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In the event the Rams feel the need to move up in this draft for whatever reason, be it an X wideout falling into our range or an outright move to get a guy they love into round 1, we are likely talking about losing that round 2 pick we just got for Cooks. Or are we?
Who are the trade chips on their roster, the guys they can do without and more importantly what would they bring in terms of value if the Rams required a small move up?
1. TE Everett. He's probably got more value to us than another team, and him being in a contract year is a good thing for the Rams in terms of expectations, where I am sure he'll leave everything he's got on the field. But the fact is the Rams locked Higs up and Mundt has developed rather nicely into a backup and the blocking role and he might even see some classic FB type usage next season. But what would Everett's value be for another team? Well, probably not too much. Our trade partner would have to be a team that has a TE need but doesn't want to wait for development (Everett might be on the cusp of "arriving" in fact which would make him valuable for said team) and who is also underwhelmed by this TE group (which is indeed underwhelming).
For a team like that, I would guess the best comp we could see would be round 3 value, which on this year's trade chart would be 265 points, and which would get us to pick 29. Now if we're going to be a bit more realistic (which some might still say is too generous) with round 4 value, we would be talking 80 points which would get us to pick 44.
TE positional contract outlook:
2. RT Havenstein. Like with Everett he has more value to us than another team. That said, he represents an opportunity for a team to get a very good RT at an affordable contract that comes with 3 years of control. And if his play doesn't bounce back the interested team can cut him next offseason for a reasonable cap savings.
Because of his play in 2019 I think his value would be around the round 4 range. Doubtful he brings more than that when this OT group is as good as it is. But that said teams never have enough of the big guys and Hav is one season removed from being just that. And for an example of the way teams feel about these guys look at what Vaitai just got on the market (5 Years $50M). Now, granted, he showed some growth at OG to pair with his OT struggles but still. I think Hav is a reasonably good trade chip for a move up and that round 4 value gives us a rough range up to pick 44.
OL positional contract outlook:
3. NT Joseph-Day. I really like SJD and the way he fought and scratched his way to the starting job. Rams initially signed Robinson most likely to take the edge off Brockers' loss while upgrading the run defense and DL depth, but with Brock's return it is a certainty Robinson moves in to 1T. This means SJD is a trade chip. Once again he still has value to us in a "run stopping front" where he and Robinson are on the field together, however the Rams do have Gaines as a developing depth NT so there is room to move this value in order to jump in the draft.
As a general rule it seems like the stink of late round pick value hangs around on players, barring those who make big jumps to be high value starters. SJD isn't there quite yet, but he still might get there so I think his valuation would be largely as a run stopping NT of middling value at best. I'm guessing a round 5 compensation in trade due to the lack of upside coupled with two years of control, which would jump us up a very short distance to that 49 range.
DL positional contract outlook:
4. WR Reynolds. JRey is only a trade chip for a move up that includes a WR as the target IMO. From that perspective I think he is in play if required, because to my eye he's a middling wideout at best and that's assuming he takes advantage of his opportunities in this offense.
Valuation with him is going to be based on him being that middling level player, but teams do need that. And him being schooled by McVay and this offense are favorable too I think, where teams know they can plug him in and at least not worry about a wideout position outside the hashes. What works against him is this WR group, however, so the trade partner would need to be a team that is hell bent on moving down and building the roster, which IMO fits what his value is anyway (he's only going to bring a small move up and the teams who are building tend to be the early round 2 teams). He's a tough one because the combination of the above plus the short team control (1 year) so I'd guess like with SJD you're talking a round 5 comp and a move up potential of only a handful of spots at best (49 is the points correlation).
WR positional contract outlook:
Well there you have it. If you think I missed a trade chip I'm very interested in hearing it. And I suppose I'm a little interested in hearing how far off I am on my valuations too, as I know that's coming...
Who are the trade chips on their roster, the guys they can do without and more importantly what would they bring in terms of value if the Rams required a small move up?
1. TE Everett. He's probably got more value to us than another team, and him being in a contract year is a good thing for the Rams in terms of expectations, where I am sure he'll leave everything he's got on the field. But the fact is the Rams locked Higs up and Mundt has developed rather nicely into a backup and the blocking role and he might even see some classic FB type usage next season. But what would Everett's value be for another team? Well, probably not too much. Our trade partner would have to be a team that has a TE need but doesn't want to wait for development (Everett might be on the cusp of "arriving" in fact which would make him valuable for said team) and who is also underwhelmed by this TE group (which is indeed underwhelming).
For a team like that, I would guess the best comp we could see would be round 3 value, which on this year's trade chart would be 265 points, and which would get us to pick 29. Now if we're going to be a bit more realistic (which some might still say is too generous) with round 4 value, we would be talking 80 points which would get us to pick 44.
TE positional contract outlook:
2. RT Havenstein. Like with Everett he has more value to us than another team. That said, he represents an opportunity for a team to get a very good RT at an affordable contract that comes with 3 years of control. And if his play doesn't bounce back the interested team can cut him next offseason for a reasonable cap savings.
Because of his play in 2019 I think his value would be around the round 4 range. Doubtful he brings more than that when this OT group is as good as it is. But that said teams never have enough of the big guys and Hav is one season removed from being just that. And for an example of the way teams feel about these guys look at what Vaitai just got on the market (5 Years $50M). Now, granted, he showed some growth at OG to pair with his OT struggles but still. I think Hav is a reasonably good trade chip for a move up and that round 4 value gives us a rough range up to pick 44.
OL positional contract outlook:
3. NT Joseph-Day. I really like SJD and the way he fought and scratched his way to the starting job. Rams initially signed Robinson most likely to take the edge off Brockers' loss while upgrading the run defense and DL depth, but with Brock's return it is a certainty Robinson moves in to 1T. This means SJD is a trade chip. Once again he still has value to us in a "run stopping front" where he and Robinson are on the field together, however the Rams do have Gaines as a developing depth NT so there is room to move this value in order to jump in the draft.
As a general rule it seems like the stink of late round pick value hangs around on players, barring those who make big jumps to be high value starters. SJD isn't there quite yet, but he still might get there so I think his valuation would be largely as a run stopping NT of middling value at best. I'm guessing a round 5 compensation in trade due to the lack of upside coupled with two years of control, which would jump us up a very short distance to that 49 range.
DL positional contract outlook:
4. WR Reynolds. JRey is only a trade chip for a move up that includes a WR as the target IMO. From that perspective I think he is in play if required, because to my eye he's a middling wideout at best and that's assuming he takes advantage of his opportunities in this offense.
Valuation with him is going to be based on him being that middling level player, but teams do need that. And him being schooled by McVay and this offense are favorable too I think, where teams know they can plug him in and at least not worry about a wideout position outside the hashes. What works against him is this WR group, however, so the trade partner would need to be a team that is hell bent on moving down and building the roster, which IMO fits what his value is anyway (he's only going to bring a small move up and the teams who are building tend to be the early round 2 teams). He's a tough one because the combination of the above plus the short team control (1 year) so I'd guess like with SJD you're talking a round 5 comp and a move up potential of only a handful of spots at best (49 is the points correlation).
WR positional contract outlook:
Well there you have it. If you think I missed a trade chip I'm very interested in hearing it. And I suppose I'm a little interested in hearing how far off I am on my valuations too, as I know that's coming...
