Allen And Noteboom Could Make Or Break Rams In 2019

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BonifayRam

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https://www.sportsaldente.com/allen-and-noteboom-could-make-or-break-rams-in-2019/
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Allen And Noteboom Could Make Or Break Rams In 2019
Ian Van Roy

Offensive linemen are the unsung heroes of football. They don’t get flashy stats like touchdowns, yards, or interceptions but, nevertheless, teams depend on them to protect their quarterbacks and open lanes for runners. Without linemen, there is no offense. With that in mind, the Los Angeles Rams are placing high expectations on newbie starters, Center Brian Allen and Left Guard Joseph Noteboom, this year.

The Rams will need them to establish themselves as competent players very early in the season if the Rams are to repeat the dominance of 2018. This is because the offense will be leaned on more to win games, the emergence of depth issues on the offensive line, and finally how much Sean McVay’s scheme leans on the offensive line. Put simply, Allen and Noteboom could make or break this team in 2019.

Offensive Supremacy
Los Angeles’ offense will be more important in 2019 than ever before in the McVay era due to the expectation that the defense will continue to erode in 2019. Defensive Coordinator Wade Phillips’ history and issues with the roster point to this outcome.

Phillips’ modern history shows a yearly decline in effectiveness once he starts with a team. Since 2011, Phillips has been the defensive coordinator of the Houston Texans, Denver Broncos, and now Los Angeles Rams. In each stint, the first year has been his best with every other year being worse than the previous. In other words, Phillips has not been able to bring his defenses to be better than they were the previous year in each of his most recent three teams, including the Rams.

In 2017, the Rams defense was ranked 19th in yards and 12th in points allowed. Last year, the Rams slipped to 19th in yards and 20th in points allowed. If the trend continues as the evidence suggests, the Rams defense will be in for a tough 2019 season.

Putting analytics aside, the defensive roster is arguably worse in 2019 than in 2018. For instance, leading cornerback Aqib Talib will be one year older, playing at 33 years old. Of course, Talib hasn’t shown many signs of slowing down in his old age when on the field but his body is starting to break down. Last year, he missed eight games. Once injuries start appearing for older players in the NFL, they tend to snowball so there is a solid chance that Talib could miss more time in 2019, leaving the Rams without a number-one cornerback and sliding everyone else up a spot.

Additionally, the Rams have lost defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh. Suh’s replacement will likely be rookie Greg Gaines, who is probably going to be a downgrade this year as he gets his initial bearings.

Also, safety Lamarcus Joyner has been replaced by Eric Weddle. While Weddle seems like a good replacement based on name alone, it should not be discounted that he is getting older at 34 years old and will be 35 before the playoffs start.

Overall, the 2019 Rams are expected to give up more points and yards in 2019 than in either of the previous two seasons. Since other teams will be moving the ball more against the Rams defense, the offense will have more pressure to reciprocate. Of course, the Rams have the tools at the skill positions and the scheme to use them.

Scheme: Running
At a fundamental level, Sean McVay’s scheme has been pretty simple over the last two years. He likes to run the ball left, right, center, and often. Once he is able to get some solid positive yardage with these plays, the defense will start to anticipate runs. Once McVay has the other team thinking this, that is when he busts out play-action passes and play-action screens. Since the defense is focusing on the running back, the fake handoff fools them for a split second, which gives receivers separation downfield and an easy completion for big yardage.

Unless McVay has rebuilt this offense from the ground up (which is highly unlikely due to the continuity of the roster), he will continue to lean on running the ball early to set up play-action.

If defenses can stop the run early, it makes passing the ball much tougher because it becomes predictable. Usually, this is because running teams find themselves in third-and-long situations if they struggle to run, where they usually have to pass to give themselves any real shot of converting a first down.

In 2018, the Rams had an offensive line that allowed Todd Gurley (and C.J. Anderson later) to gash defenses. If the Rams struggle to run in 2019, the new linemen will be the first to be put under the microscope.

More specifically, if Brian Allen and Joe Noteboom struggle to run block for Gurley, Malcolm Brown, and Darrell Henderson, they will find it harder to run toward the left side of the field. If they struggle to run to the left, then they will have to run to the right. This makes the running game become more predictable and easier to stop. Predictable running games lead to more punts and interceptions.

Scheme: Passing
Imagine that Noteboom and Allen are able to hold their own with run blocking. This does not necessarily mean that they are good pass blockers.

