Dark Horse Teams in 2021

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CGI_Ram

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With camps on the horizon… all we can do is evaluate teams on paper and make guesses. Based on what we know today; Who looks like a potential surprise team? A team that emerges and suddenly is stronger than we thought.

Some contenders in the article below. Others?

What about the Cowboys, Patriots, Saints? These teams don’t have a ton of buzz right now.

The Cowboys play in the NFC East and a team could eat that division up if they get hot.

The Pats made a ton of off-season moves. Mac Jones, his fall to the Patriots, sounds like a story waiting to be written (unfortunately) if he gets some starts.

The Saints were 12-4 last year and without Brees expectations seem lower in 2021. Nobody is talking about the Saints. They could be sneaky if Winston shows more consistent play a year under Drew Brees.

The Chargers will be a lot of people’s dark horse pick.

What do you see? Who do you like?



NFL's most underrated teams ahead of 2021 season​

Training camp is right around the corner, which means so is real football. You don't have to be an expert to know teams like the Buccaneers and Chiefs are expected to be among the best of the best in 2021, a year after going head to head in the Super Bowl. But what about the teams flying under the radar? The potential contenders who aren't getting nearly enough attention?

Below, we've identified four of the most underrated teams going into the 2021 season. Not all of them should be considered realistic candidates to win it all. But we'd be surprised if these four didn't surprise plenty of people this year:

Note: Projected win totals courtesy of William Hill Sportsbook.

Denver Broncos
2020 record: 5-11
Projected win total: O/U 8.5

Despite going 12-20 under Vic Fangio and 32-48 since winning the Super Bowl with Peyton Manning, the Broncos are considered top-11 favorites to win it all this year. That has almost everything to do with Aaron Rodgers, who's drawn their interest even though the Packers refuse to deal the star quarterback. If/when Rodgers rumors are put to rest (and assuming he doesn't leave Green Bay), Denver will be widely projected to either challenge the Chargers for a wild card or miss the playoffs altogether. But there's a reason Rodgers would seemingly put them over the top; unlike, say, the Jaguars or Jets or even Raiders, they're built well enough to compete with A-Rod. Neither Drew Lock nor Teddy Bridgewater is a surefire top-15 starter, but between Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, Noah Fant, Bradley Chubb, Kyle Fuller and a healthier Von Miller, they've got play-makers on both sides of the ball.

Indianapolis Colts
2020 record: 11-5
Projected win total: O/U 10

How in the world can a team fresh off 11 wins -- a team that's won 28 games and made the playoffs in two of Frank Reich's three seasons as coach -- be underrated? For one, the national buzz is still lagging. The Buccaneers, Chiefs and Packers all have more firepower as Super Bowl favorites, but considering Reich's track record, Indy deserves more love. They've got the coach. They've got a ground game. They've got a stingy defense. And then there's new quarterback Carson Wentz, who steps in after a premature exit from Philadelphia to replace Philip Rivers. For many, the pendulum has swung so far to the "he's broken and/or bad" side of the argument, when in reality it'd be surprising if Wentz didn't rebound to be at least a top-15 QB with fresh scenery. At the very least, he gives the Colts offense more upside. Couple all that with a winnable division, and they're capable of really challenging in the AFC.

Minnesota Vikings
2020 record: 7-9
Projected win total: O/U 8.5

Both their coach and quarterback have built a reputation as predictable mid-tier performers: never bad enough to bottom out, but rarely elite enough to get over the hump. How else do you explain the Vikings literally going in, then out, then back into the playoffs every year since Mike Zimmer took over, or Kirk Cousins posting Pro Bowl numbers without also posting a signature postseason run? And yet, even if Aaron Rodgers stays in Green Bay, they're poised to bounce back. Not only because Zimmer's due for his biannual playoff ticket, but because Cousins has more motivation (hello Kellen Mond), the offense has bona fide play-makers (Dalvin Cook, Justin Jefferson) and, best of all, Zimmer's defense is both deeper and healthier (welcome back, Danielle Hunter!) after an uncharacteristically porous year. They may not win the division, but the Vikings have the makings of a sneaky contender.

Philadelphia Eagles
2020 record: 4-11-1
Projected win total: O/U 7

How can a team that just won the Super Bowl a few years ago already be one of the NFL's most underrated teams? Feast your eyes on the Eagles' 2020 season, when organizational dysfunction and a historic regression from a former MVP candidate resulted in a total overhaul of both the team's staff and QB spot. It's back to square one in Philadelphia, where first-time head coach Nick Sirianni has been tasked with injecting creative energy into a plan that quickly went stale under Doug Pederson. Almost no one, from a national perspective, seems to be buying the possibility of the ex-Colts coordinator surprising out of the gate, with young Jalen Hurts under center. But couple the fresh staff with Hurts' mobility, a healthier offensive line, a new No. 1 wideout in DeVonta Smith and some decent veterans on "D," and a late challenge for the always-open NFC East title isn't nearly as crazy as it sounds.
 

