https://www.profootballfocus.com/news/fantasy-football-metrics-that-matter-wr-rating
Metrics that Matter: The best and worst receivers by WR Rating
BY SCOTT BARRETT
Last offseason, I ran
a study measuring the predictability of various wide receiver efficiency statistics. One of the statistics we covered was WR Rating (available to
Elite subscribers here), which measures a team’s passer rating when targeting a particular wide receiver.
Predictability and future year correlation to volume was fairly low, but far more significant at the extremes. For instance, over the prior decade, on average, wide receivers totaling at least 50 targets and ranking in the top 20 in WR Rating averaged 32.7 more targets in the following season than wide receivers who ranked in the bottom 20.
So, let’s look at the leaders in WR Rating last season (min. 50 targets):
You’ll notice three different Rams wide receivers all ranked top-10 in WR Rating, on the back of their quarterback ranking first in adjusted net yards per attempt. In the case of
Sammy Watkins, he may have been a good bit better than we had realized.
Though his production was underwhelming, he was far more efficient on a per-target basis, which is encouraging for his prospects in Kansas City, though the Chiefs don’t really have a history of supporting multiple fantasy-viable wide receivers.
Now, on the opposite end of the spectrum, here’s who ranked bottom-10 in WR Rating last season.