12-4. Over by one. I loved the free agent pickups and the excitement and energy that McVay brought to the team. It was a bit optimistic, but I thought the schedule was favorable.
This year the schedule is tougher imo, and we don't know what the Offensive line will be like. How much will they miss Cooks? Can Cam Akers be an upgrade over injured Gurley. I'm not as impressed by Akers as others. We don't have any indication that the run blocking will improve. I think people are convincing themselves that it has to be better because of experience. But they will face some good very defenses this year. It's going to be tough without a few dominant Olineman to lead the group. I don't see a single one that I think will be dominant next year. Whitworth is the closest thing to a stud and age was starting to show up in his game last year. I don't think any of the last season's rookies will miraculously turn into border line All Pros.
I see them going
3-1 AFC East (maybe 4-0 since I am not really that impressed with Buffalo's QB)
3-1 NFC East
3-3 Conference (at worst)
1-1 Against Tampa and Chicago Bears (And I think they can easily go 2-0)
I just don't see the difficulty in this schedule as you do.
10-6 to 14-2
AFC East
Buffalo - great defense - No QB
Miami - rebuilding
Cheatriots - rebuild year (don't count out Belicheat but we are at home against them)
NY Jets - no defense yet and Darnold only has rookie offensive help
NFC East
Redskins - Haskins sucks
Giants - No belief in them
Eagles - Wentz overrated
Cowboys - admittedly tough team but I think we can win at home against them - first game is always a 50-50 proposition unless you really suck
Other two games
Tampa - Brady is done
Chicago - WHO's at QB
Conference
Seattle - we have Wilson's number and if we stop the run like I think we can - we can win 1 or even 2 games
SF - Tough Defense but we had their number in the last game - a few key mistakes lost that game for us
Arizona - still not that impressed with midget 2.0 (the second year can be really tough on QBs because Defensive Coordinators can spot weaknesses in their game and make adjustments)
Note - Goff didn't have a tough 2nd year because his first year suck so bad with the worst OC in the history of the game (he is STILL Buffalo's TE Coordinator - that says much to me)