Detroit Lions vs. N.Y. Jets: Scouting report, prediction for opener
Fast Facts
Matchup: Detroit Lions vs. New York Jets
When: 7:10 p.m. Monday.
Where: Ford Field.
TV/radio: ESPN, Channel 7 in Detroit; WJR-AM (760).
Line: Lions by 6½.
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Scouting report
Lions run offense vs. Jets run defense
The Lions may not have
a “four-headed monster” at running back like Jets coach Todd Bowles suggested, but they certainly feel good about the moves they made to improve the ground game this offseason.
Either LeGarrette Blount or Kerryon Johnson will start at running back Monday, and that duo plus Theo Riddick give the Lions a versatile backfield. The Lions should be better on their offensive line just by virtue of being healthy, and Johnson has transformative potential.
But until we see the ground game in action, this is still the team that ranked last in the NFL in rushing last year.
The Jets weren’t a great run defense in 2017, but they do have a formidable space-eater in the middle in 32-year-old Steve McLendon. Leonard Williams is the Jets’ best lineman, and Avery Williamson is a reliable tackler, but Williamson’s cohort at inside linebacker, Darron Lee, has taken heat recently from Detroit native Bart Scott for lacking toughness.
Edge: Jets
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Lions pass offense vs. Jets pass defense
While the Lions’ running game remains a curiosity, the passing game is no such thing. In Marvin Jones, Golden Taint and Kenny Golladay, the Lions have one of the better receiving trios in the league. Jones is a proven deep threat, Taint does most of his damage out of the slot, and Golladay is the big-bodied wildcard entering his second season.
Matthew Stafford is coming off a year in which he threw for 4,446 yards and completed 65.7 percent of his passes, but also committed 17 turnovers. He was the victim of poor pass protection (a career-high 47 sacks). If that improves, the turnovers should come back down.
The Jets ranked in the bottom third of the NFL in both interceptions and takeaways last season, so they went out and signed the best cornerback on the market in Trumaine Johnson. He wins with his length and physicality, and he should see plenty of time on Jones. The Jets don’t have much in the way of pass rush, though Bowles is known for his creative blitz packages.
Edge: Lions
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Jets run offense vs. Lions run defense
With Bilal Powell as their lead back and plenty of unfavorable game scripts, the Jets still finished as a middle-of-the-pack rushing team last year. They added Isaiah Crowell in the offseason and are committed to giving young quarterback Sam Darnold the support of a running game.
Crowell is a downhill runner who should help the Jets stay on schedule on offense. He averaged 4.5 yards per carry with the Cleveland Browns the last two seasons. Powell is the change-of-pace back, a good receiver who can get to the edge in the Jets’ zone-blocking scheme. The Jets didn’t get great play out of their offensive line in the preseason, and their five starters didn’t play a single snap together in exhibition games.
The Lions saw their run defense fall apart in the second half of last season, then overhauled their front seven to account for a new scheme this spring. Sylvester Williams is a stout nose tackle who occupies space, and the Lions need big games from linebackers Jarrad Davis and Christian Jones against the run to force Darnold out of his comfort zone.
Edge: Jets
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Jets pass offense vs. Lions pass defense
Darnold is an impressive-looking rookie, and he won the starting job with ease, but he’s still a rookie making his first start on the big stage of Monday Night Football. In three preseason games, Darnold completed 64.4 percent of his passes with two touchdowns and one interception. Lions coach Matt Patricia said
Darnold excels on bootleg passes in both directions, so it’s important for the Lions to keep him in the pocket.
Robby Anderson led the Jets with 941 yards receiving and seven touchdowns last year, but the Jets may not want to take many shots downfield in Darnold’s first start. Quincy Enunwa missed all of last season with a neck injury, but the big target should be a safety blanket for Darnold early on.
The Lions didn’t show much pass-rush ability in the preseason, but Ziggy Ansah enters the year healthy and has a favorable matchup against left tackle Kelvin Beachum. Darius Slay is coming off a Pro Bowl season in which he tied for the NFL lead with eight interceptions, but the Lions are a little less settled at the second cornerback spot. Nevin Lawson should start, but Teez Tabor also could see time.
Edge: Lions
Shawn Windsor, Dave Birkett & Carlos Monarrez discuss biggest reason for concern & optimism for 2018 Detroit Lions, then predict opener vs. Jets. Dave Birkett, Detroit Free Press
Special teams
With Sam Martin back and healthy after a subpar 2017 due to a foot injury, the Lions should once again have one of the better special-teams units in the NFL. Martin was a Pro Bowl alternate in 2016, when he netted a franchise-record 44.2 yards per punt.
Matt Prater missed a pair of field goals in the preseason, including a 62-yarder, but he still has one of the more clutch legs in the league. Jamal Agnew is an electric punt returner, and the Lions have not yet announced their kick returner,
though Agnew and Kerryon Johnson are in the mix.
Former Lions receiver Andre Roberts is handling return duties for the Jets, but they have a far less experienced group of specialists. Third-year punter Lachlan Edwards has averaged a net of just 39.3 yards to this point in his career, and Jason Myers won the kicking job in camp after connecting on only 11 of 15 field goals last year with the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Edge: Lions
Overall
The Lions didn’t look very good this preseason. Their first-team offense didn’t score a touchdown and their defense couldn’t stop a soul, but I still can’t see them losing Game 1 of Matt Patricia era . The Jets have a promising future in front of them with Darnold at quarterback, and they have enough of a running game to keep this game close. But Patricia's defense isn't an easy one to prepare for, and the Lions are bound to force a Darnold mistake or two. When they do, Stafford and the offense have to be ready to capitalize. If the Lions struggle out of the gate, it could make for a very long season.
Pick: Lions 27, Jets 19
Contact Dave Birkett: dbirkett@freepress.com. Follow him on Twitter @davebirkett. Download our Lions Xtra app for free on Apple and Android!
Joique Bell comments on the new Nike ad featuring Colin Kaepernick. Kathleen Galligan, Detroit Free Press
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