Why Todd Gurley should be watching Le'Veon Bell's contract situation very closely

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BonifayRam

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http://theramswire.usatoday.com/201...urley-leveon-bell-contract-extension-dispute/

One of the hottest debates in the NFL this season was the one comparing Todd Gurley to Le’Veon Bell, wondering who was the better all-around running back. They had very similar seasons – Gurley had 2,093 yards from scrimmage compared to Bell’s 1,946 – ranking first and second, respectively, in that category.

They probably watched each other fairly closely this season as they competed for the rushing title, but it should be Gurley keeping an eye on Bell this offseason for a different reason. Bell made headlines this week by saying he’d consider sitting out next season, or possibly even retiring, if the Steelers placed the franchise tag on him for a second straight year.

It’s highly unlikely it’d ever get to that point, but the fact that it’s even a conversation is fairly telling of Bell’s stance on the one-year tag. Gurley isn’t in the same situation, but he very well could be in a couple of years.He’s under contract through 2018, and if the Rams exercise his fifth-year option, he’ll remain in Los Angeles through 2019. That’s the likeliest scenario, and it’s the exact one Aaron Donald’s in right now.

However, Bell’s offseason could have big implications on Gurley’s financial future because it’s almost certain that Le’Veon will become the highest-paid running back in NFL history. Right now, Devonta Freeman is the top-paid back in the league, making an average of $8.25 million per year.

Bell is going to get at least $10 million per year whenever he signs a long-term extension, but his reign as the richest running back in the league probably won’t last very long. Whatever amount of money Bell gets, Gurley is likely to surpass in a few years.

That is, unless the Rams take a similar approach to his contract as the one the Steelers took. Here’s one possible timeline for Gurley:


  • 2018: $2.3 million salary, $4.4 million cap hit
  • 2019: about $7 million for fifth-year option
  • 2020: $13+ million for franchise tag

Another possibility is that the Rams extend him next offseason before his fifth-year option kicks in, the way many expect them to with Donald this offseason. That would be a costlier move for the Rams, but it would help Gurley secure his future financially.That’s why Bell’s contract situation could have a ripple effect on the Rams and Gurley. If he’s franchise tagged again, the Rams wouldn’t have a baseline on which to pay Gurley. He could “set the market” in 2019, so to speak, which isn’t necessarily a good thing for him.

However, if Bell gets, say, $12 million per year for four years this offseason, it would put pressure on the Rams to give Gurley a contract north of that in 2019 or the following offseason.Put simply, Gurley wants Bell to get as much money as possible right now to set up an even more lucrative payday for himself down the line. That’s why he’s siding with Bell on Twitter, defending him in this contract dispute with the Steelers.
 

MadGoat

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The history of 2nd contracts for RBs is pretty brutal. There is a pretty strong case to be made for keeping them through the second franchise tag if they stay healthy and productive, and just draft a replacement.

The first year they are gone and putting up 1300 yards somewhere else feels horrible. The next three years where they deal with injuries and lose their breakaway speed makes it easier to swallow.
 

OntarioRam

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Gurley is a special back. One of the few in the NFL I'd feel comfortable giving a big contract to. But RBs will always be heavily dependent on their offensive line, and if he has another knee injury, who knows if he bounces back. Any contract will have to take into account those realities as well.

I will say our offense appears overly reliant on Gurley. That needs to change. Not just for contract negotiation leverage. But to truly take our offense to the next level.
 

Tron

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Gurley will turn 24 right before the season starts. If he has another season like this one he will get a big long term contract and be a Ram during his best years before he hits 30.
 

Merlin

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I love TG. But I really hope he doesn't end up being like Bell and want to break the bank. I get the wantin to be paid part of this for all these guys, it's just that you gotta hope some of them are smart enough to realize meeting the team in the middle gets you better teammates and more success.

Tend to think TG is smart enough to know that, and hungry enough for wins to want to go that route. But if not, then I agree with @MadGoat if necessary franchise him one year and draft his replacement.

It's about the OL on offense IMO. Those guys benefit the run and the pass, and make everyone look better. Given that you can snap up backs every few years and sustain not only a good run game but protect your QB too.