Seems like a great rule change to me. But I have a feeling it'll result in a lot of annoyance when they call stupid penalties (illegal contact, defensive holding, DPI, etc.).
My concern is that it gives the refs an even easier way to manipulate games.
Let's take a hypothetical game of Jacksonville vs Houston.
League loves Trevor Lawrence, but he doesn't really have the team around him, so they've struggled. Houston is a dumpster fire, but they put it together for this game and are up 13 with 3 minutes to go.
Lawrence finds a receiver for a TD and they go for the kick and make it an 6 point game.
The announcers can't shut up about the "new format" as if 4th and 15 is too difficult to explain. Jags call a play and Lawrence sees his slot receiver open for a deep in. Throws a bullet and the ball is deflected. Looks like a bang-bang play to seal the game for the Texans.
BUT WAIT!!! The NBA...err... NFL official... the Back Judge in this case... throws a flag. It's a DPI. He's very deep. One of the announcers questions why he was that deep on such a play. The Texans sideline is going berzerk. The D is distracted enough that Lawrence throws a TD pass two plays later and the PAT wins the game.
And that leaves us with the "question". Was it a legit call? If it wasn't, was it a mistake or the league developing it's next star?
All that to say that I hate it because under the guise of safety, we have yet another chance for the NFL to appear to be more scripted than it does.
If it's false, it does the game a tremendous disservice. If it's true, then the "narrative writing" will only become more blatant. We're already seeing more and more YouTube breakdowns showing pretty conclusively that holding calls at critical times tremendously affect games.
I'd love an alternative to the onside kick. The problem with all these gimmick alternatives is that they're all easily exploitable. If they restrict the benefit of any DPI to 15 yards on that "onside alternative" teams will instruct players to hold rather than give up a big play. If they don't, then we're asking for more controversial DPI calls and non-calls.
I dunno the alternative, but I worry that the proposals are worse than the status quo...by a lot.