Of course, if they had to struggle with one or the other, the Rams’ scheme would prefer to struggle here since play-action can mitigate pass rushes to some extent. This is because the rusher has to decide whether to go after the quarterback or the running back once he is in the offensive backfield since either could have the ball. That being said, play-action fakes take longer to execute due to the additional actual act of faking the ball and sometimes having to wait for receivers to get deep downfield.

Put simply, if Noteboom and Allen’s pass blocking whiffs, Jared Goff could be pressured or sacked before getting a chance to throw the ball away or to a check-down player, which could lead to bigger sacks and more interceptions. Also, it is worth noting that as Brian Allen is slated to be the new center, his failures to block would be even more detrimental due to the closer proximity between the defensive lineman and the quarterback.

In the end, McVay’s scheme is extremely dependent on offensive linemen. If the newbies on the line struggle (as many do), the scheme will not work due to the inability to make the defense guess.

Injuries
Both Noteboom and Allen sat behind Rodger Saffold and John Sullivan in 2018. The Rams had great depth considering the fact that they had a third and fourth-round pick waiting in the wings. However, this year, they will be the starters with Sullivan and Saffold gone. This means that the depth pieces behind Noteboom and Allen are almost guaranteed downgrades by default. Meaning, if Noteboom, Allen, or 37-year-old Andrew Whitworth go down with injuries, the depth is almost guaranteed to be much worse than it was in 2018. If they are as bad as logic suggests, the Rams could be in huge trouble in the way described above.

The Big Ugly Truth
Overall, the Rams organization will be leaning on McVay’s scheme due to the expected defensive erosion in 2019 and since his scheme leans on running which leans on blocking, the success of the Rams in 2019 will likely fall into the hands of Brian Allen and Joe Noteboom and their ability to play like veterans as first-year starters. If they struggle or get hurt, they will be seen as the catalyst that broke the Rams as they were the only change on the foundation of McVay’s critical scheme. Put simply, if Noteboom and Allen play well, the Rams will be fine. If not, the Rams will be taking a slide in 2019.
 

Soul Surfer

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They had to do something at Center but I was a little surprised they didn't re-sign Saffold, as great, (and DURABLE (y) ) as he's looked the last few years.
 

den-the-coach

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That's going out on a limb, the two new starters on the offensive line will make or break the Rams...Wow! FWIW, I like both players and IMO, Noteboom is not as physical as Saffold, but should hold up well in the passing game and although not as good as a run blocker, should improve as the season unfolds.

As to Brian Allen and this is from someone who loved John Sullivan, I believe Brian Allen will be an upgrade because he will be strong come post season and that is where Sully was beginning to wear down. Now Allen is not as big, so at times, he could look overpowered at times, but Allen is the perfect fit for the zone blocking scheme that Aaron Kromer runs and thus was rated higher by the Rams then others running the power blocking scheme.
 

Soul Surfer

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I don't agree that our defense is arguably worse this year.
To leave look fine last year and may only need a little lighter load in the reps department.

That should easily be replaced by the fact that Marcus Peter's will have a year under his belt in this system learning the Press coverage.

Maybe I'm crazy but I think Micah Kiser in his second year will be an upgrade over a semi injured lightweight Barron.

It seemed like Suh would take some plays off and two youngsters in Gaines and Joseph-Day rotating could be a *potential* upgrade(?).

Dante Fowler with a camp under his belt and a year in the system has potential to be outstanding as well as a rejuvenated Clay Matthews, (I'm buying all in on that).

And rotating the other OLBs in could make for a very active pass rush.

I love our rookie class with Rapp, who had a first-round parade by some teams.

I think our defense is going to be scary good by mid-season.
 

Soul Surfer

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I don't know Den,
It could end up being a major problem.
If even just Allen is average that's going to be a problem in the middle with a lightweight Right Guard and a relatively inexperienced player at Left Guard.

Especially early in the season I think we're going to see multiple shifts and stunts by other people's D line until we prove we can handle it.
 

snackdaddy

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I see a lot of ifs in that article. 17 ifs to be exact. If this happens things will be bad. Well what if that happens? Will things be good?
 

Ram65

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Offensive Supremacy
Los Angeles’ offense will be more important in 2019 than ever before in the McVay era due to the expectation that the defense will continue to erode in 2019. Defensive Coordinator Wade Phillips’ history and issues with the roster point to this outcome.

