PREGAME Rams (2-4) at Raiders (3-3)
- Thread starter Stl2La
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I feel like Cousins is gonna get pounded. I really do. This team is frustrating as hell, men.... But don't give up on em.
LARAMSinFeb.
Legend
Probably the least mobile QB we’ve faced thus far.
El Chapo Jr
Legend
If LA doesn't run the ball 30-35 times then they will lose. Period. One idea is to play 13P with Tutu. Send him deep and run screens to Kyren. Run freaking draws from under center. Run more jet sweeps. AND DON'T CALL DIVE PLAYS TO A RESERVE TE ON 4th AND ONE!!
Here's hoping.
There's nothing better in football than watching a quarterback get the shit kicked out of him for 60 minutes.
Raiders give up pressures but Cousins isn't getting sacked.
Sack rate: 3.5%, ranked 3rd-best in the league.
Would be the ideal game for Donald to re-emerge. Or BY for that matter.
One big hit on Cousins and we get to see the rookie come in and throw some picks.
The Rams have a ton of offensive yardage this season but not enough points. Last season, the Rams led the NFL in both points and yardage. I computed some stats over the last 3 seasons. I'm also including the 2021 Super Bowl regular season. What we're looking at is the share of the passing attack that goes to the top 2 RBs. For years, I've said that one of the "problems" with the Rams offense is we don't throw the ball to the RBs as much as most other NFL teams and that we needed to better integrate the backs into the passing game to have a more balanced attack. Counterintuitively, we "fixed" the issue in 2026 but maybe this has become a symptom of why the offense hasn't been more consistent.
2021 Rams
Top 2 RB share: 12.0% target share, 12.3% catch share, 6.5% passing yardage share
2024 Rams
Kyren Williams 40 targets, 34 receptions, 182 yards, 4.6 yards per target
Blake Corum 8 targets, 7 receptions, 50 yards, 7.3 YPT
Top 2 RB share: 8.6% target share, 11.2% catch share, 6.0% passing yardage share
2025 Rams
Stafford completed 65% of his passes for 4,707 yards and 7.9 yards per attempt.
Kyren Williams 50 targets, 36 receptions, 281 yards, 3 TD, 5.6 yards per target
Blake Corum 14 targets, 8 rec, 36 yards, 0 TDs, 2.6 YPT
Top 2 RB share: 11.1% target share (targets divided by pass attempts), 11.3% catch share (catches divided by total completions), 6.73% passing yardage share
2026 Rams
Kyren Williams 39 targets, 30 receptions, 217 yards, 1 TD, 5.6 YPT
Notice that the YPT is exactly the same, but Williams already has almost as many catches this year as he had the entire 2025 season.
Blake Corum 13 targets, 9 receptions, 91 yards, 1 TD, 7.0 YPT
Corum has nearly the same number of targets as he had all of 2025.
Top 2 RB share: 20.6% target share, 23.5% catch share, 17.8% passing yardage share.
Note the huge jump in all 3 categories vs the 2024 and 2025 stats.
Let's take the Bengals as a comparison. Joe Burrow has a very high completion rate. The Bengals so far in 2026 for their top 2 RBs have a 20.1% target share, 23% catch share and 13.6% passing yardage share. The 2026 Rams are now consistent with what a "normal" NFL offense looks like, the Rams and Bengals look very similar in the overall share of the RB receiving production. But, is this a good or a bad thing? How much of this is by design and how much of it isn't intended by McVay and just a consequence of other problems with the offense forcing the Rams to throw the ball more frequently to the RBs?
When Stafford was in Detroit, he had a very good receiving RB named Theo Riddick. So, let's look at one of Stafford's best statistical seasons from Detroit, the 2017 season.
Theo Riddick 71 targets, 53 catches, 444 yards, 6.3 YPT
Top 2 RB share: 18.6% target share, 20.9% catch share, 14.5% yardage share
So far in 2026, the Rams are ahead of the 2017 Lions in all 3 RB receiving categories.
IMO, instead of before where the Rams weren't throwing the ball to the RBs often enough, maybe we've shifted too far in the other direction and now we aren't getting enough out of the WRs and TEs (partly due to a series of key injuries) and now we're targeting the RBs too much.
