Winter Forecast: Refriger-Nation

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ALMANAC PREDICTS COLDER WINTER, HOTTER SUMMER
BY RIK STEVENS
ASSOCIATED PRESS


CONCORD, N.H. (AP) -- The Old Farmer's Almanac, the familiar, 223-year-old chronicler of climate, folksy advice and fun facts, is predicting a colder winter and warmer summer for much of the nation.

Published Wednesday, the New Hampshire-based almanac predicts a "super-cold" winter in the eastern two-thirds of the country. The west will remain a little bit warmer than normal.

"Colder is just almost too familiar a term," Editor Janice Stillman said. "Think of it as a refriger-nation."

More bad news for those who can't stand snow: Most of the Northeast is expected to get more snowfall than normal, though it will be below normal in New England.

Before unpacking the parka, however, remember that "colder than average" is still only about 2 to 5 degrees difference.

Some other regional highlights:

- Florida's winter could be rainier than most years while other locales in the Southeast and central states will see less rain.

- Summer will be warmer than usual in most places while a drop in rainfall in the country's midsection could hurt crop yields.

- Despite some winter downpours in the west, the almanac says California's drought will likely continue.

- Hurricane season isn't expected to be especially active though a major storm could hit the Gulf Coast in late August.

For loyal readers of an almanac that also tracks to the minute every sunrise and sunset for the year, the timing of this year's publication may come as a surprise. Normally, it hits the stands in mid-September. In recent years, its younger cousin, the Maine-based Farmer's Almanac, has published in August and a competition of sorts has emerged, though Stillman said it had nothing to do with the earlier drop date.

"We've found that folks want the almanac as soon as the issue is done up, right as the growing season is done," she said. "It's also time to order oil, wood, salt for roads. We've had so many inquiries we just decided to get it into people's hands earlier."

The almanac, which has about an 80 percent success rate in its forecasts, employs modern technology but still uses the "secret formula" that founder Robert Thomas devised in 1792. By combining the study of sunspots, prevailing weather patterns and basic meteorology, the almanac's weather staff comes up with a long-range forecast. The temperature deviations are based on 30-year averages compiled by government forecasters.
 

PhxRam

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ALMANAC PREDICTS COLDER WINTER, HOTTER SUMMER
BY RIK STEVENS
ASSOCIATED PRESS


CONCORD, N.H. (AP) -- The Old Farmer's Almanac, the familiar, 223-year-old chronicler of climate, folksy advice and fun facts, is predicting a colder winter and warmer summer for much of the nation.

Published Wednesday, the New Hampshire-based almanac predicts a "super-cold" winter in the eastern two-thirds of the country. The west will remain a little bit warmer than normal.

"Colder is just almost too familiar a term," Editor Janice Stillman said. "Think of it as a refriger-nation."

More bad news for those who can't stand snow: Most of the Northeast is expected to get more snowfall than normal, though it will be below normal in New England.

Before unpacking the parka, however, remember that "colder than average" is still only about 2 to 5 degrees difference.

Some other regional highlights:

- Florida's winter could be rainier than most years while other locales in the Southeast and central states will see less rain.

- Summer will be warmer than usual in most places while a drop in rainfall in the country's midsection could hurt crop yields.

- Despite some winter downpours in the west, the almanac says California's drought will likely continue.

- Hurricane season isn't expected to be especially active though a major storm could hit the Gulf Coast in late August.

For loyal readers of an almanac that also tracks to the minute every sunrise and sunset for the year, the timing of this year's publication may come as a surprise. Normally, it hits the stands in mid-September. In recent years, its younger cousin, the Maine-based Farmer's Almanac, has published in August and a competition of sorts has emerged, though Stillman said it had nothing to do with the earlier drop date.

"We've found that folks want the almanac as soon as the issue is done up, right as the growing season is done," she said. "It's also time to order oil, wood, salt for roads. We've had so many inquiries we just decided to get it into people's hands earlier."

