Lets Deal With Fan Overconfidence, Fallacy

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AvengerRam said:
Someone once suggested to me that my confidence level as a fan has no bearing on the Rams’ performance and outcomes, but that’s just silly.
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That would be comparable to putting on a lucky jersey every week exactly 1 hour before kickoff.

For the Cards game this year the wife and I sat on the beach and had a few cocktails..got home 5 minutes before kickoff....and we all know what happened then
 
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Loyal said:
This wasn’t my point. My point was, and is, whether I express overconfidence or perceived proper humility, it doesn’t have any effect on the game itself. There is no bad juju created by my attitude, one way or
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RhodyRams said:
That would be comparable to putting on a lucky jersey every week exactly 1 hour before kickoff.

For the Cards game this year the wife and I sat on the beach and had a few cocktails..got home 5 minutes before kickoff....and we all know what happened then
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You need to change your drink of choice immediately!!
 
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dang said:
You need to change your drink of choice immediately!!
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My point was my lucky Dickerson Jersey didnt go on until after the game started...but you are right, no more mimosas on the beach Sunday mornings
 
Loyal said:
In case my overconfidence does have intergalactic consequences and we LOSE to the freakin' Gigantes, I'll be eating the other white meat...

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Eat Salmon. Its the other pink meat.
 
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I developed a pregame ritual in 2013 that guarantees the Rams will never end a game in a tie.
 
Nope. I remember being over-confident about Mike Sims-Walker and Danny Amendola. I'll never make that mistake again. It was totally my fault we went 2-14 that year. Sorry guys.
 
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I said it before the Chicago game: let's be real, we should destroy them. Same thing here.

Colts, Bucs, Cardinals, Seahawks - All games I felt we should win, but wouldn't have been shocked at a loss in any of those games.

We should destroy the Giants.
 
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Loyal said:
When I talk about the assbeating we should deal to the Gigantes, I always get the warning of last year's hubris over the Jets game. As you remember, we lost to the winless Jets 23-20. This was at home at empty SoFi and the Rams should have won. BUT. This was not a good game for Jared Goff and the offense. If you are a believer in QBR, Goff's was 16.0 (box score from ESPN). He threw 34 times for 209 yards, 2 TD's, and one interception. Aside from one chunk play for a 44 yard pass to Tyler Higbee, it was a lot of dink and dunk passes from Jared. Jared was sacked 3 times for 20 yards. We all know about the Oline struggles last year, with Whit being out for several games, so there is that.
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I'm reminded there's a fine line in the NFL between winning and losing. Cliche? Sure. But every year the percentage of games decided by 7 points or less is in the high 40's.....47.7% last year, 48.0% in 2019, 48.8% in 2018 and so on. Games decided by 3 points or less is always (with rare exception) in the low 20's......23.1% last year, 19.9% in 2019, 28.5% in 2018, 21.1% in 2017 and so on.

We lost to the Jets by 3 points and the offense didn't play all that well. But....neither did the defense. Coming out of the gate, after a Rams punt on their first possession, the Jets went 74 yards in 13 plays for 7. A blocked punt and a pick set them up for a 13-3 halftime lead, that wasn't the defense's fault. However.....coming out of the locker room they drove 72 yards in 11 plays for 7 and on their next possession 72 yards in 10 plays for 3. That's all on the defense.

Despite all that, a holding call with 7:42 to go, negating a 18 yard Akers TD run, snatched a 23-20 loss from the jaws of a 24-23 win. Of course the D would have had to keep the Jets off the scoreboard the last 7 minutes and frankly, the way they played I don't know if that happens. They would have only needed a FG.

But that game was a complete TEAM loss.

Having said that, I agree.....WE (fans) can't jinx anything. WE can't cost the team by our complacency. WE can't blow a game because we overlooked an opponent. So yeah, the Rams ought to beat them 41-10!!!
 
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PARAM said:
I'm reminded there's a fine line in the NFL between winning and losing. Cliche? Sure. But every year the percentage of games decided by 7 points or less is in the high 40's.....47.7% last year, 48.0% in 2019, 48.8% in 2018 and so on. Games decided by 3 points or less is always (with rare exception) in the low 20's......23.1% last year, 19.9% in 2019, 28.5% in 2018, 21.1% in 2017 and so on.

We lost to the Jets by 3 points and the offense didn't play all that well. But....neither did the defense. Coming out of the gate, after a Rams punt on their first possession, the Jets went 74 yards in 13 plays for 7. A blocked punt and a pick set them up for a 13-3 halftime lead, that wasn't the defense's fault. However.....coming out of the locker room they drove 72 yards in 11 plays for 7 and on their next possession 72 yards in 10 plays for 3. That's all on the defense.

Despite all that, a holding call with 7:42 to go, negating a 18 yard Akers TD run, snatched a 23-20 loss from the jaws of a 24-23 win. Of course the D would have had to keep the Jets off the scoreboard the last 7 minutes and frankly, the way they played I don't know if that happens. They would have only needed a FG.

But that game was a complete TEAM loss.

Having said that, I agree.....WE (fans) can't jinx anything. WE can't cost the team by our complacence. WE can't blow a game because we overlooked an opponent. So yeah, the Rams ought to beat them 41-10!!!
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As you say, sometimes there is a fine line between winning and losing. That line gets destroyed if Stafford was the QB that day, imo.
 
Memphis Ram said:
After years of watching a game where a tipped pass or turnover or two could potentially change the outcome, I find it difficult to be overconfident. I just root for the Rams and hope for the best.

If I were overconfident, I might put my money where my mouth is and perhaps lose my shirt given how so-called upsets happen.
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I never bet on Rams games. When they win I am happy enough, but if the Rams loose I am already upset. Why make it worse by loosing money on top of it.
 
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RhodyRams said:
My point was my lucky Dickerson Jersey didnt go on until after the game started...but you are right, no more mimosas on the beach Sunday mornings
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No, don't give up drinks on the beach for anything as long as you can still watch the game.
 
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Loyal said:
Here we go...GMFB's questioning whether this is a trap game for the Rams and even questioned the fairness of the "Football Gods" with Barkley's injury last week....They even couldn't resist mentioning the Jets game last year. It freaking had it all.....lol


View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JlY0cTEv5rs
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If people want to point towards last year’s loss to the Jets as a similar type game setup… then this is a good opportunity to show everyone this is the 2021 Rams, not the 2020 Rams.

:horns:
 
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