McShay Mocks Us Ty Simpson At 13

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3 things can really disrupt our season:
1. Stafford going down
2. Either of our OT's going down
3. Puka/Adams going down

Unless they are counting on some vet cuts that can be useful, I think we need to address all 3 of those in the draft (potentially signing vet at QB). The only QB I'd feel somewhat ok'ish being our back up this season is Simpson. I'd be somewhat stressed about it, but, season is pretty much over if the worst happens anyway.
 
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Swing OT is a huge need. Rams will be looking for a rook with strong pass set film for that role. Ugly year to need the position, however there are some dudes in this draft who could serve as depth year one.
 
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Coliseum Ram said:
The latest prediction odds have the Rams right in the mix for Ty Simpson. Scroll down one market has them third behind Arizona and New York Jets but one of the other top markets has them as the leader and likely landing spot.

nypost.com

Ty Simpson NFL Draft odds: Jets, Rams, Cardinals identified as potential fits

The markets are sending mixed signals about who will draft Ty Simpson.
nypost.com nypost.com
Click to expand...
I'd put some money on the Bucs myself. Probably some fantastic odds too.
 
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Coliseum Ram said:
The latest prediction odds have the Rams right in the mix for Ty Simpson. Scroll down one market has them third behind Arizona and New York Jets but one of the other top markets has them as the leader and likely landing spot.

nypost.com

Ty Simpson NFL Draft odds: Jets, Rams, Cardinals identified as potential fits

The markets are sending mixed signals about who will draft Ty Simpson.
nypost.com nypost.com
Click to expand...
Well, let's clarify a bit, those are merely betting odds that are the result of fan wagering
Doesnt indicate anything other than what fans think
 
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dieterbrock said:
Well, let's clarify a bit, those are merely betting odds that are the result of fan wagering
Doesnt indicate anything other than what fans think
Click to expand...

Markes place odds on likely outcomes. One market has Rams favorite. Nothing else to read into.
 
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dieterbrock said:
The Rams are betting on it?
Interesting

On a side note, its pretty clear you didnt even read the article....
Click to expand...

Okay. I didn't read the article. I just pulled these passages out of my ass....

Traders at Kalshi, one of the world’s leading prediction markets, beg to differ and have identified the Rams as Simpson’s likely landing spot.

It’s still a relatively immature market with $33,327 traded at the time of writing, but Los Angeles is the runaway favorite at 59 percent, putting it well ahead of the Cardinals (30 percent), Panthers (22 percent), Texans (22 percent), Bengals (21 percent), and Jets (19 percent).
 
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Coliseum Ram said:
Okay. I didn't read the article. I just pulled these passages out of my ass....

Traders at Kalshi, one of the world’s leading prediction markets, beg to differ and have identified the Rams as Simpson’s likely landing spot.

It’s still a relatively immature market with $33,327 traded at the time of writing, but Los Angeles is the runaway favorite at 59 percent, putting it well ahead of the Cardinals (30 percent), Panthers (22 percent), Texans (22 percent), Bengals (21 percent), and Jets (19 percent).
Click to expand...
Correct, you should have read the article first
Kalshi is a penny stock and your own quote indicates that the data is too small of a sample and the other says: "The Cardinals and Jets are essentially co-favorites to land the Simpson at bet365, with Arizona (+125) slightly ahead of Gang Green (+175)."
Good grief, you fell for the click bait
 
dieterbrock said:
Correct, you should have read the article first
Kalshi is a penny stock and your own quote indicates that the data is too small of a sample and the other says: "The Cardinals and Jets are essentially co-favorites to land the Simpson at bet365, with Arizona (+125) slightly ahead of Gang Green (+175)."
Good grief, you fell for the click bait
Click to expand...

I stated that the Rams were 3rd in that market. Did you miss that?
 
dieterbrock said:
the movement of the lines comes from betting
Click to expand...
But odds makers set the initial line and will adjust accordingly.
Ram Ts said:
That’s not the way oddsmakers work - it’s based on bets:money (not what they actually think will happen)
Click to expand...
Not entirely. They don’t wait for people to bet before they lay initial odds. They start it with what they think will happen or will drive the most action while keeping odds in what they view as their favor.

I guess I’m failing to see how what @Coliseum Ram said is inaccurate.

Edit: nevermind. I see the type market now. Different animal than what I was thinking.
 
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RamFan503 said:
But odds makers set the initial line and will adjust accordingly.

Not entirely. They don’t wait for people to bet before they lay initial odds. They start it with what they think will happen or will drive the most action while keeping odds in what they view as their favor.

I guess I’m failing to see how what @Coliseum Ram said is inaccurate.

Edit: nevermind. I see the type market now. Different animal than what I was thinking.
Click to expand...

Yes nothing misleading. As I stated the Rams are 3rd in the main Market. Not favorites, but lurking in the picture. I also didn't make any personal statements, just reporting news.
 
RamFan503 said:
But odds makers set the initial line and will adjust accordingly.

Not entirely. They don’t wait for people to bet before they lay initial odds. They start it with what they think will happen or will drive the most action while keeping odds in what they view as their favor.

I guess I’m failing to see how what @Coliseum Ram said is inaccurate.

Edit: nevermind. I see the type market now. Different animal than what I was thinking.
Click to expand...
They base the line on split betting. Sure, what they think will happen goes into that factor, but moreso it's what they think the public/bettors think. Even if they thought Team A was going to win by 20+ points, they won't set the line there if they think it'll be 90% bet on the underdog. the line will go down lower until they think they will get a closer to 50/50 split.

It's a little bit of semantics thrown into the pot here. But regardless, the thought that vegas (or lines makers) are doing exactly what they think will happen is false. It's betting patterns. That's why lines move when too much money is being placed on one side. It's not that they think this team is now more likely to win -- it's solely $$$ based.
 
Ram Ts said:
They base the line on split betting. Sure, what they think will happen goes into that factor, but moreso it's what they think the public/bettors think. Even if they thought Team A was going to win by 20+ points, they won't set the line there if they think it'll be 90% bet on the underdog. the line will go down lower until they think they will get a closer to 50/50 split.

It's a little bit of semantics thrown into the pot here. But regardless, the thought that vegas (or lines makers) are doing exactly what they think will happen is false. It's betting patterns. That's why lines move when too much money is being placed on one side. It's not that they think this team is now more likely to win -- it's solely $$$ based.
Click to expand...

That's an awful lot of mental gymnastics you went through there. Bottom line is this, Rams are 3rd most likely according to the betting markets. Make of that what you will. A fact is a fact.
 
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