I keep hearing Kupp compared to Jordy Nelson...Nelson ran a 4.51.....Kupp ran a 4.61....that .1 difference is enough to make a star or a bust.
If 40 times weren't important...especially for skilled positions...they wouldn't test for it.
You mean like asking WRs to do the bench press? That literally...LITERALLY means nothing for WRs.
There are about a THOUSAND measurables that are more important than can a WR lift a heavy weight from his chest a number of times.
It is rare that a player runs an unimpeded 9 route... It is maybe one time a game where a player breaks away and the chase matters.
Moreover, there are plenty of guys affected by pads. Also, some guys play faster or slower in games. So, some guys run a 4.6 in game and they might actually play slightly faster or tons slower in the game with pads on.
It's an approximation tool and we've seen countless examples of putting too much stock in 40 times.
In 2013, Marquise Goodwin ran a sub 4.3 at the combine. Is he remotely a the WR that Deandre Hopkins is? Or Robert Woods, whom we just acquired? Of course not.
Rare is the WR who has it all. Extraordinarily rare. And once game 4 rolls around, pretty much everyone's banged up to crap and playing at some percentage of their optimal self... by that time, a 4.3 becomes a solid 4.5 or 4.6.
And that's fine. The bigger issues are "can a guy maintain that speed over the course of a season?" "Can a guy maintain that speed under game situations?"
It's just a number that gives a single point of reference. It should never make or break a player eval.
And let's be honest. If John Ross, runs a 4.4? He's the same guy with the same film and the SAME medical concerns. But he runs that 4.22 and now he's this amazing receiver. Well, he is an amazing receiver, but one time running a 4.22 doesn't CHANGE anything about him. Doesn't improve his being a WR or make him less likely to be injured. Nothing changed. Except how people saw him... and that's nothing upon which to base an evaluation.