2021 Rams
Top 2 RB share: 12.0% target share, 12.3% catch share, 6.5% passing yardage share
2024 Rams
Kyren Williams 40 targets, 34 receptions, 182 yards, 4.6 yards per target
Blake Corum 8 targets, 7 receptions, 50 yards, 7.3 YPT
Top 2 RB share: 8.6% target share, 11.2% catch share, 6.0% passing yardage share
2025 Rams
Stafford completed 65% of his passes for 4,707 yards and 7.9 yards per attempt.
Kyren Williams 50 targets, 36 receptions, 281 yards, 3 TD, 5.6 yards per target
Blake Corum 14 targets, 8 rec, 36 yards, 0 TDs, 2.6 YPT
Top 2 RB share: 11.1% target share (targets divided by pass attempts), 11.3% catch share (catches divided by total completions), 6.73% passing yardage share
2026 Rams
Kyren Williams 39 targets, 30 receptions, 217 yards, 1 TD, 5.6 YPT
Notice that the YPT is exactly the same, but Williams already has almost as many catches this year as he had the entire 2025 season.
Blake Corum 13 targets, 9 receptions, 91 yards, 1 TD, 7.0 YPT
Corum has nearly the same number of targets as he had all of 2025.
Top 2 RB share: 20.6% target share, 23.5% catch share, 17.8% passing yardage share.
Note the huge jump in all 3 categories vs the 2024 and 2025 stats.
Let's take the Bengals as a comparison. Joe Burrow has a very high completion rate. The Bengals so far in 2026 for their top 2 RBs have a 20.1% target share, 23% catch share and 13.6% passing yardage share. The 2026 Rams are now consistent with what a "normal" NFL offense looks like, the Rams and Bengals look very similar in the overall share of the RB receiving production. But, is this a good or a bad thing? How much of this is by design and how much of it isn't intended by McVay and just a consequence of other problems with the offense forcing the Rams to throw the ball more frequently to the RBs?
When Stafford was in Detroit, he had a very good receiving RB named Theo Riddick. So, let's look at one of Stafford's best statistical seasons from Detroit, the 2017 season.
Theo Riddick 71 targets, 53 catches, 444 yards, 6.3 YPT
Top 2 RB share: 18.6% target share, 20.9% catch share, 14.5% yardage share
So far in 2026, the Rams are ahead of the 2017 Lions in all 3 RB receiving categories.
IMO, instead of before where the Rams weren't throwing the ball to the RBs often enough, maybe we've shifted too far in the other direction and now we aren't getting enough out of the WRs and TEs (partly due to a series of key injuries) and now we're targeting the RBs too much.
My fear is the Rams run D without Ford and Turner on the field.
The Raiders rushing attack stinks, but to date, I have little confidence in a Rams run defense with Hamilton, Davis, and Fiske getting a lot of snaps up front. And that confidence drops even more if Forbes sees any action at CB.
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The prospect of becoming “sellers” is a dark one for exactly these reasons below. I hope it doesn’t come to that. Besides, I don’t think AllentoMcVay wants to give up that brunette.
FA is certainly the way to go to maximize the losses the Rams are going to experience after this season. People need to be prepared for losing some serious talent after this year.
Davis I like. The other two need to show me something in run defense.My fear is the Rams run D without Ford and Turner on the field.
The Raiders rushing attack stinks, but to date I have little confidence in a Rams run defense with Hamilton, Davis, and Fiske getting a lot of snaps up front. And that confidence drops even more if Forbes sees any action at CB.
This game is as “do or die” for the raiders as it is for the Rams.
The Raiders have Brock Bowers but I feel one of the keys to the game will be their "other" TE, Michael Mayer. We have to give Bowers attention but if we can't stop Mayer, it will be a long day for our defense even if the Raiders don't run the ball effectively. He'll pretend to block, then leak out and if we have mental busts, he can get easy yardage without having to do much.
The Rams appear to be designing more plays to the RBs which I like. Also, Stafford has had to use the RBs more as outlet options because he can't find anyone open while getting pressured. Let's see what type of targets the RBs are getting.
What you said above is a must. There is no way we come close to winning if we do not run and run and run.
I feel like Shula is gonna sit back in soft zone coverage and cousins is gonna dink and dunk his way down the field.
That's been addressed multiple times. I hadnt heard the news that it was reduced to one game
Jeanty can't find his way out of a wet paper sack, so maybe it doesnt matter? Maybe ....My fear is the Rams run D without Ford and Turner on the field.
The Raiders rushing attack stinks, but to date, I have little confidence in a Rams run defense with Hamilton, Davis, and Fiske getting a lot of snaps up front. And that confidence drops even more if Forbes sees any action at CB.
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