True. But all these talking heads are really beholding to no one as long as they provide entertainment and talk about the players everyone already knows about. All they are trying to push is who gets drafted and where - not who will be successful because once they are done with this draft, it's only the next draft that matters. So these "draft experts" not only have a lower hit rate on successful QBs, I don't think they have even as good of a track record on who goes where. I think we can throw out the obvious top one or two each year. Any one of us here could do that in our sleep. So how much more accurate are they than half the people on this board. I would argue - not much. And possibly even not as accurate as some.
I get that they're not accountable to anyone, and their main job at the end of the day is to generate clicks. But if they didn't have an entertaining personality, or demonstrate that they have good football knowledge and scouting abilities, or all of the above, they'd stop generating clicks and wouldn't be around long.
So in a sense they are accountable to the bottom line: money.
No one, not even the professionals, have a high hit rate on successful QBs. That's why every year 20-25% of the league is looking for a QB.
You ask how much more successful are they than board amateurs? I'd argue a fair bit more. In fact, they likely heavily affect the opinions of board amateurs. Only a very few of us get ALL of our opinions from pure film review.
(For example, I personally form my opinions by a complicated algorithm of watching *some* film, listening to a wide range of media experts, considering some analytics, reading board opinions, and rolling dice lol)
I'd say a just as relevant question is, how much less successful are they than the professionals?
Ultimately, this is my point. We can't compare them to a standard of batting 100. Say they're only right 40% of the time. Well, the professionals are only right 50% of the time.
For the ones that are right a decent amount, give them a little break.