The almanac, which has about an 80 percent success rate in its forecasts, employs modern technology but still uses the "secret formula" that founder Robert Thomas devised in 1792. By combining the study of sunspots, prevailing weather patterns and basic meteorology, the almanac's weather staff comes up with a long-range forecast. The temperature deviations are based on 30-year averages compiled by government forecasters.

It cant get here soon enough
 

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You're invited to spend winter with me here in Maryland. I only have one snow blower but several shovels if you feel like pitching in. Be careful if the driveway is covered with ice though. :sneaky: I hate the cold!!! I'm praying that my next church assignment is as a pastor to the surfers in Santa Cruz, CA. :)
 

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You're invited to spend winter with me here in Maryland. I only have one snow blower but several shovels if you feel like pitching in. Be careful if the driveway is covered with ice though. :sneaky: I hate the cold!!! I'm praying that my next church assignment is as a pastor to the surfers in Santa Cruz, CA. :)
Yeah, that's why I'm moving to a tweener state. Florida is stupid hot and humid almost year round, but I don't want to go somewhere that has ridiculously long and frigid winters either. Solution? Asheville North Carolina. And to be sure before buying, I've gone up there in July/August and in December/January.
 

brokeu91

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Now if they would have predicted that for last year, then my friends, they would have been onto something. Otherwise, I'll play it as it goes
 

DCH

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Below normal snowfall in New England? That I can live with.
 

Greg Stone

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We looked at a few different countries as well as all over the states to find the perfect climate. We moved to Sequim (skwim), WA in 2008. Sequim was just featured on Fox News and the Huffington Post as the best place in the US to retire. Sequim is across the San juan de Fuca Strait from Victoria, BC. We don't have air conditioning as half the year has highs in the 70's with a couple weeks in the 80's and maybe two days each year hit 90. The winters are also very mild with lows in the high 30's and highs in the mid 40's most of the time. Rain? less than 17 inches per year. Fully half the people I know in the area retired here from California. Beauty? I'd be happy to be surrounded by redcedars, but the breaks in the trees give me views of the the Strait and the Olympic Mountains. It's hard to find a home that doesn't have a beautiful view. Nature? How about a vast temperate rain forest with many of the largest known trees in the world for a half dozen species, hundreds of miles of wild Pacific beaches, an alpine lake, hot springs, ideal salt water and fresh water kayaking, a mile high ridge that you can bike or drive to 17 twisty miles from the sea. I could go on and on. It's a fabulous place, well worth looking into.
 

LesBaker

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Yeah, that's why I'm moving to a tweener state. Florida is stupid hot and humid almost year round, but I don't want to go somewhere that has ridiculously long and frigid winters either. Solution? Asheville North Carolina. And to be sure before buying, I've gone up there in July/August and in December/January.

I'm originally from the Cleveland area and as you know I live in SWFL now. Summers have some weeks where it's very hot and humid, but it was like that back home because of Lake Erie. Anyway my point it that I think it's cooler on this side of the state than it is on the side you're on but I can't explain why or if that's even true. The summers here are like back home but the dog days are a few weeks longer.

For the trade out I can live with it beiung hot as balls for a few more weeks. November through April I can leave my windows open almost all the time.
 

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I'm originally from the Cleveland area and as you know I live in SWFL now. Summers have some weeks where it's very hot and humid, but it was like that back home because of Lake Erie. Anyway my point it that I think it's cooler on this side of the state than it is on the side you're on but I can't explain why or if that's even true. The summers here are like back home but the dog days are a few weeks longer.

For the trade out I can live with it beiung hot as balls for a few more weeks. November through April I can leave my windows open almost all the time.
Yeah, I don't know what it is, but it's been 100+ with the heat index like every day here. I'm not that far inland either. Maybe 15-20 miles. You might be closer to the water than that judging from the pics you've shown me. Every day I check my weather app to compare it to Asheville though, and it's almost always 20 degrees cooler on average. I just need a little balance. You know, four seasons.
 

