Super Bowl Betting Trends

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CGI_Ram

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https://www.sportsline.com/insiders...ds-showcase-which-teams-the-pros-are-backing/

The New England Patriots are the oddsmakers' pick to win Super Bowl 53. But that's not who the majority of the public is backing.

In fact, the Pats aren't even in the top 10.

Two teams have been dominating the play at William Hill US sportsbooks, and not only are they in the same conference, they're in the same division.

And it's not the Vikings and Packers.

The San Francisco 49ers have been the team of choice so far. According to William Hill, a whopping 10 percent of all dollars spent on the Super Bowl winner have gone to the Niners.

TEAM % DOLLARS WAGERED
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS 10%
LOS ANGELES RAMS 9%
GREEN BAY PACKERS 6%
MINNESOTA VIKINGS 6%
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 6%
OAKLAND RAIDERS 6%
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 5%
ATLANTA FALCONS 5%
PITTSBURGH STEELERS 4%
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 4%

The team started last season 1-9 before Jimmy Garoppolo became the team's starter. The squad won its final five games, and the team inked the QB to a huge deal in February while stealing Richard Sherman from the Seahawks, sparking huge optimism in the season ahead.

The Los Angeles Rams are the other team being big-time backed. The Rams went 11-5 last year, just one year after going 4-12, thanks in large part to the emergence of QB Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley. L.A. ranked in the top 10 in total offense and defense -- then had a terrific offseason, including the signing of star DT Ndamukong Suh to play alongside bruising All-Pro Aaron Donald, along with WR Brandin Cookies and defensive backs Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib.

Four other teams have garnered six percent of the money wagered to win it all: the Packers, Vikings, Patriots and Raiders.

The Niners and Rams also lead the way in the total number of tickets, each at eight percent.

TEAM % TICKETS SOLD
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS 8%
LOS ANGELES RAMS 8%
MINNESOTA VIKINGS 7%
GREEN BAY PACKERS 6%
OAKLAND RAIDERS 6%
DALLAS COWBOYS 4%
PITTSBURGH STEELERS 4%
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 4%
DENVER BRONCOS 4%
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 4%

Generally, when the percentage of dollars spent is higher than the percentage number of tickets, that means the professionals are backing those teams.

So who are the sharps backing? Based on these numbers, it would be the Patriots. Tom Brady and Co. are getting six percent of the dollars but no more than three percent of the tickets, presenting a biggest gap between the percentages.

The Saints, Falcons (the Super Bowl is in Atlanta) and Niners are also on the higher end of the scale, each getting at least two percent more in cash than the number of tickets would indicate. On the other end of the spectrum, the Vikings are the top contending team the pros are fading, with seven percent of total tickets but six percent of the cash wagered.
 

Ram65

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The San Francisco 49ers have been the team of choice so far. According to William Hill, a whopping 10 percent of all dollars spent on the Super Bowl winner have gone to the Niners.

TEAM % DOLLARS WAGERED
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS 10%
LOS ANGELES RAMS 9%
GREEN BAY PACKERS 6%
MINNESOTA VIKINGS 6%
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 6%
OAKLAND RAIDERS 6%
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 5%
ATLANTA FALCONS 5%
PITTSBURGH STEELERS 4%
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 4%

That's crazy that the Whiners are the leaders. That's a lot of wasted money. Eagles should be higher. I don't think they will have a Super Bowl hangover.
 

CGI_Ram

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That's crazy that the Whiners are the leaders. That's a lot of wasted money. Eagles should be higher. I don't think they will have a Super Bowl hangover.

The way I figure, the 49’ers carry good return on their odds. So, that probably is a driver for the strong action.

I mean, they should be competitive this year... so, play the odds. Quite a few are probably thinking that way.
 

Karate61

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I'm totally fine with this. Cause I'm sharing this stuff with all my friends that are loser 9ers fans, and use it to get bigger bets out of them! LOL!!! So, thanks for posting this @CGI_Ram!
 

bubbaramfan

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Lotta people going to be losing money...………especially those wagering on the 48ers and Raiders.
 

