I know I'm not a draft guy, and I know that this is probably a combo or recency/survivor/confirmation bias, but doesn't it seem like the "low ceiling, high floor" "NFL ready, but won't get better than he is now" types outperform the "high ceiling" guys that are trash now "but if someone could just get through to them" types?
Off the top I think Kupp and I know Jake Matthews were referred to that way. I want to say Chris Long was as well.
Again, probably a bias of mine, but it just really seems like people get hung up on players that haven't figured it out yet and dismiss the guys who are already performing at a high level.