LesBaker

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Yeah, I don't know what it is, but it's been 100+ with the heat index like every day here. I'm not that far inland either. Maybe 15-20 miles. You might be closer to the water than that judging from the pics you've shown me. Every day I check my weather app to compare it to Asheville though, and it's almost always 20 degrees cooler on average. I just need a little balance. You know, four seasons.

It's been unusually warm here to for a couple of weeks, but normally it's not this bad. I was at the beach the other day doing some walking and I was dripping sweat.
 

CodeMonkey

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The almanac, which has about an 80 percent success rate in its forecasts, employs modern technology but still uses the "secret formula" that founder Robert Thomas devised in 1792. By combining the study of sunspots, prevailing weather patterns and basic meteorology, the almanac's weather staff comes up with a long-range forecast. The temperature deviations are based on 30-year averages compiled by government forecasters.

Don't mess with the Almanac! It's amazingly accurate on a gross (seasonal/regional) level. It's also a fun read. Pretty impressive science actually. Also impressive that it has been published for 223 years and is still ticking. It is in fact North America's oldest continuously published periodical. "Harper's" which started in 1850 is second oldest.
 

Mojo Ram

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It cant get here soon enough
No doubt. Actually August has been pretty kind so far this year in terms of high temps. Rainfall has been nice too. July was brutal. But yeah, i cant wait for Halloween so i can pretend its cold enough to wear my Rams hoodie in the middle of the night :)
 

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Well I'll tell yaright now, there is an overwhelming abundance of acorns on the oak trees this year... Usually means cold snowy winter according to old wives. Haven't seen it not be true yet
 

Yamahopper

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I have this friend I hang out with that's from Manitoba. Usually she comes here in the winter months and I go up there in the summer. We get about six weeks together a year. Anyway, last January I went up there for a couple weeks. Now when someone says it's cold the words " Bitch Please" pops into to my mind. When I stepped out of the airport it was -30 and a windchill of -60 and snowing sideways. My nose and eyes froze shut walking to the car. And then it got colder the next few days. Geez.
 

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I have this friend I hang out with that's from Manitoba. Usually she comes here in the winter months and I go up there in the summer. We get about six weeks together a year. Anyway, last January I went up there for a couple weeks. Now when someone says it's cold the words " Bitch Please" pops into to my mind. When I stepped out of the airport it was -30 and a windchill of -60 and snowing sideways. My nose and eyes froze shut walking to the car. And then it got colder the next few days. Geez.
Sounds like my winter in Vermont a few years back.
 

CodeMonkey

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Working on a contract in Minneapolis Minnesota, I spent two winters there. I don't know how those people do it. I recall a 30 day stretch of time where the HIGH temperature did not reach 0°F. The payoff is when it is 80°F in August.
 

bluecoconuts

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Working on a contract in Minneapolis Minnesota, I spent two winters there. I don't know how those people do it. I recall a 30 day stretch of time where the HIGH temperature did not reach 0°F. The payoff is when it is 80°F in August.

A buddy of mine lives there, he came down to LA to visit a few winters ago, it was probably 45 (at night) when he arrived talking about how great the weather is in shorts and short sleeves. Meanwhile I was freezing my ass off ready to get back inside. I took him to the beach and showed him LA winter and now he's ready to move.
 

rhinobean

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Yeah, that's why I'm moving to a tweener state. Florida is stupid hot and humid almost year round, but I don't want to go somewhere that has ridiculously long and frigid winters either. Solution? Asheville North Carolina. And to be sure before buying, I've gone up there in July/August and in December/January.
Daughter and her family's there. They really like it! Might have to go there and do some golfing!
 

DeaconJ

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First snow day of the season here in western Maryland. 6 inches of snow and a white Thanksgiving for PT. Time to get out the snowblower. Damn I hate this and so does my back. :mad:

Come on out to Cali where we have a severe drought going on. You'll thank the gods for water. We generally get a snowfall where I live before Thanksgiving....this year nada.