https://www.hogshaven.com/2017/9/15/16175548/the-5-oclock-club-16-sep-17-traveling-west
The 5 O'Clock Club: Traveling west
by Bill-in-Bangkok
An analysis of 5 years of game data from the NFL, NBA, and NHL showed that basketball teams travelling from western to eastern time zones had a significantly greater winning percentage than teams traveling in the opposite direction. There were also trends in the same direction for football and hockey teams, although they fell short of statistical significance.
And a separate examination of the impact of turnovers and injuries on winning percentage over a single season in the NFL also found pro football teams based in the west to have a winning advantage when crossing the country to play, after adjusting for other factors.
"Accumulating evidence suggests that, in the same way home field advantage influences the probability of success, so too does the circadian advantage and its direction with an advantage for teams traveling eastward," said researcher Dominique Dagenais, BSc, of the Université du Quebec en Outaouais, Gatineau.
Dagenais told
MedPage Today that athletic performance tends to peak in the late afternoon and that players traveling from the west to the east appear to play more games closer to their circadian peaks.
NFL: teams travelling from west to east had a winning percentage of 46.54% compared with 37.98% for teams traveling from east to west.
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What factor is most likely to have a real effect on the outcome of this week’s game against the Rams?
- Traveling east to west
- Home field advantage for the Rams
- The potential of Aaron Donald on the field & a Wade-Phillips coached defense
- Jay Gruden’s & Kirk Cousins’ notoriously slow starts each season
- The overall roster of the Rams
- The Redskins’ offensive weaponry
- Redskins D-E-F-E-N-S-E
- The place kickers (Hopkins v. Zeurlein)
- Injuries
- turnovers
- The distraction of the "Alex Smith should start for the Redskins in 2018" buzz that raged across the globe yesterday
- something else entirely
Voted turnovers because I think it will be a big factor.
If we can win the give/take stats, we can win this game.
Regarding traveling, I find it easier to travel west to east for any long distance trip because I get adjusted to the different time-zone quicker.
My personal experience seems to agree with the study.
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The offensive line and turnovers..
Cousins dealt with a dirty pocket 50% of his drop backs last week which lead to two turnovers. The jump fumble by Crowder was inexcusable. Better OL play and that would have been a W against the Eagles. I expect one against the Rams this Sunday.
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I voted Gruden and Cousins
but I would have voted for the Rams defense. They already know all of Gruden’s plays, so no need of going to the huddle with Kirk. I have a feeling the Rams will be setting a new sack record, and we will finally get to see Perine with the starters. If Moses is still playing hurt and Trent continues with immobile feet then Kirk may be on the IR Sunday.
Something has to get better soon. Preseason told those of us who looked with open eyes what our weakness was, and last week those same people who refuse to witness blamed the QB. I urge those same people to watch the Saints/Vikings game. Breez had the same problem, yet Breez is great and Cousins is shit.
It proves my point that no QB could have done any better. I will be shocked if the Skins get a win, but I will cheer them on and scream at the TV as usual.
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View: https://twitter.com/MarkBullockNFL/status/907042512258441221?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.hogshaven.com%2F2017%2F9%2F15%2F16175548%2Fthe-5-oclock-club-16-sep-17-traveling-west
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Seriously, if there is a silver lining in his performance on Sunday, it’s he wasn’t playing scared and was willing to run for 1st downs when needed, and taking hits while throwing which he seldom did in the past.
As far as being harassed, Wentz was facing the similar treatment, but was able to turn would be tackles/sacks into TDs or 1st downs…
No news on Kirk’s arm talent there: he has always struggled big time every time he couldn’t plant his feet properly, and the last play that closed the game (did he even realized it was 4th down, as he looked to get back in the huddle?) was emblematic of all his past failures in crunch time: throwing on the back foot to a wide open Reed, and the ball barely reaches the line of scrimmage…
What at this stage of his career is intolerable is the inability to audible (rookies like Prescott last year and now Wentz, to stay in the division are much more advanced than him)… Outside of the fades in the end zone.
Unless he improves dramatically on his post snap reads, his performances against the better stop units is destined to remain poor.
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Went with the return of Donald to a Wade Phillip’s coached defense
If Donald is his usual disruptive and havoc-wrecking self, we could be in for a long day. This game is going to be all about minimizing the pressure coming through the interior of the OL, getting off the field on 3rd downs, and avoiding turnovers (I’m looking at you, Kirk!).
If we can take care of that, we have a good shot in this game. Gruden and Kirk can’t start the slow as usual and I think after last week, they know that. At least you’d hope so because going down 0-2 with the look of rest of our schedule would not be an easy hole to come out of.
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Bunch of limp dicks around here.
The Redskins will sack Goff 6 times in this game.
They’ll rush for 165 yards and 3 TDs.