dieterbrock

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Do not forget, they also Have Brad Holmes, who is very aware of Goff's strengths and weaknesses, and they have a top center. Lions also drafted a top offensive lineman in recent draft.
train
Yup.
Along the lines of the thread topic, a "darkhorse" team is one who will surprise teams, doesnt mean playoff contender. Detroit has averaged 5 wins per season over the last 20 years. I could see this team putting up 7 or 8 wins especially if like @Juggs said, that they pick up a solid RB or 2
 

Flint

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Agreed.
I dont understand why so many are down on Tua. I think he'll show why he was so highly regarded
I don’t know if people are down on Tua really, it’s just that historically there haven’t been a lot of guys from Alabama who have been successful. Maybe there is something to playing on a team with nfl’ers up and down the roster. I also think his doorway is pretty narrow, he doesn’t have great size or speed or a huge arm, he’s not elusive and he’s been injured. He’s going to have to be a Brees type guy who is smart and accurate and we don’t know if he can be that.
 

snackdaddy

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There are some likely candidates. Herbert makes the Chargers one of the favorites to be a dark horse. We'll have to see how Staley can handle the every day duties of head coach.

Cowboys have Prescott back and he has some weapons. Although I have my doubts with McCarthy. His success was tied to a Hall of Fame quarterback. He hasn't fared well without him.

I think the Colts are already a contender. Not sure I'd call them a dark horse. I think Reich can at least make Wentz serviceable.

Most peg the 49ers to be a contending team. So I wouldn't call them a dark horse either. I expect them to win 10 games or more. They also have an easier schedule.

If the Broncos don't land Aaron Rogers I just don't see them has a contender. Fangio reminds me of Jeff Fisher.

All things considered, I like the Chargers or Dolphins. Dolphins have a good defense. Chargers have a good offense.
 

Allen2McVay

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Do not forget, they also Have Brad Holmes, who is very aware of Goff's strengths and weaknesses, and they have a top center. Lions also drafted a top offensive lineman in recent draft.
train
Agree about the Lions’ OL.

Ragnow is a quality Center, and Decker is a good veteran Tackle. The rookie Sewell could be special, and they have some options at Guard, including a couple second year players. With Swift and Williams at RB, Detroit has the makings of a good ball control / play-action offense.
 

dieterbrock

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I don’t know if people are down on Tua really, it’s just that historically there haven’t been a lot of guys from Alabama who have been successful
Never understood that argument. If a top list of QB's includes Brady (Michigan), Rodgers (Cal), Mahomes (Texas Tech), Wilson (NC State, Wisconsin), Stafford (Georgia), Allen (Wyoming) and Watson (Clemson), you could literally say the same thing about all of those schools.
Its the player not the school. Tua's got wheels, dont see the Brees comp at all. He may not be Jalen Hurts elusive, but he sure isnt Mac Jones statuesque
 

Loyal

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Detroit will be fun to root for, a little. Obviously the Goff/Brockers connection, but mostly because of their loser label. Those kind of teams are always fun to watch when they have a good year.

Like Cleveland... Detroit is a loveable loser in that way.
'The rebuilding since 1957, Detroit Lions...."
 

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I don't believe in Kyler Murray. He's too short and a bit fragile and will always break Cardinal fan's hearts, imo. The Rams have the formula to stop him, by making him try to what what he can't do well Stay in the collapsing pocket and see over the linemen. With him at QB, I don't see them ever winning more than 9 games,
 

XXXIVwin

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Yup.
Along the lines of the thread topic, a "darkhorse" team is one who will surprise teams, doesnt mean playoff contender. Detroit has averaged 5 wins per season over the last 20 years. I could see this team putting up 7 or 8 wins especially if like @Juggs said, that they pick up a solid RB or 2
Disagree with you on this one. I see the Lions as competing for the #1 overall pick.

Lions D was dead last in 2020, giving up both the most points (519) and the most yards (6716). On offense, they were decimated at both QB and WR. They lost Stafford of course. But they also had their entire WR corps cleaned out-- they lost Kenny Goloday, Marvin Jones, Danny Amendola, Marvin Hall and Mohammed Sanu. Yes, they picked up starters in Breshad Perriman and Tyrel Williams, but neither guy moves the needle much-- they're like 400-700 yards per year type guys.

So an awful D combined with a decimated O. And brand new systems and coordinators to get used to. (At least their new head coach wants to chew off some kneecaps.) No wonder Vegas has them dead last for win predictions.

I wish Goff the best, but I think Detroit will be a dumpster fire in 2021. I predict they will hit rock bottom, then draft a new franchise QB in 2022.
 
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Florida_Ram

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A Darkhorse to me means a team that didn't make it to the playoffs combined with only having 8 wins or less in 2020.


darkhorseidiom.jpg
 

Wisconsinram

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Dolphins.
Like any organization, it always starts at the top and trickles downward. They finally have the pieces (owner, Gm, and coach on the same page). Those teams always do well.

