regards with Mariota, this pick would indeed spell the end of the Bradford era. Of course, this may well be the proper move & the right time, but should, by some happenstance, Bradford actually be recovered from previous injury, go an entire season while putting up the solid numbers expected last year, his new status as a healthy/recovered/solid starting QB, ... would all be for naught, ... at least as far as the Rams are concerned. As a free agent, he could go forward not only commanding another big payday, but will be highly sought after by several very needy teams. Of course, this is all a big if, the Rams could win or lose this gamble, so I imagine many of us will be following his career forward. Seems many if not most Rams fans are ready to part ways with Bradford, I just hope it doesn't all backfire on us should he go on to a healthy & successful future with a team which provides him better offensive support.
Ultimately, yes, it would. Sam would start in 2015 and Mariota would take over in 2016. It sucks. I think a lot of Bradford but we simply can't hitch our wagon to him at this point. He's got one year left on his deal and even if he stays healthy and plays well this year, do you feel comfortable offering him a large deal with all his past injuries?
And even if we offer him a short extension, who do you bring in behind him? He hasn't played the last 25 games. There's a very real possibility he gets injured again. And I don't want to be left out in the cold if that happens.
It's a lose-lose situation. But I think coming away with a young possible franchise QB that we could take a year to develop could turn this into a winning situation. Sam gets to rehab his value for free agency and Mariota gets a year to learn our offense. And I'll wish Sam the best of luck on another team after the year because I like the kid. He's just too big of a risk for us to keep taking.
I guess my next objection to this draft is due to the fact that not a single player, based on your own assumptions & starting depth chart, becomes a starter in 2015. I'm not sure how this fills present holes or helps Fisher get the needed winning season that may help him keep his job. Its a draft for depth only. I also have to agree with a previous poster who mentions his doubt that your 3'rd round CB pick falls to us quite so late. And relying on Barrett Jones to finally step up into a starting role at Center, that feels like a huge gamble, especially with so little behind him. I might take that 2'nd round pick of yours and hope someone like Reese Dismukes is still available, at least we might actually have one draftee who breaks into the starting line-up. Forgive my harsh opinions, it is only that, just another meaningless opinion, these mocks do require time and effort, but I would be disappointed if this is how our 2015 season were to progress. The Mariota move could be prophetic, just seems a huge longshot at a big price.
You don't hand rookies starting jobs if you have capable veterans. I'm sorry man but the fact that there are zero rookies starting is not negative, it's a huge positive. Bad teams rely on a bunch of rookie starters. Good teams have the talent to develop their picks and play them when they're ready.
Most guys aren't ready to jump in and play from day 1. This isn't a draft for depth, realistically, our picks in the first, second, third, and fifth round could all develop into starters. But I'm not expecting any to be ready to unseat a solid to good veteran player their rookie year.
Who knows, maybe Matias is ready to unseat Boling. In that case, Boling gives us the best 6th OL in the NFL.
As far as Center is concerned, I'm not taking Dismukes there because I don't have him rated as the #1 player on my board in that spot.
This wasn't a draft for "depth". This was a draft for the future. I think too many people lose sight of that. You're not drafting a guy for what he'll do year one. You're drafting him for what he'll do over the course of his first contract...and hopefully his second one.
How does it help Fisher? Well, lets be honest, Fisher had a team that could have gotten a winning season last year. But the new scheme on defense caused them to not hit their stride in the first half of the season and the injury to our starting QB dragged us down into another losing year. Neither will be a problem in 2015 if this mock were to happen. Bradford goes down...okay, Mariota steps in. The OL has been improved. And we've retained all our key players.
Fisher has the players in place to deal with injuries which will happen and the talent in place to make the playoffs.