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Thank you sir
For doing your part to fight the sad sackedness around here. There’s absolutely something to what you say about sacks too. Our defense was living in the Eagles backfield last week, and the Eagles have a much better O-line than the Rams.
Goff is not nearly as elusive or hard to bring down as Wentz, so I’m really hoping for a ton of blitzes early on that get Goff panicked and throw him off his game. If we can rattle him early, he doesn’t strike me as the sort of "mentally tough" QB who will come back from it (at least based on what I saw of him in Hard Knocks and All Or Nothing).
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Thats scary and dont think Wade wont have his backend ready for Gruden's routes if he stops the run game
As well as the DB coach is a former asst who knows Grant and Reed. Reed’s athleticism will negate 95% of any DC, cant say that fro Grant though. Barry will be wanting to stick it to somebody too
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Y'know, I just remembered something
When Wade Phillips was with the Broncos, they were always vulnerable to runs up the middle. Their defense was really solid except for that. I think it was because he always tried to bring so much pressure on the QB that he left the middle a bit exposed.
The Broncos look to have a better run D now with Vance Joseph running the defense. If we can actually get our run game on track, maybe that is the way to attack them.
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The strength of Wade's Broncos defense was at outside linebacker.
He worked to get as much as he could out of the players in the middle. It was still a GREAT defense.
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I know Jay said in his presser that he would be consulting sleep specialists to try to neutralize the effect of the timezone change. We’ll see if it works. In this game I expect our offense to look only a bit better than before, but our defense to step up.
We made several defensive mistakes last year that I don’t expect us to repeat. Also, importantly, the Rams don’t have an elite pass-catching TE like Ertz. As long as our CBs can keep their WRs in check (and I have more confidence in our CBs than safeties, though the matchup against Sammy Watkins and Cooper Kupp will be a test), we’ll be able to shut down their passing game.
Unless this turns into a Derek Carrier revenge game! I’d almost forgot he got traded to the Rams. This will also be a more true test of our run D against Todd Gurley. If we can bottle him up, I think our improved run D is for real.
And I want to see us sack the crap out of Goff. All those near-sacks against Wentz will turn into actual sacks against a Jared Goff who isn’t nearly as big or elusive. We have to win this game defensively, I think the offense will still take another week to get on track.
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I voted the Alex Smith rumor
although still random, anyone else in here wish that the Rams would just go all the way with the blue and white theme and get rid of the gold? No? I’m the only one who cares about this? Ok, my mistake!
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The Skins offense will get better every week just like every year with Gruden and Cousins running the show
I wish they could just start out well, but that seems to be an unattainable goal for now.
I think this game will be a win, but I think it will be closer than anyone wants it to be.
I envision the Rams driving to score the winning TD, but the defense forces a turnover from Goff to close the game.
Redskins play better, but boneheaded mistakes keep LA in the game.
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Awfully quite on here this morning.
Time for a game prediction.
No more muffed punts
No more over throws
No more stunts
Get past our o-line… bros
We’ll sack Goff
We’ll break the Rams
We’ll go off
Make them our lambs
Redskins win 20 – 17 The defense makes it a very long day for Jared Goff, causing 2 turnovers and holding the Rams to several three and outs. Kirk and the offense still struggle but improve enough to protect the ball and take advantage of short fields provided by defense.
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It's not like they have to travel to Bangalore. It's a 3 hour difference.
A Wade Phillips defense that includes Aaron Donald will be much more of a factor than that. I also expect another clock management gaffe from Gruden since he can’t call plays and manage the clock at the same time.
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Wade's D. Donald or not, they'll be tough.
The Rams O isn’t that good and our D will be respectable. Our offensive line—and hence Cousins—is going to get abused again.
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We'll see what kind of game plan Gruden comes up with.
If he plans on Kirk doing a traditional passing game from the pocket 40+ throws then he’s as dumb as many claim he is.
I hope that Gruden puts his best foot forward. He should be motivated not to let his protege and rookie HC show him up.
This team should be motivated for their HC, too. If not, at this point I’m really losing hope for any chance Gruden can be a good HC in this league. It they want the easy does it methodology at training camps and practices then they better show up and play for the guy that gives it to them.
Otherwise, I would fire Gruden end of season and look for the best task master disciplinarian type of HC I can find. No sense in wasting any more time with Gruden.
I’m expecting an all out effort and a win this weekend. Really do expect that not just saying that what needs to happen I believe it will.
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Throw in some bootlegs. Utilize the screen game to try to make the Rams pay for sending pressure. And for the love of pie, don’t just send all your runs straight up the gut and then whine about the running game not working in the post-game presser. Tear up the goddamn preseason playbook and start playing real football.
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You cant run up the middle if your inside linemen truly suck
Long/Lavauo are overmatched constantly..Scherff appears to still be in off season mode..Donald is going to have fresh legs and an ugly attitude.. Better get Cousins moving to the edges as much as possible