And those that don't have that only catch lightning-in-a-bottle on occasion before their true identity comes to light.
 

den-the-coach

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There’s an awful lot of 69ers knob schobling this year. I’m hoping for another losing season to see how many pitchforks come out for Shanahan.

I don't see that happening as I would like him gone too, but with Lynch & Shanahan, we are just going to have to do it the old fashion way and kick their ass.
 

Angry Ram

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Disagree with you on this one. I see the Lions as competing for the #1 overall pick.

Lions D was dead last in 2020, giving up both the most points (519) and the most yards (6716). On offense, they were decimated at both QB and WR. They lost Stafford of course. But they also had their entire WR corps cleaned out-- they lost Kenny Goloday, Marvin Jones, Danny Amendola, Marvin Hall and Mohammed Sanu. Yes, they picked up starters in Breshad Perriman and Tyrel Williams, but neither guy moves the needle much-- they're like 400-700 yards per year type guys.

So an awful D combined with a decimated O. And brand new systems and coordinators to get used to. (At least their new head coach wants to chew off some kneecaps.) No wonder Vegas has them dead last for win predictions.

I wish Goff the best, but I think Detroit will be a dumpster fire in 2021. I predict they will hit rock bottom, then draft a new franchise QB in 2022.

Yeah they are widely considered the team with the worst roster right by the Texans. Deandre Swift and TJ Hockenson and not a whole lot else.
 

Flint

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Never understood that argument. If a top list of QB's includes Brady (Michigan), Rodgers (Cal), Mahomes (Texas Tech), Wilson (NC State, Wisconsin), Stafford (Georgia), Allen (Wyoming) and Watson (Clemson), you could literally say the same thing about all of those schools.
Its the player not the school. Tua's got wheels, dont see the Brees comp at all. He may not be Jalen Hurts elusive, but he sure isnt Mac Jones statuesque
Being a national championship level team is going to get your qb draft consideration and Alabama is in that position a lot. Look at the guys who’ve come out recently: Burrow, Lawrence, Mayfield, Murray, these are guys who’ve gotten their teams places they’ve never been. LSU had a great team and Burrow was a great qb and they had success, it might be a while before it happens again. Alabama has a great team every year, so good they can be great without a great qb. With as many titles as they have you’d think they would have a quality qb or 2.
Tua is a guy who doesn’t have great athletism like Brees, who is going to have to use his brain to be successful.
 

dieterbrock

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Being a national championship level team is going to get your qb draft consideration and Alabama is in that position a lot. Look at the guys who’ve come out recently: Burrow, Lawrence, Mayfield, Murray, these are guys who’ve gotten their teams places they’ve never been. LSU had a great team and Burrow was a great qb and they had success, it might be a while before it happens again. Alabama has a great team every year, so good they can be great without a great qb. With as many titles as they have you’d think they would have a quality qb or 2.
Tua is a guy who doesn’t have great athletism like Brees, who is going to have to use his brain to be successful.
There's no difference between Alabama, Michigan, Clemson etc. Same argument was made when Bradford came out, and while he didnt make it, there's now 3 guys in NFL from there.
The NCAA & NFL became virtually the same offense about 10 years ago, so the NCAA went from primarily rushing teams to passing, and NFL adopted the spread. Otherwise, Alabama and Stabler, Namath and Starr disagree that Alabama doesnt produce good QB's...
 

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There’s an awful lot of 69ers knob schobling this year. I’m hoping for another losing season to see how many pitchforks come out for Shanahan.
Hoping and being realistic are two different things. I'm hoping for the same as you, but I'm not gonna deny that their roster is stacked.
 

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I'll go with the Bengals as a dark horse. Burrow is a great quarterback when he gets protection, and he got another amazing weapon in Ja'Marr Chase. Chase, Tee Higgin, and Tyler Boyd. And they upgraded the offensive line with Jackson Carman and a healthy Jonah Williams. And Mixon (as much as I hate that son of a bitch for his conduct with women, he is a damn good running back when healthy) is healthy.

Their defense doesn't look that good, but the offense will keep them in games.
 

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Jaguars. New coach and I thought they did well in the draft and free agency. I don't expect them to make the playoffs but I think they win around 6-7 games and finish 3rd in the division.
 

CGI_Ram

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I'll go with the Bengals as a dark horse. Burrow is a great quarterback when he gets protection, and he got another amazing weapon in Ja'Marr Chase. Chase, Tee Higgin, and Tyler Boyd. And they upgraded the offensive line with Jackson Carman and a healthy Jonah Williams. And Mixon (as much as I hate that son of a bitch for his conduct with women, he is a damn good running back when healthy) is healthy.

Their defense doesn't look that good, but the offense will keep them in games.

The AFC north looks tough. I could probably make a case for each… but it feels like two tiers to me.

1A
Ravens
Browns

1B
Steelers
Bengals