Who do you have rated higher, Ka'imi Fairbairn or Ross Martin?
I don't think Fairbairn offers us anything that Zuerlein doesn't. He's an inconsistent kicker with a big leg. Martin would offer us the opposite of Zuerlein. Very accurate kicker with a weaker leg. So I'd bring in Martin to compete with Zuerlein. I wouldn't rate either over Aguayo but I think you have to be special for me to take you in Round 3 or 4 as a kicker. Aguayo isn't special enough for me.
Look at his career numbers:
Inside 40 - 100%
40-49 - 75%
50+ - 62.5%
Long - 53 yards
Yes, the consistency inside 40 yards is amazing. But many NFL Kickers today hit 95+% of their kicks inside 40 yards. His average from 40-49 yards would be average at best among NFL kickers (I think it's likely below average). His average from 50+ yards would probably be above average but look at his long FG of his career. It's only 53 yards which means he wasn't taking the challenging kicks that most NFL kickers do which means that it's unlikely he'll remain above average when he's asked to make 55+ yard FGs with some regularity.
In fact, over the past 5 years, NFL Kickers have hit 93.5% of kicks under 40 yards and if you remove the blocked kicks, the numbers goes up into the 94% to 95% range. Over that same time period, NFL Kickers have hit 78.0% of their kicks in the 40-49 range and 67.9% of kicks in the 50-53 range.
Basically, Aguayo's numbers are awesome under 40 yards but they're below average over 40 yards. I don't see enough benefit here to spend a high pick on Aguayo. You're basically getting an upgrade from 95% to 100% inside 40 yards (although, we all know the 100% figure won't hold) and a downgrade outside of 40 yards.
Problem here is that Fisher loves kicking long FGs. Aguayo's college numbers are below the NFL average over the past 5 years from 40 yards and beyond.
