Why Dalvin Cook and the NFL’s top running backs will be facing reduced paydays

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Why Dalvin Cook and the NFL’s top running backs will be facing reduced paydays​

Dalvin Cook, released last week, by the Minnesota Vikings, wants big money when he signs his next contract.

So does Josh Jacobs. Saquon Barkley, too.

Only a hater would suggest they don’t deserve it. After all, Cook has had four consecutive 1,100 yard seasons, Jacobs led the NFL with 1,653 yards last season, while Barkley rushed for a career-high 1,312 yards.

But it’s probably not going to happen this year. Or any other year.

The Las Vegas Raiders have placed the franchise tag on Jacobs, and the New York Giants have done the same to Barkley, meaning each will earn $10.1 million. That’s less than half of what an average quarterback like the Las Vegas Raiders’ Jimmy Garoppolo will make next season.

The game has changed.

Once upon a time, running backs ruled the NFL. The game revolved around runners, and kids wanted to be Jim Brown, Walter Payton, Eric Dickerson, or Emmitt Smith depending on when they grew up.

In the past 11 seasons, 2012 is the only year where the NFL had more than two players with more than 300 carries, which used to be the norm for star running backs. Smith had more than 300 carries in eight of his first 10 seasons with the Dallas Cowboys.

These days, kids want to be Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes or Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow, or New York’s Aaron Rodgers. That’s because quarterbacks rule today’s NFL. The game is about passing, and many of the rule changes over the past 30-40 years have been designed to either make it easier to pass or to protect quarterbacks.

The primary reason NFL running backs probably won’t ever see big-money paydays again is because too many good ones exist. Teams no longer have to draft a running back in the first round to get an elite runner. You can find them anywhere, so there’s no need to pay big money to running backs.

Occasionally, we’ll be blessed with an Adrian Peterson or some other back who captures our imagination. That player will be the outlier who gets paid, and the others will have to accept what’s offered.

Fifteen running backs gained more than 1,000 yards last season; only five were taken in the first round, five were drafted in the second round, and five were selected in the fourth or fifth round.

“I want the value. I want somebody that values Dalvin Cook. I want somebody that wants me to be there. Someone who wants to give me the ball,” Cook said Tuesday on the Rich Eisen Show. “The money is going to come. You play good and they are going to pay you.”

Not really.

The issue, for Dalvin Cook, is that he turned 27 in April and running backs traditionally lose their effectiveness at 28, so getting a long-term deal with considerable guaranteed money will be tough. He also had surgery in April to repair a torn labrum.

On Saturday morning, Jacobs hinted on Twitter that he might not report to training camp without a new long-term deal.

“Sometimes it’s not about you. We gotta do it for the ones after us,” he Tweeted.

Barkley has considered not signing the tender and skipping training camp and potentially the portion of the season until he gets a new deal. While that’s his right, it’s unlikely to help him get the lucrative long-term deal he desires.

While he was terrific last season, Barkley played in only 28 of a possible 48 games from 2019-2021 and averaged just 58.3 yards per game.

“It’s a business,” Barkley said. “That’s the sad reality of it. I never thought it would have to be this difficult, come to this point, but I got tagged. And when you get tagged, they have all the leverage.”

Besides, his replacement — like seemingly every running back these days — is too easy to find.
 

kurtfaulk

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If a rb is elite his replacement is very difficult to find.

Look at the Rams with Gurley and without Gurley. I'd give him that contract again every day of the week.

Do the Vikings think they're gonna be the same offense with Mattison?

Strange article when 2 rbs got drafted in the first 12 picks this season.
 

Mackeyser

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If a rb is elite his replacement is very difficult to find.

Look at the Rams with Gurley and without Gurley. I'd give him that contract again every day of the week.

Do the Vikings think they're gonna be the same offense with Mattison?

Strange article when 2 rbs got drafted in the first 12 picks this season.

Nah, if anything, it makes sense.

You draft an RB in the first round, unless he's durable like Peterson or Smith, you'll only ever pay him that first contract if you include that 5th year option... add to that a very reasonable franchise tag and yeah... unless you're Derrick Henry or the next RB great, you're not even gonna get a 2nd contract let alone

What's tough is consistently finding quality RBs often enough to actually have an efficient and productive rotation

I will say that I miss the RB as a focal point of the offense.
 

OnceARam

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If it's so easy to draft bell cow, elite running backs why don't we have one???

I'm calling BS on this article.

There are better reasons for why RB's are underpaid; namely, they aren't willing to sit out b/c they have a short shelf life and don't want to miss 20%+ of their careers. Basically, the current structure of the collective bargaining agreement is allowing NFL franchises to take advantage of an asymmetry in the marketplace... I imagine at some point the salary cap will have to be split between position groups...
 

AvengerRam

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The correlation between having a top RB (in terms of total yards rushing) and winning is diminished in today's NFL.

Since, 2000....

the number of times the leader in passing yards played in the Super Bowl: 6
the number of times the leader in rushing yards played in the Super Bowl: 0
 

Ram Ts

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Exactly Avenger. A cow bell RB is not needed these days. It almost takes away from your offense and makes you too one sided.
 

Merlin

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I feel for them. Sucks to play a position that floods every draft and that hat has mid to late round success stories in every draft.

There is no way I would pay a RB in today's league. Doing that means you are competing with less cap.
 

Rams43

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If it's so easy to draft bell cow, elite running backs why don't we have one???

I'm calling BS on this article.

There are better reasons for why RB's are underpaid; namely, they aren't willing to sit out b/c they have a short shelf life and don't want to miss 20%+ of their careers. Basically, the current structure of the collective bargaining agreement is allowing NFL franchises to take advantage of an asymmetry in the marketplace... I imagine at some point the salary cap will have to be split between position groups...

Don’t overlook 2 other important factors in determining RB success.

One is the play caller. McVay is notorious for abandoning his running game at times.

And the other is the OL. If an OL is neglected too long while drafting toys year after year, don’t be surprised if running game eventually starts to suffer.

I like our current RB corps and I think McVay has learned his lesson about the importance of the basics.

New OL coach that emphasizes physicality.
Drafted Avila and McClendon.
New OC in LaFleur that appreciates a good running attack.

These are all positive signs for a balanced O in 2023.
 

nighttrain

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Don’t overlook 2 other important factors in determining RB success.

One is the play caller. McVay is notorious for abandoning his running game at times.

And the other is the OL. If an OL is neglected too long while drafting toys year after year, don’t be surprised if running game eventually starts to suffer.

I like our current RB corps and I think McVay has learned his lesson about the importance of the basics.

New OL coach that emphasizes physicality.
Drafted Avila and McClendon.
New OC in LaFleur that appreciates a good running attack.

These are all positive signs for a balanced O in 2023.
nice post
train