- Joined
- Dec 31, 2017
- Messages
- 1,225
- Name
- PaceRam
Fantastic post by an excellent poster. As @flv mentioned, Goff will be the key here. He has to take that next step and recognize coverages a tick quicker so he can take advantage of second reads. Hell, 2nd and 3rd reads should be there all day. Rams should win 12 games if they execute. 12 is the floor. Anyone else want a sip?IMO most teams early in the season will open in their base nickel. If that is press man then that's what they will attempt to do. But they will find that they simply won't have the DBs to match up and like most teams, they will end up playing a lot of zone. They will mix in man coverages on their blitzes but overall I think the defenses will play a lot of zone. Jefferson is a huge game changer in that they simply won't have any #3 CB or safety that can cover him in man coverage. Now add in the TEs and it really becomes a mismatch. What I see some teams playing is a two-deep shell and a third safety in their nickel. They will try to cover Jefferson and the TE with zone underneath hoping their pass rush will get there. This type of scheme also will allow them to try to cover the Ram run attack as the 3rd safety and the LBs will all be facing the LOS.
If they play this type of defensive scheme it behooves the Rams to have a strong inside run attack. Inside zone or power gap will gain yards if executed properly. Where it really becomes difficult for the defense is 3rd and short where out of 11 personnel they will replace an LB with a safety and try to stop a strong inside run attack with essentially a light box or a quick pass with someone like Jefferson who can get open quickly.
Notice the commonality in all these possible defenses, that the defensive front needs to pressure Goff or get off run blocks. That commonality is the Ram offensive line being able to simply execute their blocks. They don't have to be an elite line, just above average will do. Goff has been practicing getting the ball off faster on time. The o-line is moving to a better blocking scheme as evidenced by what little has been shown. It looks like a basic inside gap or inside zone scheme. I've been saying this since last year that Mundt should be used as a fullback and now there are hints that might be the case. He has the size and movement ability to pull it off. Also, he has better hands than most FBs so that part of the play action will be open to McVay/Goff. With the RBs the Rams have if they can execute a power gap run attack it would very hard to stop. Sooner or later Ackers or Henderson will break one.
The Ram passing attack is built to beat man or zone.
Goff definitely made his share of mistakes last year. He did struggle vs some schemes when his first or second reads weren't there, but he also showed an ability to get through reads quickly at times too. And the pressures he faced were really quick, which makes it hard for a QB to settle in to games.
Just keep guys off him at an average rate and with these weapons I think Goff will respond with a huge statistical season.