SNF: Saints at Vikings

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CGI_Ram

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https://athlonsports.com/nfl/sunday...ts-vs-minnesota-vikings-prediction-picks-2018

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Sunday Night Football: New Orleans Saints vs. Minnesota Vikings

Week 8 of the NFL season offers New Orleans the chance to exact some revenge on Minnesota. The Vikings beat the Saints twice last season, but the one everyone remembers is the NFC Divisional Round playoff game that saw the home team escape thanks to the "Minneapolis Miracle."

Last week, it was the Saints (5-1) who escaped from the Ravens on the road, as Drew Brees and Asshole Face picked up their first career wins over Baltimore thanks to a 17-point fourth quarter and a history-making miss on an extra point attempt by Justin Tucker. With everyone thinking the game was headed into overtime following Joe Flacco's 14-yard touchdown pass to John Brown with just 24 seconds remaining, Tucker's miss (his first after making the first 222 PATs of his career) secured New Orleans' impressive 24-23 road victory and kept the team in first place in the NFC South.

The Vikings (4-2-1) also come into this game with momentum, having won three in a row to put them atop the NFC North. Two of those (Philadelphia, New York Jets) came on the road. Minnesota is getting quality quarterback play from Kirk Cousins while the defense is starting to round into from after some tough outings earlier in the season.

New Orleans at Minnesota

Kickoff: Sunday, Oct. 28, 8:20 PM ET
TV Channel: NBC
Spread: Vikings -1

Three Things to Watch

1. Will Kirk Cousins and Adam Thielen shred the Saints’ pass defense?


Adam Thielen has dominated opposing defensive backs. In three key categories (total receptions, receiving yards per game and receptions for first downs), he leads the NFL. He has averaged 117.4 receiving yards per game. He has caught at least 100 yards worth of passes in every game this season. His five receiving touchdowns have him tied for seventh in the league.

Kirk Cousins has contributed his fair share toward the offensive success of Minnesota. He has completed 70 percent of his passes, good for the fourth-highest completion rate in the NFL. He has averaged 308.9 yards through the air. His 14 touchdown passes are tied for ninth most in the NFL. He also has thrown just three interceptions.

The Saints' defensive backs have been the weakest component of their team. They have allowed opposing quarterbacks back to complete 69 percent of their passes for an average of 293.7 yards per game, both fifth highest in the NFL. They have permitted nine touchdown passes, ninth most. They have intercepted only two passes, which is the second lowest total.

Questions are also swirling around the availability of some of the Saints’ defensive backs. Is Marcus Williams’ groin injury serious enough to make him miss any snaps? He did sit out the final Ravens’ possession last week because of this issue. Will Eli Apple be able to contribute any playing time? The Saints just acquired him in a trade with the Giants on Tuesday.

If the Saints have hope of keeping Cousins, Thielen and the rest of the Vikings’ offense in check, it lies in pressuring the quarterback. He has been sacked 19 times, the 11th-highest total in the NFL. His passing yards per game, adjusted after subtracting sack yardage, drops to 293 per game. However, the Saints have sacked opposing quarterbacks only 13 times, fifth fewest in the NFL.

2. Will the Saints smother yet another opponent’s rushing attack?

The Vikings have relied noticeably more on passing to advance the ball. Latavius Murry has been pressed into lead running back duties because of a lingering hamstring injury to Dalvin Cook. He's averaging just 47.1 rushing yards per game, but some of that is due to Cook's presence earlier in the season, as Murray has gotten a total of 69 carries in the first seven games. He has run for 224 yards and three touchdowns in the last two games, wins over the Cardinals and Jets.

As well as Cousins has played, Minnesota needs a semblance of a running game. In the four games when the Vikings have gained at least 70 yards on the ground they are 4-0. When they fall short of that mark they are just 0-2-1.

New Orleans is allowing just 72.3 rushing yards per game so right around Minnesota's magic number. When the Saints have held opponents to less than 70 yards on the ground they are 3-0. They have only given up more than 93 rushing yards once. Tampa Bay ran for 112 in the season opener, which also is the only game New Orleans has lost thus far.

3. Can Vikings put pressure on Drew Brees and force turnovers?

The Vikings need to harass Brees for Minnesota to win. They are tied for sixth place with sacks per game with three per game. In one of their two losses, they sacked the opposing quarterback just once.

