http://www.ninersnation.com/2014/10...cisco-sits-as-a-field-goal-favorite-in-week-6
49ers-Rams odds: San Francisco sits as a field goal favorite in Week 6
By
David Fucillo
@NinersNation on Oct 6 2014
Scott Rovak-USA TODAY Sports
The 49ers face the Rams in a Week 6 Monday Night Football road game. We take a look at some early gambling stats, and the initial Rams injury report.
The
San Francisco 49ers travel to face the
St. Louis Rams in Week 6 on Monday Night Football. This game marks the 49ers second divisional game, having dropped their first on the road to the
Arizona Cardinals. This will be the Rams first divisional game. Following a 49ers win and Rams loss in Week 5, San Francisco is currently a 3-point favorite.
The line opened at 49ers -4, but it has come down to 3- or 3.5-points
depending on the site you use. The 49ers are only 2-4 against the spread in their last six games, but they are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 road games. One interesting trend has the 49ers at 2-4 ATS in their last six games at St. Louis, but 4-2 straight up in the same span. Not a huge deal, but rather shows some close games.
The point total is set at 43.5 points. The 49ers have gone under the total in their last five road games. The Rams have gone under in 7 of their last 9 games, but have gone over in 10 of their last 15 home games.
I'm not entirely sure what to do this week. I suspect I'll be picking based on a 3- or 3.5-point line. I'm tempted to take the 49ers at -3 since a 3-point win would net me half a point. I'm open to suggestions!
We'll have plenty more to get you ready for Sunday's game, but in the meantime, here's a quick injury update.
Tavon Austin was questionable for Sunday's game. He played, but finished with 33 yards on two receptions, and a pair of short punt returns.
Zac Stacy suffered a strained calf during the game, but early reports indicate he will be good to go on Monday. He gets an extra day, so that will help. Even if he is limited,
Benny Cunningham looks like a pretty capable backup for Stacy.
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I know we’re on the road, but Rams. I mean, Rams.
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The Rams are still the Lambs. They’ve given us a bit of trouble the past few years, but I’m thinking Roman has learned by now what does and does not work against their defense (no more QB-option plays near our own goal line!).
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Rams d-line against our o-line, in St. Louis? I think this spread is quite reasonable.
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But 5 weeks in (to be fair they’ve played 4 games) and they have 1 sack and give up almost 5 yards a carry. By points they are the 3rd worst team defense in football.
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But I am going to need a lot more convincing before I can trust our o-line.
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It’s couched in "I think", so there’s that caveat.
But look at what the 49ers did to the Rams last year in their house? Ran all over them for over 200 yards of rushing. I think we see more of that this week.
Looking at the earlier Cards game, it does look like Roman is evolving to meet the threats each of the NFC West’s opposing defenses. That spread offense against the Cards was brilliant, although obviously we didn’t do it enough to win the game. I’m excited to see what they do against the Seahawks this time around. NFCCG, it was hurry-up offense and Kaepernick designed runs. What will they cook up this time?
Look, I despise Roman ofttimes just like everyone else, but a lot of that stems from his seemingly unimaginative play sequencing more than the plays themselves. Too often, the 49ers become predictable in their run/pass selection on each down. On the other side of the ledger, Roman seems to have a tendency to dial up some really odd play calls at inopportune moments. There is a time for options and naked bootlegs and wide receiver passes, but those times should be rare!
But I do respect that he seemingly is open to making adjustments to get this machine running better. The lack of delay of game penalties and using timeouts to avoid them in this game was truly astounding after the horror show in that area against Philly (now we just need some consistency on that!).
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The rams may have backdoor covered several games this year, but vs. SF? This seems way out of line to me and I would be jumping on it if I gambled on NFL games.
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Plus the national narrative on the 49ers right now is that the players hate their coach and he is on his way out.
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Kaepernick throws for 3 TDs, Gore rushes for 100 and the D gets it done.
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What happened to the rams d?
They have 1 sack and give up 5 yards a carry? 30 points a game? Wtf rams?
I thought this would be a tough game with neither offense capable of doing much. Now their best player is: Austin Davis? Who is this kid?
The stats suggest we should crush them. Their 1 victory is over a crummy buc’s team. Then again they came to life against Phi yesterday.
We should win this game. And if we do we’ll be in fairly good shape.
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I'll be there, screaming my head off!
From my $18 nosebleeds from stubhub.
Last year we rolled them on Thursday night in St Louis…I think we had like 200+ yards on the ground.
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Arizona is a much better team
than the Lambs.
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I will never take the Rams lightly.
This team always is good for at least one good fight against the Niners per season. They know that they aren’t going anywhere this year, so it’s all about playing spoiler, and the way our offensive line has been playing I don’t think it’s ever safe to assume that a game is in the bag.
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I don't think anyone takes any NFL game lightly
At least if they’re smart. These are all professional teams with professional players. They all have pride and are extremely talented to even be in this league at all. But if you are asking who should win this game, it’s pretty easy to think it should be the 49ers the majority of the time. The Rams, as they’ve shown this season, are simply not a very good TEAM. They do have some top-flight talent, but as a team they simply do not gel.
49ers could definitely lose if they don’t take this game seriously or have multiple bad calls go against them or are the victims of flukey turnovers. But they
should win and it will be a major disappointment if they do not, considering we have to visit the Broncos the week after this game.
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The Rams fans are already making 2015 mock drafts, so……
It’s bad over there. Niners 69-0.
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Must-win?
No, of course not, not when we’ve won 2 in a row and sit at 3-2 in a division and conference where everyone has lost at least 1 game. But really, losing to the Rams would not bode well for the rest of the season. We already lost a division game. Winning the division outright will clearly be an onerous task. If we’re 10-6 or 11-5 then we need a solid division record to get in the playoffs and if we can’t beat the Rams then I see us losing plenty more.
Also, sure, we were 0-1-1 against the Rams 2 seasons ago and made it to the SB but I think this season, with the schedule and injuries, is an entirely different monster.
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This
is a must-win game, as the road only gets tougher from here. The Rams are easily the worst team remaining on our schedule (ok, Washington is not good, but I don’t think they’re as bad as the Lambs). We will probably lose a few games to the better teams remaining on our schedule (I predict Denver, Seattle and perhaps the Chargers have a fair to good chance of beating us), so to have a realistic shot of making the playoffs, we need to win the few games we have against clearly less-talented teams.
I will break something if we don’t win this game.

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I think this is going to be a break out game for us… Austin Davis has been pretty solid as of late but the Rams still have a number of injures and question marks…
The Rams are 29th in the league against the run, so I hope to see HUGE games from Gore and Hyde…
The Rams being a top D against the pass is a direct result of being so poor against the run… Its not that they are that good..
I think we are going to score in the mid to high 30’s in this game. Austin Davis will commit a couple turnovers guaranteed, so Kap just needs to take care of the ball again to secure a win. Turnovers have kept the Rams in the last 3 games this season… Taking care of the ball will be key and I think Kap got the memo after last week…
My prediction is 34-17.
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No Steven Jackson.....No Problem
Should be an easy game.
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Feeling confident with Chris Long out
Last year it was good performance in St. Louis but typically these games have nail bitters even when the Rams were cellar dwellers.
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nail biters is right
can’t recall how many times i’ve screamed a big "f you" at fischer when the camera pans on his face