Zaphod

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The way I figure, the 49’ers carry good return on their odds. So, that probably is a driver for the strong action.

I mean, they should be competitive this year... so, play the odds. Quite a few are probably thinking that way.
Thanks, I was thinking that this looked rather weird and homeristic, but you explained it.
 

ScotsRam

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That's how wagering works. If the return on investment was high everyone would jump on the Pats and the bookies would lose money. People are looking for what is the best 'value' rather than what they think will actually happen.
 

Akrasian

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Not to mention, the Rams and 49ers are convenient to Nevada. It is easier for fans of those teams to make it there. And fans are more likely to bet on a given team, if it is actually plausible that they win.
 

Florida_Ram

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Updated Mon, July 2, 10:00 AM ET
VEGAS ODDS TO WIN 2018-19 SUPER BOWL LIII


New England Patriots 6/1
Philadelphia Eagles 8/1
Minnesota Vikings 10/1

Los Angeles Rams 12/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 12/1
Green Bay Packers 14/1
New Orleans Saints 16/1

Houston Texans 20/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 20/1
Los Angeles Chargers 20/1
San Francisco 49ers 20/1
Atlanta Falcons 22/1
New York Giants 28/1

Carolina Panthers 33/1
Dallas Cowboys 33/1
Denver Broncos 33/1
Kansas City Chiefs 33/1
Oakland Raiders 33/1
Baltimore Ravens 40/1

Detroit Lions 50/1
Indianapolis Colts 50/1
Seattle Seahawks 50/1
Tennessee Titans 50/1
Cleveland Browns 66/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 66/1

Arizona Cardinals 75/1
Washington Redskins 75/1
Buffalo Bills 80/1
Chicago Bears 100/1
Cincinnati Bengals 100/1
Miami Dolphins 100/1
New York Jets 100/1

ODDS TO WIN 2018-19 AFC CHAMPIONSHIP
New England Patriots 11/4
Pittsburgh Steelers 5/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 15/2
Houston Texans 9/1
Los Angeles Chargers 9/1
Denver Broncos 14/1
Oakland Raiders 14/1
Kansas City Chiefs 16/1
Baltimore Ravens 18/1
Indianapolis Colts 22/1
Tennessee Titans 25/1
Cleveland Browns 28/1
Buffalo Bills 40/1
Cincinnati Bengals 40/1
Miami Dolphins 40/1
New York Jets 40/1

ODDS TO WIN 2018-19 NFC CHAMPIONSHIP
Philadelphia Eagles 5/1
Minnesota Vikings 6/1
Los Angeles Rams 13/2
Green Bay Packers 8/1
New Orleans Saints 8/1
Atlanta Falcons 10/1
San Francisco 49ers 10/1
New York Giants 14/1
Carolina Panthers 16/1
Dallas Cowboys 18/1
Seattle Seahawks 20/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25/1
Detroit Lions 33/1
Washington Redskins 40/1
Arizona Cardinals 50/1
Chicago Bears 50/1
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/futures/

california-nevada-sports-betting.jpg


Seems the betters have cooled off a little on the Rams from what their odds were 5 weeks ago.
 

majrleaged

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The way I figure, the 49’ers carry good return on their odds. So, that probably is a driver for the strong action.

I mean, they should be competitive this year... so, play the odds. Quite a few are probably thinking that way.
Personally they are betting the hype. It's like investing in an IPO like FEYE. It went all the way up to 90 dollars all on hype and wishes. Looked like cant miss. Experts backing it. Next thing you know it's in the teens. If the second coming of Montana cant throw deep consistantly, everyone will take away the quick stuff and the bets won't be worth the shit.
 

Elmgrovegnome

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I'd bet on the Patriots. If this really is Belichick's last season with them, then I expect him to cheat more than ever, on his way out. He needs to ensure one more SB title. He would be walking away, so he won't care about possible consequences.