Oakland Raiders Preview

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Raiders Preview: Putting the Pieces in Place
It was another busy offseason in Oakland as the Raiders brought in two new quarterbacks and a slew of defensive players. Does Dennis Allen finally have the pieces he needs to turn the corner?
By Andy Benoit

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D.J. Hayden and the rest of the secondary is charged with executing a complex scheme. (John W. McDonough/Sports Illustrated)

Throughout the preseason Andy Benoit will provide in-depth breakdowns of all 32 teams, in reverse order of 2013 finish. Today, the Cleveland Browns …

DEFENSE
Trying to follow a Raiders’ defensive game-plan can be like trying to follow the plot of a David Foster Wallace novel. The content is vast, unusual, creative and often scattershot.

A problem for Oakland is that head coach Dennis Allen and defensive coordinator Jason Tarver, who handles the nuts and bolts of the defense, have not had the right personnel to run their voluminous scheme. Tarver has one of the sharpest, fastest minds the NFL has seen. The 39-year-old’s greatest challenge as a coach will always be connecting with players and colleagues who simply aren’t as smart as him.

If you play anywhere in Oakland’s defensive back seven—whether it’s linebacker, safety or cornerback—Tarver expects you to know a litany of blitz angles, coverage concepts, shifts and rotations, as well as pre-snap disguises. Even more daunting is that many of these ploys are based on keying and diagnosing, meaning you blitz, cover or rotate depending on how the offense lines up.

Defensive linemen also have a bundle to take in. Allen, Tarver’s superior, prefers to use multifaceted hybrid fronts. The Raiders front line was weak, literally, last season. Most of its starters were assuming full-time roles for the first time in their veteran careers, and they wore down as the season progressed.

Aside from underrated tackle Pat Sims, it’s an all-new defensive front in 2014. It’s also a short-term one, as all three new starters will be on the wrong side of 30 by season’s end. The highest profile acquisitions are defensive ends LaMarr Woodley and Justin Tuck, though the best of the bunch is Antonio Smith, a high-octane gap-shooter with a rich arsenal of moves.

A rich arsenal of moves is actually what propelled Tuck’s career in New York, though that success tapered off the past few years (he rebounded a bit last season but wasn’t as effective as his 11 sacks suggest). Woodley has also been tapering off. A 3-4 outside linebacker his entire career so far, the 265-pounder will now play with a hand in the dirt. It isn’t a big adjustment on pass rushes but could present challenges setting the edge in run support.

There was room to bring on Woodley and Tuck, as well as ex-Packers backup C.J. Wilson (who should be able to play inside or outside) because end Lamarr Houston left in free agency. At 27, Houston was more dynamic than these veterans, but he wasn’t worth breaking the bank for because he lacks elite edge-rushing speed. The Raiders didn’t find elite speed in the cheaper Woodley or Tuck, but they did in the draft, taking Khalil Mack, who unexpectedly fell to No. 5.

Tuck will slide inside on passing down to make room for Mack. In addition to edge speed, a big part of Mack’s appeal was his potential as a five-tool hybrid defender at the second level. Tarver can make great use of such diverse athleticism—especially when it’s paired with that of a similar (though less dynamic) young outside backer in Sio Moore. The 2013 third-round pick has shown upside in coverage and decent pass-rushing acumen, particularly as a blitzer.

Ideally, Mack and Moore will capture starting jobs, wedging out veteran Kaluka Maiava, as well as the fast but less alert Miles Burris. With Mack playing off the edge, there’s still room for starting middle linebacker Nick Roach in the nickel package. Roach is a very up-and-down player in all facets of execution and field-reading.

It’s in nickel (and dime) where Tarver asks the most of his men, particularly the secondary. The return of strong safety Tyvon Branch (broken leg last year) really helps, if for no other reason than it gets his replacement, the totally ill-equipped Brandian Ross, back on the bench. Branch’s discomfort in deep space makes him far from elite in coverage, but he’s just capable enough to be interchangeable with Charles Woodson.