Phillips’ modern history shows a yearly decline in effectiveness once he starts with a team. Since 2011, Phillips has been the defensive coordinator of the Houston Texans, Denver Broncos, and now Los Angeles Rams. In each stint, the first year has been his best with every other year being worse than the previous. In other words, Phillips has not been able to bring his defenses to be better than they were the previous year in each of his most recent three teams, including the Rams.

In 2017, the Rams defense was ranked 19th in yards and 12th in points allowed. Last year, the Rams slipped to 19th in yards and 20th in points allowed. If the trend continues as the evidence suggests, the Rams defense will be in for a tough 2019 season.

Putting analytics aside, the defensive roster is arguably worse in 2019 than in 2018. For instance, leading cornerback Aqib Talib will be one year older, playing at 33 years old. Of course, Talib hasn’t shown many signs of slowing down in his old age when on the field but his body is starting to break down. Last year, he missed eight games. Once injuries start appearing for older players in the NFL, they tend to snowball so there is a solid chance that Talib could miss more time in 2019, leaving the Rams without a number-one cornerback and sliding everyone else up a spot.

Additionally, the Rams have lost defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh. Suh’s replacement will likely be rookie Greg Gaines, who is probably going to be a downgrade this year as he gets his initial bearings.

Also, safety Lamarcus Joyner has been replaced by Eric Weddle. While Weddle seems like a good replacement based on name alone, it should not be discounted that he is getting older at 34 years old and will be 35 before the playoffs start.

Overall, the 2019 Rams are expected to give up more points and yards in 2019 than in either of the previous two seasons. Since other teams will be moving the ball more against the Rams defense, the offense will have more pressure to reciprocate. Of course, the Rams have the tools at the skill positions and the scheme to use them.

I found this interesting. Talib with a freak injury doesn't mean his body is starting to break down.

I see the Rams defense getting better with Weddle at the back end. Lot's of miscommunication in the past. Gaines and SJD in the middle should hold their own. Brockers in a contract year with better health and JFM to help him rest. Defense line seems to have more depth. More depth at OLBer too. If Mathews and Fowler can get to the QB this could be a much improved defense. Rookie Rapp upgrades the dime package. Older, wiser with a splash of youth and the best defensive player in the NFL in AD makes this a better defense.
 
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Ram65

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Allen and Noteboom are going to be just fine. They are a good fit for the system. Look for Goff to have more time in the pocket which allows him to carve up the defenses. They should hold up in the run game as they both are smart players that understand the system. If the Rams can improve finishing drives just before and in the red zone the offense can score even more points. A healthy Kupp and improving Everett should help.
 
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FarNorth

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I found this interesting. Talib with a freak injury doesn't mean his body is starting to break down.

I see the Rams defense getting better with Weddle at the back end. Lot's of miscommunication in the past. Gaines and SJD in the middle should hold their own. Brockers in a contract year with better health and JFM to help him rest. Defense line seems to have more depth. More depth at OLBer too. If Mathews and Fowler can get to the QB this could be a much improved defense. Rookie Rapp upgrades the dime package. Older, wiser with a splash of youth and the best defensive player in the NFL in AD makes this a better defense.

The expectation that the Rams defense will "continue to erode" is nonsense. The D peaked last year when finally healthy, carried us in the playoffs and were more than dominant enough to win the Super Bowl. Notwithstanding losing Suh, the D could be significantly better overall than last year with more veteran leadership and what appear to be some talented rookies. And if they aren't, it won't be because Wade is getting worse as a coach in year 3.
 

BonifayRam

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  • Thread Starter Thread Starter
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This OL line should be a surprise strength as the season wears on. I believe that the Rams Org has made a big effort with what they have to work with to bring in Kromer's type of OL'ers for his Run Game operation & pass protection. The drafting of Five OL'ers Noteboom, Allen, Demby, Evans & Edwards the last two drafts provides Goff a youthful cadre to work with.

I do expect the Rams to carry nine OL'ers on the Master Roster for most of the season knowing that they will once more have to replace two starting OL'ers in 2020.
 

tklongball

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Not only do I not get his take on the Defense, at all, he acts as if it is a foregone conclusion. I stopped reading the article at that point.
 

MauiRam

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They had to do something at Center but I was a little surprised they didn't re-sign Saffold, as great, (and DURABLE (y) ) as he's looked the last few years.
One of the reasons (aside from cap issues) could be that Bloom may have shown Kromer he's ready. Saffold was solid for us - his experience will no doubt be missed. That said, physically Joe is pretty close in size (6'5" 321 lbs - to Rodger's 6'5" 323 lbs). The experience factor is another thing. Joe lining up next to Big Whit should help, still it is an area of concern as Joe is bascially a rookie as a starter.

