Dark Horse Teams in 2021

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CGI_Ram

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With camps on the horizon… all we can do is evaluate teams on paper and make guesses. Based on what we know today; Who looks like a potential surprise team? A team that emerges and suddenly is stronger than we thought.

Some contenders in the article below. Others?

What about the Cowboys, Patriots, Saints? These teams don’t have a ton of buzz right now.

The Cowboys play in the NFC East and a team could eat that division up if they get hot.

The Pats made a ton of off-season moves. Mac Jones, his fall to the Patriots, sounds like a story waiting to be written (unfortunately) if he gets some starts.

The Saints were 12-4 last year and without Brees expectations seem lower in 2021. Nobody is talking about the Saints. They could be sneaky if Winston shows more consistent play a year under Drew Brees.

The Chargers will be a lot of people’s dark horse pick.

What do you see? Who do you like?



NFL's most underrated teams ahead of 2021 season​

Training camp is right around the corner, which means so is real football. You don't have to be an expert to know teams like the Buccaneers and Chiefs are expected to be among the best of the best in 2021, a year after going head to head in the Super Bowl. But what about the teams flying under the radar? The potential contenders who aren't getting nearly enough attention?

Below, we've identified four of the most underrated teams going into the 2021 season. Not all of them should be considered realistic candidates to win it all. But we'd be surprised if these four didn't surprise plenty of people this year:

Note: Projected win totals courtesy of William Hill Sportsbook.

Denver Broncos
2020 record: 5-11
Projected win total: O/U 8.5

Despite going 12-20 under Vic Fangio and 32-48 since winning the Super Bowl with Peyton Manning, the Broncos are considered top-11 favorites to win it all this year. That has almost everything to do with Aaron Rodgers, who's drawn their interest even though the Packers refuse to deal the star quarterback. If/when Rodgers rumors are put to rest (and assuming he doesn't leave Green Bay), Denver will be widely projected to either challenge the Chargers for a wild card or miss the playoffs altogether. But there's a reason Rodgers would seemingly put them over the top; unlike, say, the Jaguars or Jets or even Raiders, they're built well enough to compete with A-Rod. Neither Drew Lock nor Teddy Bridgewater is a surefire top-15 starter, but between Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, Noah Fant, Bradley Chubb, Kyle Fuller and a healthier Von Miller, they've got play-makers on both sides of the ball.

Indianapolis Colts
2020 record: 11-5
Projected win total: O/U 10

How in the world can a team fresh off 11 wins -- a team that's won 28 games and made the playoffs in two of Frank Reich's three seasons as coach -- be underrated? For one, the national buzz is still lagging. The Buccaneers, Chiefs and Packers all have more firepower as Super Bowl favorites, but considering Reich's track record, Indy deserves more love. They've got the coach. They've got a ground game. They've got a stingy defense. And then there's new quarterback Carson Wentz, who steps in after a premature exit from Philadelphia to replace Philip Rivers. For many, the pendulum has swung so far to the "he's broken and/or bad" side of the argument, when in reality it'd be surprising if Wentz didn't rebound to be at least a top-15 QB with fresh scenery. At the very least, he gives the Colts offense more upside. Couple all that with a winnable division, and they're capable of really challenging in the AFC.

Minnesota Vikings
2020 record: 7-9
Projected win total: O/U 8.5

Both their coach and quarterback have built a reputation as predictable mid-tier performers: never bad enough to bottom out, but rarely elite enough to get over the hump. How else do you explain the Vikings literally going in, then out, then back into the playoffs every year since Mike Zimmer took over, or Kirk Cousins posting Pro Bowl numbers without also posting a signature postseason run? And yet, even if Aaron Rodgers stays in Green Bay, they're poised to bounce back. Not only because Zimmer's due for his biannual playoff ticket, but because Cousins has more motivation (hello Kellen Mond), the offense has bona fide play-makers (Dalvin Cook, Justin Jefferson) and, best of all, Zimmer's defense is both deeper and healthier (welcome back, Danielle Hunter!) after an uncharacteristically porous year. They may not win the division, but the Vikings have the makings of a sneaky contender.

Philadelphia Eagles
2020 record: 4-11-1
Projected win total: O/U 7

How can a team that just won the Super Bowl a few years ago already be one of the NFL's most underrated teams? Feast your eyes on the Eagles' 2020 season, when organizational dysfunction and a historic regression from a former MVP candidate resulted in a total overhaul of both the team's staff and QB spot. It's back to square one in Philadelphia, where first-time head coach Nick Sirianni has been tasked with injecting creative energy into a plan that quickly went stale under Doug Pederson. Almost no one, from a national perspective, seems to be buying the possibility of the ex-Colts coordinator surprising out of the gate, with young Jalen Hurts under center. But couple the fresh staff with Hurts' mobility, a healthier offensive line, a new No. 1 wideout in DeVonta Smith and some decent veterans on "D," and a late challenge for the always-open NFC East title isn't nearly as crazy as it sounds.
 

dieterbrock

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With Jared Goff at the helm, the Detroit Lions will be lucky to win three games.
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ScotsRam

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Havent seen anyone mention my dark horse pick which is the Falcons. I really like Arthur Smith, Matt Ryan can still do it and they have Pitts and Ridley to catch balls. If they can field an average D then they could be a wild card type team. I also think their division isnt great.

