http://boards.baltimoreravens.com/topic/66155-next-up-st-louis-rams/
Next up: St. Louis Rams
What? They're 4-5 and second in the West. Foles has been awful and if McCown and Bortles can beat us, then Case surely can. Plus their defense is nasty.
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I see a win here. The fact that Case Keenun was the backup if nick foles shows that he's a really bad QB which will force the Rams to run a lot. The only thing this team knows how to do is stop the run.
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Luckily the Rams choose some games to just not show up to at all so hopefully this is one of them. Also luckily we aren't in their division which decreases there chances of showing up.
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http://bleacherreport.com/articles/...ltimore-ravens-betting-odds-analysis-nfl-pick
St. Louis Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick
By OddsShark.com, Featured Columnist Nov 17, 2015
The
Baltimore Ravens (2-7) will go for their first win against an NFC team this season when
they host the St. Louis Rams (4-5) on Sunday. The Ravens have already lost to the NFC West’s
San Francisco 49ers and
Arizona Cardinals, and they are coming off a tough 22-20 loss to the
Jacksonville Jaguars last week as five-point home favorites.
Point spread: This game opened as a pick'em; the total was 42.5 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark.
(Line updates and matchup report)
NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 23.0-20.3 Ravens
Why the Rams can cover the spread
St. Louis head coach Jeff Fisher is hoping a switch at quarterback will help jump-start his team’s offense with Case Keenum replacing the ineffective
Nick Foles. Keenum had a few good games with the
Houston Texans over the previous two seasons, and he cannot be much worse than Foles has played in his first year with the Rams.
Foles threw for 200 yards or fewer in eight straight games since leading them to a season-opening win over the
Seattle Seahawks, totaling six touchdowns and six interceptions. Keenum may be able to give them the spark they need to get back on track and make a run at a playoff spot with some big plays in the passing game while allowing rookie running back Todd Gurley to shine and carry the offense.
Why the Ravens can cover the spread
Baltimore would have earned a victory last week against the Jaguars if the referees did not call a bad penalty that allowed Jacksonville to kick the game-winning field goal. Instead, the Ravens find themselves losers of four of their last five. While they have covered the spread only once this season in a 26-18 road loss to the Arizona Cardinals, they have been involved in a lot of close games that simply have not gone their way.
That loss to the Cardinals was Baltimore’s lone setback by more than a touchdown this season, with seven of the team’s past eight decided by four points or fewer. The two wins the Ravens earned this season were also both decided by a field goal, with kicker Justin Tucker coming through on the game’s final play both times. Tucker is arguably the best kicker in the NFL and could very well be the difference-maker against the Rams as well.
Smart pick
Baltimore is 13-5 straight-up in its last 18 games after losing as a favorite, and the team has also gone 16-1 SU in its past 17 home games versus NFC opponents with an 11-6 mark against the spread. Keenum won only twice in 10 games with the Texans despite playing well at times, and he will be over his head playing on the road against an angry Ravens defense. Back Baltimore to get its third victory by a field goal or more to cover.
Betting trends
The Ravens are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games after losing as favorite.
The Ravens are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games after a loss.
The Rams are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 11.
All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark, all quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and get the free odds tracker app.
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http://winnersandwhiners.com/nfl/11...vs-baltimore-ravens-112215-expert-prediction/
St. Louis Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens, 11/22/15 – Expert Prediction
GAME SNAPSHOT
St. Louis Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens
Written by Ricky
St. Louis Rams (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS, 3-6 O/U) at Baltimore Ravens (2-7 SU, 1-7-1 ATS, 5-4 O/U)
NFL: Sunday, November 22 at 1:00 p.m. ET
The line: Baltimore Ravens -2.5. Total: 41.5.
The St. Louis Rams will be looking to end an alarming two-game losing streak when they visit M&T Bank Stadium for a showdown with the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday afternoon. St. Louis had won two in row before going down at Minnesota and then laying an egg against visiting Chicago. The Ravens are a dismal 2-7 and have dropped four of their last five games after losing at home to Jacksonville last week.
Foles folds
Nick Foles is out and
Case Keenum is in.
One day after getting blown out 37-13 at home by the Bears, St. Louis announced it will bench Foles and start Keenum for a Week 11 date with Baltimore. The Rams are 31st in the league in yards per game and 32nd in passing yards per game.
Through nine games,
Foles is 32nd in the NFL
in QBR (34.1),
29th in passer rating (75.9),
and 28th in passing yards (1,678). Keenum has made 10 career starts since signing with Houston in 2012 as an undrafted free agent. He compiled a 2-8 record while throwing for 2,195 yards with 11 touchdowns and eight interceptions.
“We’re going to go ahead and go with Case,” head coach Jeff Fisher explained. “This is my decision. Nobody came down the hall and said, ‘This is what we need to do.’ The lack of offensive production is a collective effort and coaching. But we need more production, and it starts with that position.”
Gladiators, I salute you
Ravens’ head coach John Harbaugh referenced the Oscar-winning movie “Gladiator” while insisting that his players would not throw in the towel on 2015 despite a shocking 2-7 record.
“When they all go shield to shield and shoulder to shoulder, and they’re in the square…that’s how you handle tough times as a family,” Harbaugh said. “That’s how you handle tough times as a team or as an organization, and that’s what we will do.”
This is just second time in the past six seasons that Baltimore has lost at least seven games in a season (it went 8-8 in 2013). With receiver Steve Smith out for the year, quarterback Joe Flacco has struggled. The veteran has been picked off five times in his last four outings, including twice in an upset loss to the Jaguars this past Sunday.
Trends
The St. Louis Rams are:
- 4-1 Under in their last five overall
- 5-1 Under in their last six road games
- 6-0 Under in their last six road games against teams with losing home records
The Baltimore Ravens are:
- 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine overall
- 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games
- 0-7 ATS in their last seven games against teams with losing records
The Rams cannot do much worse than how they were faring with Foles, but the quarterback switch still cannot come with much optimism. Keenum is a lifetime journeyman and there is a reason for that: he is not a starting-caliber signal-caller. The under is 4-1 in St. Louis’ last five overall and 5-1 in its last six on the road. Fortunately for St. Louis, Flacco and Baltimore’s offense are also struggling. Roll with the under and also consider St. Louis.
Pick: Under 41.5