Tarver did not ask the 37-year-old Woodson to play near the line of scrimmage much in 2013, though that’s because Woodson was the team’s only capable centerfielding safety. While Branch is best as a thumper in the box, Woodson does his damage by slithering around blockers and sniffing out play designs. Like a great point guard, he uses his understanding of spacing and angles to create opportunities for others (in this case it’s tackling opportunities, not scoring; Woodson likes to do his own scoring, having registered an NFL record-tying 13th career defensive touchdown last season).

Joining the safeties is a revamped cornerbacking group that features two veterans brought across the bay in free agency: Carlos Rogers and Tarell Brown. Neither is a difference-maker (the Niners let them go for a reason), but both are significant upgrades over what was here last year. At this point the 29-year-old Brown is the more potent of the two, though the 33-year-old Rogers may be more important. His ability to play the slot means D.J. Hayden can stay outside fulltime.

Assuming injuries don’t take a toll on the 2013 first-round pick (he missed his rookie offseason following abdominal surgery and landed on I.R. last November with a groin injury, and this offseason he missed time with a bum ankle), Hayden is expected to emerge as this team’s top corner. He has natural fluidity getting in and out of his backpedal, it’s just a matter of learning to apply it at the pro level. The former JUCO transfer and University of Houston star had several wide-eyed moments as a rookie, both in terms of reading the field and reacting to NFL-quality route runners.

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The Raiders will lighten the load of the injury-prone McFadden. (Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

OFFENSE
The last thing Allen and his staff want is to endure the growing pains of a rookie quarterback. They’re already on owner Mark Davis’s hot seat, and the belief is that, with year three having all along been the “realistic” target for visible progress in a massive rebuilding effort, another bad record could spell the end for this regime (that includes general manager Reggie McKenzie).

Of course, it’s not realistic to think Oakland’s offense is suddenly set to turn things around—especially given that the team’s much-anticipated free agent spree came in the same year that a raised salary cap made more than half of the league competitors on the open market. But realism has not been an obstacle for any Davis in recent years.

The fear over relying solely on a rookie was why Allen and McKenzie sought Matt Schaub in a trade from Houston. You don’t have to be an expert to see that Schaub is not a top-tier quarterback. His already limited arm strength appeared to lose even more zip last season and his decision-making never seemed to account for that. With a quarterback who can’t make all the throws, it’ll be impossible for offensive coordinator Greg Olson to do everything he wants schematically.

But at least Olson now has a quarterback who knows how and where to throw. He didn’t have that last year. To accommodate Schaub, Olson will have to incorporate more moving pocket concepts, giving his passer a larger platform to launch from. (The smaller the platform, the more arm strength required.) That’s a whole lot better than the one-read and run-oriented concepts that Terrelle Pryor was restricted to.

Moving platforms are also a good way to accommodate Derek Carr, should the second-round rookie, whom McKenzie presumably drafted for the future, be able to capture the starting job. Carr did not show great comfort throwing with bodies around him at Fresno State (the same issue his brother had); moving platforms are a way to hide that. They can also be a way to simplify a quarterback’s reads.

Quarterback is not this offense’s only revamped position. After finding nine new defensive starters a year ago, McKenzie this year found at least six new offensive starters. The most recognizable is Maurice Jones-Drew, who is hoping to prove he still has the lateral agility and burst that made him a three-time Pro Bowler in Jacksonville. Lateral agility is something Darren McFadden has never had, which is one reason why the fragile seventh-year pro has become little more than a rotational back. McFadden does, however, have the north/south explosiveness to be a playmaker if given the ball in space.

Jones-Drew and McFadden are both viable receivers out of the backfield, as is fullback Marcel Reece. A wide receiver in college, Reece is a mediocre lead-blocker (at best) but gets regular playing time because he gives this offense a critical dimension as a flex piece. That’s something most teams get from their tight ends, but barring a quantum leap from improving 2013 sixth-rounder Mychal Rivera or H-back David Ausberry, the Raiders don’t have an every-down receiving weapon at this position.

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With his job potentially on the line, Allen will have to choose between underwhelming veteran Schaub (right) or unproven rookie Carr (left). (Ben Margot/AP)

With minimal blocking fortitude at fullback and tight end, Olson might be inclined to use the six-man offensive lines that he regularly employed last season. With three capable tackles, he has the resources. Top-heavy newcomer Donald Penn will go through highs and lows on the left side, but he’s a sizeable upgrade over Khalif Barnes. Barnes will slide back to his more-fitting guard position, where he’ll try to fend off third-round rookie Gabe Jackson. On the right side, Austin Howard is a classic mauler who will need help in pass protection.