The Chargers will win 12 games. Bookmark this.
 

Psycho_X

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Havent seen anyone mention my dark horse pick which is the Falcons. I really like Arthur Smith, Matt Ryan can still do it and they have Pitts and Ridley to catch balls. If they can field an average D then they could be a wild card type team. I also think their division isnt great.

The Chargers will win 12 games. Bookmark this.

Man I don't know, their defensive roster was not good. Lost Julio and have no running game that I am aware of. Ryan, Pitts, and Ridley will play good ball but not sure what else they have beyond that. Bucs will repeat win division and Saints are a mystery at QB but they still have a good defense and asshole face will find a way to score points still but still view them as second best in the division.

Agree about the Chargers though if they can stay healthy. If Bosa and James can stay healthy for a full season that defense is going to be extremely good with Staley running it. And Herbert is a stud... if they can give him an oline that is at least average and not a shitfest like it was last year they might challenge the Chiefs for the division.
 

SuperMan28

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I'm picking one team from each conference that didn't make the Playoffs the year before. That is the only way I'm justifying the "dark horse" title.

NFC: Niners
AFC: Patriots
 

FrantikRam

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Minnesota had the worst defense last year. I do not see them getting any better. However, Detroit's defense wasn't much better and I do not see them getting any better yet either. Detroit does have an offensive line so I can see them having a very good year offensively as long as their no-name receivers can catch the ball. Big question mark there. Plus is Detroit going to have any running game.

I see Detroit going at best 6-11 this year but with a couple good drafts in the next few years capable of winning 10 or more games a season.


The Vikings started a lot of young players last year and signed 7 FAs on defense - that coupled with Zimmer's history of fielding good defenses, it's an easy bet that the defense will improve to at least league average.

Their OL was the other issue and they invested a first rounder there.

They wouldn't trade their skill guys for anyone else's in the NFL, and the QB is good enough.


How many games Detroit wins depends on what you think of their division rivals - I see them going 1-5 there myself, because I think the Vikings will be one of the better teams in the NFC this year.

I have them winning 3 games and I'd guess that that in your 6 you have at least two more division wins than I do.
 

Tano

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The Vikings started a lot of young players last year and signed 7 FAs on defense - that coupled with Zimmer's history of fielding good defenses, it's an easy bet that the defense will improve to at least league average.

Their OL was the other issue and they invested a first rounder there.

They wouldn't trade their skill guys for anyone else's in the NFL, and the QB is good enough.


How many games Detroit wins depends on what you think of their division rivals - I see them going 1-5 there myself, because I think the Vikings will be one of the better teams in the NFC this year.

I have them winning 3 games and I'd guess that that in your 6 you have at least two more division wins than I do.
Maybe 1 more division game and 4 non-division games - upsets do happen

I see them winning 2 games against the Bears and Vikings - not that impressed with those teams and divisional games are usually tougher games
 

CoachAllred

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Dolphins.
Like any organization, it always starts at the top and trickles downward. They finally have the pieces (owner, Gm, and coach on the same page). Those teams always do well.

And those that don't have that only catch lightning-in-a-bottle on occasion before their true identity comes to light.
I could see that happening. All depends on Tua's progress. They could have used a top notch back in the draft.
I think they were wanting one, it just never developed
 

CoachAllred

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are you sold on their dbs coach?

.
Oh yes and still pissed about losing him.

I was actually thinking Lynn didn't get a fair shake with Chargers until I started reading about some absolute
Terrible play calls and game management that cost the chargers games on his watch. Situations that make you as a fan say WTF.
I think some of these examples is what led to his early dismissal. Add to that he has never been a full time playcaller.
Got my doubts.
More info google Chargers playcalling.
 
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Neil039

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The AFC north looks tough. I could probably make a case for each… but it feels like two tiers to me.

1A
Ravens
Browns

1B
Steelers
Bengals
That’s a weird division though, IMO. Some years teams you don’t expect to win do.
 

Neil039

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Man I don't know, their defensive roster was not good. Lost Julio and have no running game that I am aware of. Ryan, Pitts, and Ridley will play good ball but not sure what else they have beyond that. Bucs will repeat win division and Saints are a mystery at QB but they still have a good defense and asshole face will find a way to score points still but still view them as second best in the division.

Agree about the Chargers though if they can stay healthy. If Bosa and James can stay healthy for a full season that defense is going to be extremely good with Staley running it. And Herbert is a stud... if they can give him an oline that is at least average and not a shitfest like it was last year they might challenge the Chiefs for the division.
Agreed. Personally think they will put points in the board on the high 20’s but lose by ten points weekly with that defense.
 

CGI_Ram

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Detroit has a brutal schedule… on paper anyway.

Brutal.

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den-the-coach

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Detroit has a brutal schedule… on paper anyway.

Brutal.

4-13 and they will draft Spencer Rattler QB Oklahoma....There I posted it, my God never seen so much love for another team, did some old time Ram fans feel the same way about the Philadelphia Eagles in 1973?

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Neil039

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I’m going out in a limb here and say the Rams. They are ranked 4th regarding talent but picked to place 3rd in their division. What screams dark horse Marie than that!?!?