Allen should be an upgrade. He is both bright and a fighter - he's got that inborn "want to." I'm sure he'll get schooled now and then, but I expect he'll win some battles too. Lest we forget, Brian had a very successful career as a wrestler in school. Wrestling teaches leverage, and clearly Brian learned well. Allen as a junior, won the 2013 3A state wrestling championship at heavyweight (285 pounds), finishing the season with a perfect 48-0 record. In 2014, he nearly claimed back-to-back state titles at 285 pounds, but lost in overtime in the championship match. Still, he finished his senior year with a 45-2 record.

As the 2019 season goes on Allen should improve exponentially. He may well develop into one of our longest tenured players.

I'm more concerned about our right guard position. I'd love to see Demby break out and move into Blythe's spot. Time will tell ...
 

TexasRam

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I've said it in other posts but I question whether Allen will make it at this level. He was destroyed in preseason games last year.

I sincerely hope I am wrong. But I suspect Blythe moves to center at some point and one of our rookie guards takes over Blythes vacancy at RG. If Allen turns out to be a good player then I will be ecstatic.
 

Akrasian

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I've said it in other posts but I question whether Allen will make it at this level. He was destroyed in preseason games last year.

And yet, in a small sample in real games, he played well. You know, after he had NFL weight training and coaching for a while.

Unlike some players that many here are raving about, he actually got into real games and did a good job. Things could happen, but there are players expected to contribute who I worry far more about.
 

Elmgrovegnome

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I agree that Noteboom and Allen could make or break the offense. Noteboom is no Roger Saffold. He's a downgrade until he proves otherwise. Allen did something to impress the Rams, but I didn't see the talent when he was at MSU. I know Sullivan was physically declined, but in knowledge alone he has the edge over Allen, again, until Allen proves otherwise. I tend to err on the side of caution when it comes to young Olinemen. I am a little concerned about how they play.
 

Loyal

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The expectation that the Rams defense will "continue to erode" is nonsense. The D peaked last year when finally healthy, carried us in the playoffs and were more than dominant enough to win the Super Bowl. Notwithstanding losing Suh, the D could be significantly better overall than last year with more veteran leadership and what appear to be some talented rookies. And if they aren't, it won't be because Wade is getting worse as a coach in year 3.
Yeah...this article is done by a stats geek. Saying Wade Phillips defenses get worse every year at a new place, ignores ownership support, GM's ability to analyze and select talent, and FA aqcuisition. It also ignores defensive asst coaches ability to help guys get better. Utter horseshit.
 

RamsOfCastamere

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Interior blocking is my biggest concern heading into the season. Imo,we lost to the Bears and Eagles twice because we couldn't handle (or at least contain) Fletcher Cox and Akiem Hicks.
 

Loyal

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Interior blocking is my biggest concern heading into the season. Imo,we lost to the Bears and Eagles twice because we couldn't handle (or at least contain) Fletcher Cox and Akiem Hicks.
I think Sullivan was major reason for that, and Blythe also had issues. Don't know if Sully's ineffectiveness brought Blythe's play down?
 

oldnotdead

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I am bothered by any analysis that immediately assumes the worst case scenario with the oline. Like all the others including PFF makes a statement that proves he simply hasn't done even basic research. If he had he would know that his statement about Noteboom and Allen need to immediately prove themselves competent is total garbage. As I stated in another thread, Both of them had a significant number of game snaps, both in preseason and during the regular season. Both acquitted themselves not only competent but extremely well. So much so the FO which has proved it knows what it's doing, felt good enough to move on rather than pay extensions. Sullivan in particular was beginning to show his age in the unforgiving environment of the oline.

So had he researched Noteboom, Allen, Sullivan and Saffold he would have known this statement it completely untrue. Most authors open with the strength of their arguments. Once I saw that I didn't have to read any further. He's a hack, a pretender who writes crap that simply comes to mind. He's probably a fan of a competing NFC team. Noteboom was stellar in preseason and equally so in a full game start. Allen played in substitution in 2 games and one full game as a starter. So why do they need to prove they are competent.

The author making such a stupid assertion needs to prove he is competent. Something he failed miserably in the first two paragraphs.