That’s where Menelik Watson could come in. The 2013 second-round pick has a long ways to go with his technique, but the athleticism is there. He’s a very good on-the-move run-blocker, which could prove valuable in some of the six-man fronts. Filling out the line is center Stefen Wisniewski, who should be better now that he’s playing alongside ex-Giant Kevin Boothe rather than pass-blocking sieve Lucas Nix.
Olson can have more trust in his pass protection this season, leading to an expanded aerial attack. The addition of James Jones means the Raiders finally have a wideout with a chance at separating from man coverage on his own. The ex-Packer is not a star, but he’s effective on quick slants and can occasionally get over the top.

Starting opposite Jones will be Rod Streater, though don’t be surprised if Andre Holmes captures this job before season’s end. Holmes, a 26-year-old journeyman, has acrobatic deep ball abilities. Waiver pickup Greg Little is also more physically gifted than Streater, though his reliability is dubious considering the Browns, who are desperate for receivers, cut him months before training camp. Somewhere in the rotation will also be Denarius Moore, another deep threat. Though unlike Holmes, he can’t make plays without getting separation. This unrefined receiving corps has field-stretching abilities, which could be enough to convince Allen (or Mark Davis) to sit the weak-armed Schaub and roll dice with the rookie Carr.

SPECIAL TEAMS
Sebastian Janikowski still has power, though his 70% success rate was the worst among all kickers last season. Punter Marquette King had a very solid 40.1 net average, and it would have been higher if not for 11 touchbacks, tied for second most in the league. Return game duties will be decided in camp; one option, at least on kickoffs, could be special teams maven Taiwan Jones.

BOTTOM LINE
New players, same tough season ahead in Oakland. This club should be better than 4-12, but it won’t be better than 8-8.
 

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Raiders Report: A Curious Combination of Old, New
With vets like Justin Tuck, Lamarr Woodley and Donald Penn joining forces with exciting youngsters like Khalil Mack and possibly Derek Carr at QB, Oakland hopes it has found the right mix to end its 11-year skid of non-winning seasons
By Robert Klemko

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How two old faces—Matt Schaub and Maurice Jones-Drew—perform in a new place largely could tell the tale of the Raiders offense in 2014. (Eric Risberg/AP)

It’s the strangest place for a practice field in the NFL: Not 20 yards from the backdoors of the Napa Marriott sits a stunning spread of manicured grass, framed by the rolling auburn Mayacamas Mountains. Raider Nation was in attendance on Day 4 of camp, lacking neither tattoos nor a sense of history. Silver and black jerseys with authentic stitching boasted names like Otto and Stabler—markers of a prosperous past—and others like Culpepper and Sapp, reminders of this lugubrious streak of 11 seasons without a winning record. On a bright, warm day in wine country, was the end in sight?

ONE VIVID MEMORY FROM WATCHING PRACTICE
No. 5 overall draft pick Khalil Mack knifing through Oakland’s first-team offensive line in 11-on-11 drills and putting the hurt on Maurice Jones-Drew. It got the biggest reaction from the crowd, some of whom shelled out $100 for Mack’s jersey in a nearby apparel tent. It would be Mack’s brightest moment by far. On Day 2 of full pads, Mack was ineffective in a couple of individual pass-rush reps against Austin Howard and Erle Ladson and largely absent in team pass-rush scenarios. General manager Reggie McKenzie says Mack reminds him of Clay Matthews, yet early in camp, Mack looks like any other rookie trying to keep up.

HOW THIS TEAM CAN GO 12–4
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Raiders fans wear their hearts on their sleeves. (Robert Klemko/The MMQB)
Well… It would go a long way if McKenzie could get his hands on the 2009 versions of quarterback Matt Schaub, defensive end Justin Tuck and running back Maurice Jones-Drew. As the roster stands, the Raiders are stocked with young unknowns and players who have thrived elsewhere. How much they have left will translate into wins now, but how much they impart on the next generation can translate into wins later. McKenzie, third-year coach Dennis Allen and his staff may not have time to wait on the latter as owner Mark Davis mulls the direction of the franchise. They certainly won’t go 12-4 if raw rookie second-rounder Derek Carr is elevated over Schaub, though a season of rookie development under center could be the only thing that buys this staff another season.