The Saints have improved their protection of the NFL's all-time leading passer. His offensive line has given up only nine sacks in six games. That is tied for second lowest in the league. Last week, the fearsome Ravens’ defense only dropped Brees once for a loss of seven yards.

Minnesota’s defense needs to pick off some passes or recover some fumbles in addition. The Vikings have had at least two takeaways in all four victories. When they have not any contributed turnovers, they are 0-2-1.

New Orleans’ offense has protected the ball for the most part. The Saints are the only team who has not yet thrown an interception this season. They have fumbled the ball away six times. Their number of turnovers is tied for third lowest in the NFL.

Final Analysis

The Saints return to the site where last season began and ended for them. Asshole Face and his players have downplayed any notion of revenge against the Vikings. Has his team completely moved past being one miraculous play away from the NFC Championship Game?

The Vikings have righted their ship after a 1-2-1 start. They have reverted to their mode of operation from the mid-80s through the early '90s: a quarterback firing the ball to speedy receivers to offset a mediocre running game complemented with a fierce pass rush on defense. Those teams bedeviled the Saints too.

Prediction: Vikings 31, Saints 30
 

badnews

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Which outcome tonight is better for the Rams and their battle with the Saints next week, or for home field positioning in the playoffs?

Do we hope Minny puts another L in the Saints column?
or
Saints win big against the Vikes?

Obviously I want the Saints to lose and drop to 5-2, but not if a tough road loss gives them a shot in the arm and refocused against us.

I hope they tie...
 

Merlin

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Vikings win would be most beneficial for us. I have a hard time rooting for the Vikings, but I will be today.
 

CGI_Ram

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  • Thread Starter Thread Starter
  • #4
This should be a good game.

Like you guys, hard to pick a team to really root for.

A Minnesota win is better for us right now, but sorta feels like rooting for the Patriots.

I want them both to lose.
 

Corbin

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Let’s go Viqueens! Stomp that ass!!
 

T-REX

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I just want them to beat up on each other.
upload_2018-10-28_20-29-12.gif

upload_2018-10-28_20-29-33.gif
 

dang

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I believe the Saints are playing at peak. I believe the Vikings are going to settle in and continue to get better so I want to make sure we don't play the Vikings in Minnesota this year - so my vote is New Orleans over Minnesota.

Plus - I am a big Brees fan and not a fan of that whiny little bitch Zimmer.
 

Elmgrovegnome

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I am hoping the Vikings beat up the Saints. I don’t want the Saints coming out in the first quarter against the Rams, like Green Bay did.
 

MTRamsFan

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I am hoping the Vikings beat up the Saints. I don’t want the Saints coming out in the first quarter against the Rams, like Green Bay did.
+1... I hope Minnesota pounds the crap out of NO, and they limp into the game next week.
 

OldSchool

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LOLOL Rodney Harrison "If you neutralize Aaron Donald you can beat this defense" Somebody slap him yeah every team each side of the ball if you neutralize their best player who also is one of the best players in the league you'll do good. So he's not convinced about the Saints because if you neutralize him they aren't good. If you neutralize Mahomes or Brady they aren't good. Oh take out Watt or Mack and those defenses suck. This guys an idiot :D
 

1maGoh

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What's with the low numbers by Brees? I'm doing schoolwork (mostly) and checked the stats. Did he get hurt or something?
 

Elmgrovegnome

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What's with the low numbers by Brees? I'm doing schoolwork (mostly) and checked the stats. Did he get hurt or something?

Not injured. Receivers covered and lots of pressure. He was mostly throwing short and getting the ball out fast. I fell asleep at the half, though. So that is what I saw in the first half.
 

OldSchool

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What's with the low numbers by Brees? I'm doing schoolwork (mostly) and checked the stats. Did he get hurt or something?
Not hurt though I lost my fantasy matchup with him by 2 points :| I seem to remember at one point saying he hadn't even thrown the ball 10 yards down field early in the 2nd half. Just a weird game from the Saints.
 

Elmgrovegnome

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@Old school I saw that stupid comment too. Harrison looks like he should be smarter than he actually is. He never has anything good to say about the Rams. Yeah, sure the dbs aren't disciplined. Peter's is injured and playing and Talib is injured and not playing. He thinks you can pass against the Rams. He clearly didn't think about the pass rush.