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- Oct 16, 2013
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I have heard this from multiple outlets and I don't get it.
Rams opened up as slight favorites before the line shifted. We have the superior team according to DVOA and FPI.
The only two clear cut roster advantages the Patriots have - QB and TE - Goff had a better season than Brady and Gronk was a shell of himself for much of the season. The Patriots offense and defense were both statistically worse than ours this year by yards. By points their defense was better, but they only allowed 12 points/game against their division. Rams allowed 22 points per game against their division. Remove that and PPG are about the same.
I believe the Patriots can win the game, because despite Goff having a better season statistically, I do believe the Patriots have an advantage at the most important position. I can easily see the Pats winning. But I can easily see the Rams winning too.
Ultimately I'm glad that we're underdogs, and that the world has been saying we don't belong here. But there are four things that line up that are driving me crazy:
DVOA - Rams are better
FPI - Rams are better
Record (and having played more playoff teams) - Rams are better
Statistically - Rams are better
Again, I'm glad that it's happening because it's only going to light a fire under these guys - but I still don't understand people saying "for the Rams to have a chance..." considering the above.
Rams opened up as slight favorites before the line shifted. We have the superior team according to DVOA and FPI.
The only two clear cut roster advantages the Patriots have - QB and TE - Goff had a better season than Brady and Gronk was a shell of himself for much of the season. The Patriots offense and defense were both statistically worse than ours this year by yards. By points their defense was better, but they only allowed 12 points/game against their division. Rams allowed 22 points per game against their division. Remove that and PPG are about the same.
I believe the Patriots can win the game, because despite Goff having a better season statistically, I do believe the Patriots have an advantage at the most important position. I can easily see the Pats winning. But I can easily see the Rams winning too.
Ultimately I'm glad that we're underdogs, and that the world has been saying we don't belong here. But there are four things that line up that are driving me crazy:
DVOA - Rams are better
FPI - Rams are better
Record (and having played more playoff teams) - Rams are better
Statistically - Rams are better
Again, I'm glad that it's happening because it's only going to light a fire under these guys - but I still don't understand people saying "for the Rams to have a chance..." considering the above.