HOW THIS TEAM CAN GO 4–12
For the Raiders to finish 4-12 for the third straight season, this new crop of quarterbacks would have to fail as miserably as the last. It’s difficult to imagine Schaub, the former Pro Bowler for the Texans, not making some semblance of a comeback after being benched and discarded by a team he took to the divisional playoffs just two years ago. At 33, his arm strength is visibly faded, but he appears to have a better handle on the offense at this early stage than Terrelle Pryor did in nine starts last season. Nearly every team in the NFL is a handful of injuries away from 4-12, but the Raiders appear healthy and deep enough along the offensive and defensive lines to avoid embarrassment.

NOW, FROM FANTASYLAND …
1. Free agent pickup James Jones looks like an early favorite of Schaub; Jones didn’t have a season under 600 yards receiving in the past four with Green Bay. The safer play is probably Rod Streater, the lanky third-year man out of Temple who didn’t seem to care who was throwing the ball last season en route to 888 yards receiving. Among guys who caught 60 balls last season, Streater was 11th in yards per catch, better than Keenan Allen, A.J. Green and Jimmy Graham.

2. At this stage Darren McFadden has the starting edge over Jones-Drew but this should be a committee backfield considering McFadden’s injury history—he’s yet to play a full season in six. Should McFadden miss a start, Jones-Drew could be a great matchup play in light of his receiving ability.

3. Wait to see if Schaub can deliver before you use a roster spot on an Oakland QB. He could end up meriting a play vs. the Dolphins (Week 4) and the Broncos (Weeks 10, 17).

D.J. Hayden figured to start at corner until he required surgery for a stress fracture in his foot. He now aims for a Week 1 return. Schaub holds an early edge over Carr in the QB race and it appears the rookie would have to blow away the preseason to take it from him. Rivera was a decent enough shallow receiving option at tight end when offseason stud David Ausberry went down with a shoulder injury last season. But the Raiders get as much from Reece so this race will be won with run blocking.

BEST NEW PLAYER IN CAMP
Left tackle Donald Penn, late of the Bucs, was the guy protecting Schaub’s backside from young Khalil Mack. Penn, who once started 108 straight games, didn’t yield so much as a pressure in team drills. That bodes well for a team that gave up 44 sacks last season, 10th most in football.

STRONG OPINION THAT I MAY REGRET BY NOVEMBER
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Justin Tuck now is part of a promising pass-rush group in Oakland. (Eric Risberg/AP)

The Raiders will lead the AFC West in pressures/sacks. For that to happen, they’d have to eclipse Von Miller and company in Denver and the Tamba Hali/Justin Houston barrage in Kansas City. The Bills showed us that a mediocre team can come within three sacks of leading the league (57) if it devotes enough resources to the cause, and the Raiders appear to have done that. Gone is slow-off-the-edge, free-agent departure Lamarr Houston, making room for Tuck (12 sacks for NYG in 2013), Woodley (five sacks in first seven games for Steelers in 2013), and Mack (10.5 sacks in MAC in 2013). Woodson is still good enough in centerfield to allow defensive coordinator Jason Tarver some creativity, but sacks get harder to come by when you’re losing, so my bold prediction could fall apart if this team isn’t competitive on offense.

SOMETHING I’VE NEVER SEEN BEFORE
A punter gunning down the sideline with a red beanie on his helmet as a member of the scout kickoff team. Marquette King, who could pass for a cornerback, was actually recruited to Fort Valley State as a wide receiver. Last season at age 25, he led the NFL in yards per punt (48.9) with a long of 66. Said one staffer: “I think he just gets bored of punting.”

WHAT I THOUGHT WHEN I WALKED OUT OF CAMP
There’s a curious mix of old and new in Napa, and the task of uniting this group in one purpose will prove difficult. Schaub is a guy who can keep this train on the tracks if he’s truly put 2013 behind him.
 

fearsomefour

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Put some money on a futures bet with them to be over 5 1/2 wins.
I think they finish ahead of KC in the AFC West this year.